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Financial firms are interested in simulation to discover whether a given algorithm involving financial machine learning will operate profitably. While many versions of this type of algorithm have been published recently by researchers, the…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2022-06-22 Mark Joseph Bennett

The rapid development of time series forecasting research has brought many deep learning-based modules in this field. However, despite the increasing amount of new forecasting architectures, it is still unclear if we have leveraged the full…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-24 Difan Deng , Marius Lindauer

Considering the difficulty of financial time series forecasting in financial aid, much of the current research focuses on leveraging big data analytics in financial services. One modern approach is to utilize "predictive analysis",…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-28 Md Khairul Islam , Ayush Karmacharya , Timothy Sue , Judy Fox

This work contributes to the development of neural forecasting models with novel randomization-based learning methods. These methods improve the fitting abilities of the neural model, in comparison to the standard method, by generating…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-06 Grzegorz Dudek

Time series forecasting lies at the core of important real-world applications in many fields of science and engineering. The abundance of large time series datasets that consist of complex patterns and long-term dependencies has led to the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-01 Nancy Xu , Chrysoula Kosma , Michalis Vazirgiannis

Time series forecasting is a critical task that provides key information for decision-making. After traditional statistical and machine learning approaches, various fundamental deep learning architectures such as MLPs, CNNs, RNNs, and GNNs…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-02 Jongseon Kim , Hyungjoon Kim , HyunGi Kim , Dongjun Lee , Sungroh Yoon

Graph Neural Networks (GNN) have recently gained popularity in the forecasting domain due to their ability to model complex spatial and temporal patterns in tasks such as traffic forecasting and region-based demand forecasting. Most of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-08 Abishek Sriramulu , Nicolas Fourrier , Christoph Bergmeir

Financial time-series forecasting is one of the most challenging domains in the field of time-series analysis. This is mostly due to the highly non-stationary and noisy nature of financial time-series data. With progressive efforts of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-17 Mostafa Shabani , Dat Thanh Tran , Martin Magris , Juho Kanniainen , Alexandros Iosifidis

This paper develops a new neural network architecture for modeling spatial distributions (i.e., distributions on R^d) which is computationally efficient and specifically designed to take advantage of the spatial structure of limit order…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2016-07-06 Justin Sirignano

Time series prediction aims to predict future values to help stakeholders make proper strategic decisions. This problem is relevant in all industries and areas, ranging from financial data to demand to forecast. However, it remains…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-09-09 Aleksandr Pletnev , Rodrigo Rivera-Castro , Evgeny Burnaev

We introduce a neural network conformal prediction method for time series that enhances adaptivity in non-stationary environments. Our approach acts as a neural controller designed to achieve desired target coverage, leveraging auxiliary…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-25 Ruipu Li , Alexander Rodríguez

Unknown nonlinear dynamics can limit the performance of model-based feedforward control. The aim of this paper is to develop a feedforward control framework for systems with unknown, typically nonlinear, dynamics. To address the unknown…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-03-31 Johan Kon , Dennis Bruijnen , Jeroen van de Wijdeven , Marcel Heertjes , Tom Oomen

Algorithmic trading relies on extracting meaningful signals from diverse financial data sources, including candlestick charts, order statistics on put and canceled orders, traded volume data, limit order books, and news flow. While deep…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-22 Kasymkhan Khubiev , Mikhail Semenov

Neural networks applied to financial time series operate in a regime of underspecification, where model predictors achieve indistinguishable out-of-sample error. Using large-scale volatility forecasting for S$\&$P 500 stocks, we show that…

Time series forecasting is important across various domains for decision-making. In particular, financial time series such as stock prices can be hard to predict as it is difficult to model short-term and long-term temporal dependencies…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-12 Zhen Zeng , Rachneet Kaur , Suchetha Siddagangappa , Saba Rahimi , Tucker Balch , Manuela Veloso

Time series forecasting is an extensively studied subject in statistics, economics, and computer science. Exploration of the correlation and causation among the variables in a multivariate time series shows promise in enhancing the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-04-22 Chao Shang , Jie Chen , Jinbo Bi

Multivariate time series forecasting is extensively studied throughout the years with ubiquitous applications in areas such as finance, traffic, environment, etc. Still, concerns have been raised on traditional methods for incapable of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-09-10 Yen-Yu Chang , Fan-Yun Sun , Yueh-Hua Wu , Shou-De Lin

We propose a deep learning approach to probabilistic forecasting of macroeconomic and financial time series. Being able to learn complex patterns from a data rich environment, our approach is useful for a decision making that depends on…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2022-04-15 Jozef Barunik , Lubos Hanus

Modeling the dynamics of non-stationary stochastic systems requires balancing the representational power of deep learning with the mathematical transparency of classical models. While classical Markov transition operators provide explicit,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-07 Jan Rovirosa , Jesse Schmolze

Forecasting the behaviour of complex dynamical systems such as interconnected sensor networks characterized by high-dimensional multivariate time series(MTS) is of paramount importance for making informed decisions and planning for the…