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The estimation of the extremal dependence structure is spoiled by the impact of the bias, which increases with the number of observations used for the estimation. Already known in the univariate setting, the bias correction procedure is…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-04-03 Anne-Laure Fougères , Laurens de Haan , Cécile Mercadier

We provide a novel method for sensitivity analysis of parametric robust Markov chains. These models incorporate parameters and sets of probability distributions to alleviate the often unrealistic assumption that precise probabilities are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-03 Thom Badings , Sebastian Junges , Ahmadreza Marandi , Ufuk Topcu , Nils Jansen

Robust regression has attracted a great amount of attention in the literature recently, particularly for taking asymmetricity into account simultaneously and for high-dimensional analysis. However, the majority of research on the topics…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-25 Sanna Soomro , Keming Yu , Yan Yu

Adaptive robust optimization (ARO) extends static robust optimization by allowing decisions to depend on the realized uncertainty - weakly dominating static solutions within the modeled uncertainty set. However, ARO makes previous…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-11-20 Karl Zhu , Dimitris Bertsimas

Penalization schemes like Lasso or ridge regression are routinely used to regress a response of interest on a high-dimensional set of potential predictors. Despite being decisive, the question of the relative strength of penalization is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-11-08 Britta Velten , Wolfgang Huber

Testing high-dimensional quantile regression coefficients is crucial, as tail quantiles often reveal more than the mean in many practical applications. Nevertheless, the sparsity pattern of the alternative hypothesis is typically unknown in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-29 Ping Zhao , Zhenyu Liu , Dan Zhuang

Graph models provide efficient tools to capture the underlying structure of data defined over networks. Many real-world network topologies are subject to change over time. Learning to model the dynamic interactions between entities in such…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-03 Amirhossein Javaheri , Jiaxi Ying , Daniel P. Palomar , Farokh Marvasti

Classical linear regression is considered for a case when regression parameters depend on the external random environment. The last is described as a continuous time Markov chain with finite state space. Here the expected sojourn times in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-01-29 Alexander M. Andronov , Nadezda Spiridovska

This paper proposes a robust Bayesian accelerated failure time model for censored survival data. We develop a new family of life-time distributions using a scale mixture of the generalized gamma distributions, where we propose a novel super…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-16 Yasuyuki Hamura , Takahiro Onizuka , Shintaro Hashimoto , Shonosuke Sugasawa

A prevalent feature of high-dimensional data is the dependence among covariates, and model selection is known to be challenging when covariates are highly correlated. To perform model selection for the high-dimensional Cox proportional…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-04 Pierre Bayle , Jianqing Fan

This paper introduces novel volatility diffusion models to account for the stylized facts of high-frequency financial data such as volatility clustering, intra-day U-shape, and leverage effect. For example, the daily integrated volatility…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-01 Donggyu Kim , Minseok Shin

We consider the problem setting of prediction with expert advice with possibly heavy-tailed losses, i.e. the only assumption on the losses is an upper bound on their second moments, denoted by $\theta$. We develop adaptive algorithms that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-09 Antoine Moulin , Emmanuel Esposito , Dirk van der Hoeven

The use of M-estimators in generalized linear regression models in high dimensional settings requires risk minimization with hard $L_0$ constraints. Of the known methods, the class of projected gradient descent (also known as iterative hard…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2014-10-22 Prateek Jain , Ambuj Tewari , Purushottam Kar

Conformal inference is a statistical method used to construct prediction sets for point predictors, providing reliable uncertainty quantification with probability guarantees. This method utilizes historical labeled data to estimate the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-05 Xiaoyi Su , Zhixin Zhou , Rui Luo

We introduce an adaptive refinement procedure for smart, and scalable abstraction of dynamical systems. Our technique relies on partitioning the state space depending on the observation of future outputs. However, this knowledge is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-31 Adrien Banse , Licio Romao , Alessandro Abate , Raphaël M. Jungers

Heavy-tailed high-dimensional data are commonly encountered in various scientific fields and pose great challenges to modern statistical analysis. A natural procedure to address this problem is to use penalized quantile regression with…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-03-20 Jianqing Fan , Yingying Fan , Emre Barut

In this paper, we consider the problem of linear regression with heavy-tailed distributions. Different from previous studies that use the squared loss to measure the performance, we choose the absolute loss, which is capable of estimating…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-10-26 Lijun Zhang , Zhi-Hua Zhou

Markov switching models are often used to analyze financial returns because of their ability to capture frequently observed stylized facts. In this paper we consider a multivariate Student-t version of the model as a viable alternative to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-03-04 Mauro Bernardi , Antonello Maruotti , Lea Petrella

The probability and structure of co-occurrences of extreme values in multivariate data may critically depend on auxiliary information provided by covariates. In this contribution, we develop a flexible generalized additive modeling…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-02-06 Linda Mhalla , Thomas Opitz , Valérie Chavez-Demoulin

This paper provides the relevant literature with a complete toolkit for conducting robust estimation and inference about the parameters of interest involved in a high-dimensional panel data framework. Specifically, (1) we allow for…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-02-13 Jiti Gao , Fei Liu , Bin Peng , Yayi Yan