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Prior information is often incorporated informally when planning a clinical trial. Here, we present an approach on how to incorporate prior information, such as data from historical clinical trials, into the nuisance parameter based sample…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-03-08 Tobias Mütze , Heinz Schmidli , Tim Friede

In certain situations that shall be undoubtedly more and more common in the Big Data era, the datasets available are so massive that computing statistics over the full sample is hardly feasible, if not unfeasible. A natural approach in this…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-01-12 Stéphan Clémençon , Patrice Bertail , Emilie Chautru , Guillaume Papa

This paper outlines a framework for quantifying the prior's contribution to posterior inference in the presence of prior-likelihood discordance, a broader concept than the usual notion of prior-likelihood conflict. We achieve this dual…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-01-08 Matthew Reimherr , Xiao-Li Meng , Dan L. Nicolae

A central theme in the field of survey statistics is estimating population-level quantities through data coming from potentially non-representative samples of the population. Multilevel Regression and Poststratification (MRP), a model-based…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-17 Yuxiang Gao , Lauren Kennedy , Daniel Simpson , Andrew Gelman

For a multinomial distribution, suppose that we have prior knowledge of the sum of the probabilities of some categories. This allows us to construct a submodel in a full (i.e., no-restriction) model. Maximum likelihood estimation (MLE)…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-06-07 Yo Sheena

We distinguish two questions (i) how much information does the prior contain? and (ii) what is the effect of the prior? Several measures have been proposed for quantifying effective prior sample size, for example Clarke [1996] and Morita et…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-01-30 David E Jones , Robert N Trangucci , Yang Chen

Work in the classification literature has shown that in computing a classification function, one need not know the class membership of all observations in the training set; the unlabeled observations still provide information on the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-10-07 Norman Matloff

We study a class of iterated empirical risk minimization (ERM) procedures in which two successive ERMs are performed on the same dataset, and the predictions of the first estimator enter as an argument in the loss function of the second.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-02-02 Hugo Cui , Yue M. Lu

Historical data about disease outcomes can be integrated into the analysis of clinical trials in many ways. We build on existing literature that uses prognostic scores from a predictive model to increase the efficiency of treatment effect…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-12-25 David Walsh , Alejandro Schuler , Diana Hall , Jon Walsh , Charles Fisher

Existing statistical methods for the analysis of micro-randomized trials (MRTs) are designed to estimate causal excursion effects using data from a single MRT. In practice, however, researchers can often find previous MRTs that employ…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-13 Easton Huch , Inbal Nahum-Shani , Lindsey Potter , Cho Lam , David W. Wetter , Walter Dempsey

We propose a sampling scheme suitable for reducing a data set prior to selecting a hypothesis with minimum empirical risk. The sampling only considers a subset of the ultimate (unknown) hypothesis set, but can nonetheless guarantee that the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2013-06-25 Paul Mineiro , Nikos Karampatziakis

We provide an asymptotic expansion of the maximal mean squared error (MSE) of the sample median to be attained on shrinking gross error neighborhoods about an ideal central distribution. More specifically, this expansion comes in powers of…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-06-02 Peter Ruckdeschel

Many datasets describing contacts in a population suffer from incompleteness due to population sampling and underreporting of contacts. Data-driven simulations of spreading processes using such incomplete data lead to an underestimation of…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2017-09-07 Julie Fournet , Alain Barrat

In Bayesian meta-analysis, the specification of prior probabilities for the between-study heterogeneity is commonly required, and is of particular benefit in situations where only few studies are included. Among the considerations in the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-02 Christian Röver , Sibylle Sturtz , Jona Lilienthal , Ralf Bender , Tim Friede

In this note, we consider the problem of estimating multinomial cell probabilities under the entropy loss when side information in aggregated data is available. We use the Jeffreys prior to obtain Bayes estimators. It is shown that by…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-11-08 Yasuyuki Hamura

We study the consistency of sample mean-variance portfolios of arbitrarily high dimension that are based on Bayesian or shrinkage estimation of the input parameters as well as weighted sampling. In an asymptotic setting where the number of…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2015-05-30 Francisco Rubio , Xavier Mestre , Daniel P. Palomar

An informative sampling design leads to unit inclusion probabilities that are correlated with the response variable of interest. However, multistage sampling designs may also induce higher order dependencies, which are typically ignored in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-01-23 Matthew R. Williams , Terrance D. Savitsky

When random effects are correlated with sample design variables, the usual approach of employing individual survey weights (constructed to be inversely proportional to the unit survey inclusion probabilities) to form a pseudo-likelihood no…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-26 Terrance D. Savitsky , Matthew R. Williams

To date, we have seen the emergence of a large literature on multivariate disease mapping. That is, incidence of (or mortality from) multiple diseases is recorded at the scale of areal units where incidence (mortality) across the diseases…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-17 Garazi Retegui , María Dolores Ugarte , Jaione Etxeberria , Alan E. Gelfand

In pharmaceutical and toxicological research, historical control data are increasingly used to validate concurrent control groups, typically via the construction of historical control limits. While methods have been described for continuous…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-24 Sören Budig , Frank Schaarschmidt , Max Menssen
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