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We propose a cautious Bayesian variable selection routine by investigating the sensitivity of a hierarchical model, where the regression coefficients are specified by spike and slab priors. We exploit the use of latent variables to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-20 Tathagata Basu , Matthias C. M. Troffaes , Jochen Einbeck

Connectivity estimation is challenging in the context of high-dimensional data. A useful preprocessing step is to group variables into clusters, however, it is not always clear how to do so from the perspective of connectivity estimation.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-05-25 Ricardo Pio Monti , Aapo Hyvärinen

Observed associations in a database may be due in whole or part to variations in unrecorded (latent) variables. Identifying such variables and their causal relationships with one another is a principal goal in many scientific and practical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2012-12-12 Ricardo Silva , Richard Scheines , Clark Glymour , Peter L. Spirtes

Our concern is selecting the concentration matrix's nonzero coefficients for a sparse Gaussian graphical model in a high-dimensional setting. This corresponds to estimating the graph of conditional dependencies between the variables. We…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2010-04-05 Christophe Ambroise , Julien Chiquet , Catherine Matias

The causal discovery of Bayesian networks is an active and important research area, and it is based upon searching the space of causal models for those which can best explain a pattern of probabilistic dependencies shown in the data.…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2016-07-25 Xuhui Zhang , Kevin B. Korb , Ann E. Nicholson , Steven Mascaro

Most estimates for penalised linear regression can be viewed as posterior modes for an appropriate choice of prior distribution. Bayesian shrinkage methods, particularly the horseshoe estimator, have recently attracted a great deal of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-11-06 Zemei Xu , Daniel F. Schmidt , Enes Makalic , Guoqi Qian , John L. Hopper

This paper presents a novel nonlinear regression model for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects from observational data, geared specifically towards situations with small effect sizes, heterogeneous effects, and strong confounding.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-11-14 P. Richard Hahn , Jared S. Murray , Carlos Carvalho

We propose a fully Bayesian approach for causal inference with multivariate categorical data based on staged tree models, a class of probabilistic graphical models capable of representing asymmetric and context-specific dependencies. To…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-06 Andrea Cremaschi , Manuele Leonelli , Gherardo Varando

In causal inference, interference occurs when the treatment of one unit may affect the outcomes of other units. The goal of this work is to serve as a guide to the use of linear outcome modeling for estimating causal effects in settings…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-01 Eric Tong , Salvador V. Balkus

We consider linear structural equation models with explicitly modelled latent variables. In such models, observed and latent variables solve linear equations including stochastic noise terms. The goal of our work is to identify the direct…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-28 Tom Hochsprung , Nils Sturma , Jakob Runge , Mathias Drton , Andreas Gerhardus

We propose a probabilistic modeling framework for learning the dynamic patterns in the collective behaviors of social agents and developing profiles for different behavioral groups, using data collected from multiple information sources.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-06-28 Lin Li , Ananthram Swami , Anna Scaglione

Concerning bivariate least squares linear regression, the classical results obtained for extreme structural models in earlier attempts are reviewed using a new formalism in terms of deviation (matrix) traces which, for homoscedastic data,…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2017-11-17 R. Caimmi

Factor analysis provides linear factors that describe relationships between individual variables of a data set. We extend this classical formulation into linear factors that describe relationships between groups of variables, where each…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-12-03 Arto Klami , Seppo Virtanen , Eemeli Leppäaho , Samuel Kaski

Complex systems are often driven by higher-order interactions among multiple units, naturally represented as hypergraphs. Understanding dependency structures within these hypergraphs is crucial for understanding and predicting the behavior…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2025-05-29 John Hood , Caterina De Bacco , Aaron Schein

We present a flexible Bayesian semiparametric mixed model for longitudinal data analysis in the presence of potentially high-dimensional categorical covariates. Building on a novel hidden Markov tensor decomposition technique, our proposed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-05 Giorgio Paulon , Peter Müller , Abhra Sarkar

Regression for spatially dependent outcomes poses many challenges, for inference and for computation. Non-spatial models and traditional spatial mixed-effects models each have their advantages and disadvantages, making it difficult for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-08-02 John Hughes

Understanding covariate-varying interdependencies among features is of great interest in various applications. Motivated by microbiome studies where microbial abundances and interactions vary with environmental factors, we develop a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-16 Shuangjie Zhang , Michael L. Patnode , Juhee Lee

I study peer effects that arise from irreversible decisions in the absence of a standard social equilibrium. I model a latent sequence of decisions in continuous time and obtain a closed-form expression for the likelihood, which allows to…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-02-18 Vincent Starck

A simple approach to obtaining uncertainty-aware neural networks for regression is to do Bayesian linear regression (BLR) on the representation from the last hidden layer. Recent work [Riquelme et al., 2018, Azizzadenesheli et al., 2018]…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-12-17 John Moberg , Lennart Svensson , Juliano Pinto , Henk Wymeersch

Discovering latent representations of the observed world has become increasingly more relevant in data analysis. Much of the effort concentrates on building latent variables which can be used in prediction problems, such as classification…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2010-01-08 Ricardo Silva