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Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) samplers are powerful tools for Bayesian inference but suffer from high computational costs due to their reliance on large particle ensembles for accurate estimates. We introduce persistent sampling (PS), an…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-06-24 Minas Karamanis , Uroš Seljak

Variational multiscale (VMS) methods offer a robust framework for handling under-resolved flow scales without resorting to problem-specific turbulence models. Here, we propose and assess a dynamic, term-by-term VMS stabilized formulation…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2026-02-06 Diego Escobar , Douglas Pacheco , Alejando Aguirre , Ernesto Castillo

Monte Carlo methods, Variational Inference, and their combinations play a pivotal role in sampling from intractable probability distributions. However, current studies lack a unified evaluation framework, relying on disparate performance…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-12 Denis Blessing , Xiaogang Jia , Johannes Esslinger , Francisco Vargas , Gerhard Neumann

We propose a suitable analytical framework to perform numerical analysis of problems arising in compressible fluid models with uncertain data. We discuss both weak and strong stochastic approach, where the former is based on the knowledge…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2022-08-24 Eduard Feireisl

Ensembling Large Language Models (LLMs) has gained attention as a promising approach to surpass the performance of individual models by leveraging their complementary strengths. In particular, aggregating models' next-token probability…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2026-03-16 Heecheol Yun , Kwangmin Ki , Junghyun Lee , Eunho Yang

Estimating fluid dynamics is classically done through the simulation and integration of numerical models solving the Navier-Stokes equations, which is computationally complex and time-consuming even on high-end hardware. This is a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-20 Steeven Janny , Aurélien Béneteau , Madiha Nadri , Julie Digne , Nicolas Thome , Christian Wolf

Mixture models are flexible tools in density estimation and classification problems. Bayesian estimation of such models typically relies on sampling from the posterior distribution using Markov chain Monte Carlo. Label switching arises…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-03-11 Wanchuang Zhu , Yanan Fan

Monte Carlo sampling is a powerful toolbox of algorithmic techniques widely used for a number of applications wherein some noisy quantity, or summary statistic thereof, is sought to be estimated. In this paper, we survey the literature for…

Quantile regression provides a framework for modeling statistical quantities of interest other than the conditional mean. The regression methodology is well developed for linear models, but less so for nonparametric models. We consider…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-09-29 Mi-Ok Kim

In statistical modeling of computer experiments sometimes prior information is available about the underlying function. For example, the physical system simulated by the computer code may be known to be monotone with respect to some or all…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-06-17 Shirin Golchi , Derek R. Bingham , Hugh Chipman , David A. Campbell

We propose a high-order stochastic-statistical moment closure model for efficient ensemble prediction of leading-order statistical moments and probability density functions in multiscale complex turbulent systems. The statistical moment…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-06-21 Di Qi , Jian-Guo Liu

While model serving has unlocked unprecedented capabilities, the high cost of serving large-scale models continues to be a significant barrier to widespread accessibility and rapid innovation. Compiler optimizations have long driven…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-05 Annabelle Sujun Tang , Christopher Priebe , Rohan Mahapatra , Lianhui Qin , Hadi Esmaeilzadeh

Physical based simulations can be very time and computationally demanding tasks. One way of accelerating these processes is by making use of data-driven surrogate models that learn from existing simulations. Ensembling methods are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-22 Anthony Kalaydjian , Anton Balykov , Alexi Semiz , Adrien Chan-Hon-Tong

A multivariate quantile regression model with a factor structure is proposed to study data with many responses of interest. The factor structure is allowed to vary with the quantile levels, which makes our framework more flexible than the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-01-22 Shih-Kang Chao , Wolfgang Karl Härdle , Ming Yuan

In literature, scientists describe human mobility in a range of granularities by several different models. Using frameworks like MATSIM, VehiLux, or Sumo, they often derive individual human movement indicators in their most detail. However,…

网络与互联网体系结构 · 计算机科学 2022-01-14 David Ziegler , Johannes Betz , Markus Lienkamp

In order to find the outcome probabilities of quantum mechanical systems like the optical networks underlying Boson sampling, it is necessary to be able to compute the permanents of unitary matrices, a computationally hard task. Here we…

量子物理 · 物理学 2022-02-10 P. H. Lundow , K. Markström

Ensembling is a simple and popular technique for boosting evaluation performance by training multiple models (e.g., with different initializations) and aggregating their predictions. This approach is commonly reserved for the largest…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-05-05 Dan Kondratyuk , Mingxing Tan , Matthew Brown , Boqing Gong

In this paper, we propose an approach for simulating wall-bounded incompressible turbulent flows by integrating the technology of random vortex method with the core principles of large-eddy simulations (LES). In particular, we employ the…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2025-11-11 Zihao Guo , Zhongmin Qian

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo is a widely used algorithm for sampling from posterior distributions of complex Bayesian models. It can efficiently explore high-dimensional parameter spaces guided by simulated Hamiltonian flows. However, the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-04-29 Lingge Li , Andrew Holbrook , Babak Shahbaba , Pierre Baldi

An efficient Path Integral Monte Carlo procedure is proposed to simulate the behavior of quantum many-body dissipative systems described within the framework of the influence functional. Thermodynamic observables are obtained by Monte Carlo…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-07 Luca Capriotti , Alessandro Cuccoli , Andrea Fubini , Valerio Tognetti , Ruggero Vaia