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Argo is an international program that collects temperature and salinity observations in the upper two kilometers of the global ocean. Most existing approaches for modeling Argo temperature rely on localized modeling within moving windows,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-04-28 Nian Liu , Jian Cao

Gaussian process (GP) regression is a flexible, nonparametric approach to regression that naturally quantifies uncertainty. In many applications, the number of responses and covariates are both large, and a goal is to select covariates that…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-12 Jian Cao , Joseph Guinness , Marc G. Genton , Matthias Katzfuss

Many scientific phenomena are studied using computer experiments consisting of multiple runs of a computer model while varying the input settings. Gaussian processes (GPs) are a popular tool for the analysis of computer experiments,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-21 Matthias Katzfuss , Joseph Guinness , Earl Lawrence

We propose a novel approach to input design for identification of nonlinear state space models. The optimal input sequence is obtained by maximizing a scalar cost function of the Fisher information matrix. Since the Fisher information…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2016-03-18 Patricio E. Valenzuela , Johan Dahlin , Cristian R. Rojas , Thomas B. Schön

Monitoring daily weather fields is critical for climate science, agriculture, and environmental planning, yet fully probabilistic spatio-temporal models become computationally prohibitive at continental scale. We present a case study on…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-02-12 Tim Gyger , Reinhard Furrer , Fabio Sigrist

We propose a method for estimating the Fisher score--the gradient of the log-likelihood with respect to model parameters--using score matching. By introducing a latent parameter model, we show that the Fisher score can be learned by…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2025-07-11 Ce Sui , Shivam Pandey , Benjamin D. Wandelt

Vecchia's approximate likelihood for Gaussian process parameters depends on how the observations are ordered, which can be viewed as a deficiency because the exact likelihood is permutation-invariant. This article takes the alternative…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-02-20 Joseph Guinness

For latent class models where the class weights depend on individual covariates, we derive a simple expression for computing the score vector and a convenient hybrid between the observed and the expected information matrices which is always…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-11-13 Antonio Forcina

Gaussian processes (GPs) are commonly used for geospatial analysis, but they suffer from high computational complexity when dealing with massive data. For instance, the log-likelihood function required in estimating the statistical model…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-04-04 Qilong Pan , Sameh Abdulah , Marc G. Genton , David E. Keyes , Hatem Ltaief , Ying Sun

Approximation algorithms are widely used in many engineering problems. To obtain a data set for approximation a factorial design of experiments is often used. In such case the size of the data set can be very large. Therefore, one of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-07-04 Mikhail Belyaev , Evgeny Burnaev , Yermek Kapushev

We present a kernel-independent method that applies hierarchical matrices to the problem of maximum likelihood estimation for Gaussian processes. The proposed approximation provides natural and scalable stochastic estimators for its…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-03-26 Christopher J. Geoga , Mihai Anitescu , Michael L. Stein

A common approach to approximating Gaussian log-likelihoods at scale exploits the fact that precision matrices can be well-approximated by sparse matrices in some circumstances. This strategy is motivated by the \emph{screening effect},…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-20 Christopher J. Geoga , Michael L. Stein

This paper introduces a new method for performing computational inference on log-Gaussian Cox processes. The likelihood is approximated directly by making novel use of a continuously specified Gaussian random field. We show that for…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-11-02 Daniel Simpson , Janine Illian , Finn Lindgren , Sigrunn Sørbye , Håvard Rue

Gaussian processes are widely used as priors for unknown functions in statistics and machine learning. To achieve computationally feasible inference for large datasets, a popular approach is the Vecchia approximation, which is an ordered…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-04-11 Myeongjong Kang , Matthias Katzfuss

Gaussian Processes have become an indispensable part of the spatial statistician's toolbox but are unsuitable for analyzing large dataset because of the significant time and memory needed to fit the associated model exactly. Vecchia…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-07-18 Zachary James , Joseph Guinness

A generic, fast and asymptotically efficient method for parametric estimation is described. It is based on the projected stochastic gradient descent on the log-likelihood function corrected by a single step of the Fisher scoring algorithm.…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-04-16 Alexandre Brouste , Youssef Esstafa

We discuss the statistical properties of a recently introduced unbiased stochastic approximation to the score equations for maximum likelihood calculation for Gaussian processes. Under certain conditions, including bounded condition number…

应用统计 · 统计学 2013-12-11 Michael L. Stein , Jie Chen , Mihai Anitescu

Gaussian processes are flexible probabilistic regression models which are widely used in statistics and machine learning. However, a drawback is their limited scalability to large data sets. To alleviate this, full-scale approximations…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-13 Tim Gyger , Reinhard Furrer , Fabio Sigrist

Gaussian process models are commonly used as emulators for computer experiments. However, developing a Gaussian process emulator can be computationally prohibitive when the number of experimental samples is even moderately large. Local…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-09-26 Chih-Li Sung , Robert B. Gramacy , Benjamin Haaland

Gaussian processes offer a flexible kernel method for regression. While Gaussian processes have many useful theoretical properties and have proven practically useful, they suffer from poor scaling in the number of observations. In…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-08-26 Nick Terry , Youngjun Choe
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