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This work presents a novel resolution-invariant model order reduction strategy for multifidelity applications. We base our architecture on a novel neural network layer developed in this work, the graph feedforward network, which extends the…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-06-07 Oisín M. Morrison , Federico Pichi , Jan S. Hesthaven

Time series forecasting has important applications in financial analysis, weather forecasting, and traffic management. However, existing deep learning models are limited in processing non-stationary time series data because they cannot…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-13 Yuqi Xiong , Yang Wen

The paper describes the deep learning approach for forecasting non-stationary time series with using time trend correction in a neural network model. Along with the layers for predicting sales values, the neural network model includes a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-25 Bohdan M. Pavlyshenko

Time-series forecasting is a critical task across many domains, from engineering to economics, where accurate predictions drive strategic decisions. However, applying advanced deep learning models in challenging, volatile domains like…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-23 Andrzej Podobiński , Jarosław A. Chudziak

We introduce a dynamical spatio-temporal model formalized as a recurrent neural network for forecasting time series of spatial processes, i.e. series of observations sharing temporal and spatial dependencies. The model learns these…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-04-24 Ali Ziat , Edouard Delasalles , Ludovic Denoyer , Patrick Gallinari

The paper examines the potential of deep learning to support decisions in financial risk management. We develop a deep learning model for predicting whether individual spread traders secure profits from future trades. This task embodies…

Time-series forecasting plays an important role in many domains. Boosted by the advances in Deep Learning algorithms, it has for instance been used to predict wind power for eolic energy production, stock market fluctuations, or motor…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-23 Luis P. Silvestrin , Leonardos Pantiskas , Mark Hoogendoorn

Urban time series data forecasting featuring significant contributions to sustainable development is widely studied as an essential task of the smart city. However, with the dramatic and rapid changes in the world environment, the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-27 Zekun Cai , Renhe Jiang , Xinyu Yang , Zhaonan Wang , Diansheng Guo , Hiroki Kobayashi , Xuan Song , Ryosuke Shibasaki

Forecasting financial time series is considered to be a difficult task due to the chaotic feature of the series. Statistical approaches have shown solid results in some specific problems such as predicting market direction and single-price…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-07-05 Angelo Garangau Menezes , Saulo Martiello Mastelini

Spatial-temporal data forecasting of traffic flow is a challenging task because of complicated spatial dependencies and dynamical trends of temporal pattern between different roads. Existing frameworks typically utilize given spatial…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-09 Mengzhang Li , Zhanxing Zhu

Time series forecasting is often fundamental to scientific and engineering problems and enables decision making. With ever increasing data set sizes, a trivial solution to scale up predictions is to assume independence between interacting…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-18 Kashif Rasul , Abdul-Saboor Sheikh , Ingmar Schuster , Urs Bergmann , Roland Vollgraf

We explore the use of deep learning hierarchical models for problems in financial prediction and classification. Financial prediction problems -- such as those presented in designing and pricing securities, constructing portfolios, and risk…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-01-16 J. B. Heaton , N. G. Polson , J. H. Witte

Traditional approaches to estimating beta in finance often involve rigid assumptions and fail to adequately capture beta dynamics, limiting their effectiveness in use cases like hedging. To address these limitations, we have developed a…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-10-29 Yuxin Liu , Jimin Lin , Achintya Gopal

Time series data are everywhere -- from finance to healthcare -- and each domain brings its own unique complexities and structures. While advanced models like Transformers and graph neural networks (GNNs) have gained popularity in time…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-01 Fan-Keng Sun , Yu-Cheng Wu , Duane S. Boning

Multivariate time series (MTS) forecasting plays an important role in the automation and optimization of intelligent applications. It is a challenging task, as we need to consider both complex intra-variable dependencies and inter-variable…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-11 Ling Chen , Donghui Chen , Zongjiang Shang , Binqing Wu , Cen Zheng , Bo Wen , Wei Zhang

Probabilistic time series forecasting involves estimating the distribution of future based on its history, which is essential for risk management in downstream decision-making. We propose a deep state space model for probabilistic time…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-02 Longyuan Li , Junchi Yan , Xiaokang Yang , Yaohui Jin

Neural Processes (NPs) (Garnelo et al 2018a;b) approach regression by learning to map a context set of observed input-output pairs to a distribution over regression functions. Each function models the distribution of the output given an…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-07-10 Hyunjik Kim , Andriy Mnih , Jonathan Schwarz , Marta Garnelo , Ali Eslami , Dan Rosenbaum , Oriol Vinyals , Yee Whye Teh

Time series forecasting, which aims to predict future values based on historical data, has garnered significant attention due to its broad range of applications. However, real-world time series often exhibit complex non-uniform distribution…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-02 Yanru Sun , Zongxia Xie , Emadeldeen Eldele , Dongyue Chen , Qinghua Hu , Min Wu

Deep Learning models have become dominant in tackling financial time-series analysis problems, overturning conventional machine learning and statistical methods. Most often, a model trained for one market or security cannot be directly…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-26 Mostafa Shabani , Dat Thanh Tran , Juho Kanniainen , Alexandros Iosifidis

Training deep learning models that generalize well to live deployment is a challenging problem in the financial markets. The challenge arises because of high dimensionality, limited observations, changing data distributions, and a low…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2019-12-20 Brandon Da Silva , Sylvie Shang Shi