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We introduce a deep generative framework for high-dimensional Bayesian inference that enables efficient posterior sampling. As telescopes and simulations rapidly expand the volume and resolution of astrophysical data, fast simulation-based…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2026-03-06 Hadi Sotoudeh , Pablo Lemos , Laurence Perreault-Levasseur

This paper deals with Gibbs samplers that include high dimensional conditional Gaussian distributions. It proposes an efficient algorithm that avoids the high dimensional Gaussian sampling and relies on a random excursion along a small set…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-04-20 Olivier Féron , François Orieux , Jean-François Giovannelli

Cosmological probes pose an inverse problem where the measurement result is obtained through observations, and the objective is to infer values of model parameters which characterize the underlying physical system -- our Universe. Modern…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2019-05-21 Timur Takhtaganov , Zarija Lukic , Juliane Mueller , Dmitriy Morozov

Simulation based inference has seen increasing interest in the past few years as a promising approach to model the non linear scales of galaxy clustering. The common approach using Gaussian process is to train an emulator over the…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2023-11-20 Tyann Dumerchat , Julian Bautista

In parameter estimation problems one computes a posterior distribution over uncertain parameters defined jointly by a prior distribution, a model, and noisy data. Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is often used for the numerical solution of…

This paper proposes a new Bayesian strategy for the smooth estimation of altimetric parameters. The altimetric signal is assumed to be corrupted by a thermal and speckle noise distributed according to an independent and non identically…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-04-20 Abderrahim Halimi , Corinne Mailhes , Jean-Yves Tourneret , Hichem Snoussi

Increasingly complex datasets pose a number of challenges for Bayesian inference. Conventional posterior sampling based on Markov chain Monte Carlo can be too computationally intensive, is serial in nature and mixes poorly between posterior…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-08-27 Edwin Fong , Simon Lyddon , Chris Holmes

Bayesian inference is often used in cosmology and astrophysics to derive constraints on model parameters from observations. This approach relies on the ability to compute the likelihood of the data given a choice of model parameters. In…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2015-09-16 Joel Akeret , Alexandre Refregier , Adam Amara , Sebastian Seehars , Caspar Hasner

Bayesian optimization (BO) is an effective technique for black-box optimization. However, its applicability is typically limited to moderate-budget problems due to the cubic complexity of fitting the Gaussian process (GP) surrogate model.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-10-13 Qiyu Wei , Haowei Wang , Zirui Cao , Songhao Wang , Richard Allmendinger , Mauricio A Álvarez

Gaussian variational approximation is a popular methodology to approximate posterior distributions in Bayesian inference especially in high dimensional and large data settings. To control the computational cost while being able to capture…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-04-07 Bingxin Zhou , Junbin Gao , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Richard Gerlach

Bayesian parameter inference is one of the key elements for model selection in cosmological research. However, the available inference tools require a large number of calls to simulation codes which can lead to high and sometimes even…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2024-06-10 Sven Günther

Efficiently sampling from high-dimensional, multi-modal posteriors is a central challenge in Bayesian inference for astrophysics, especially gravitational-wave astronomy. Popular families of methods like Markov-chain Monte Carlo, nested…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2026-03-26 Miaoxin Liu , Alvin J. K. Chua

Real-world problems often involve the optimization of several objectives under multiple constraints. An example is the hyper-parameter tuning problem of machine learning algorithms. In particular, the minimization of the estimation of the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-07-02 Eduardo C. Garrido-Merchán , Daniel Hernández-Lobato

An important issue in cosmology is reconstructing the effective dark energy equation of state directly from observations. With few physically motivated models, future dark energy studies cannot only be based on constraining a dark energy…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2015-06-04 Marina Seikel , Chris Clarkson , Mathew Smith

In image reconstruction, an accurate quantification of uncertainty is of great importance for informed decision making. Here, the Bayesian approach to inverse problems can be used: the image is represented through a random function that…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-04-24 Jonas Latz , Aretha L. Teckentrup , Simon Urbainczyk

Scientists often express their understanding of the world through a computationally demanding simulation program. Analyzing the posterior distribution of the parameters given observations (the inverse problem) can be extremely challenging.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2014-01-14 Edward Meeds , Max Welling

Bayesian Optimization using Gaussian Processes is a popular approach to deal with the optimization of expensive black-box functions. However, because of the a priori on the stationarity of the covariance matrix of classic Gaussian…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-05-10 Ali Hebbal , Loic Brevault , Mathieu Balesdent , El-Ghazali Talbi , Nouredine Melab

We consider the shape of the posterior distribution to be used when fitting cosmological models to power spectra measured from galaxy surveys. At very large scales, Gaussian posterior distributions in the power do not approximate the…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2022-11-25 Benedict Bahr-Kalus , Will J. Percival , Lado Samushia

Most applications of Bayesian Inference for parameter estimation and model selection in astrophysics involve the use of Monte Carlo techniques such as Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and nested sampling. However, these techniques are time…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2022-01-26 Geetakrishnasai Gunapati , Anirudh Jain , P. K. Srijith , Shantanu Desai

In Bayesian inverse problems, the posterior distribution is used to quantify uncertainty about the reconstructed solution. In practice, Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms often are used to draw samples from the posterior distribution.…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-03-13 D. Andrew Brown , Arvind Saibaba , Sarah Vallélian