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相关论文: Estimating Treatment Effects with Causal Forests: …

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Forest-based methods have recently gained in popularity for non-parametric treatment effect estimation. Building on this line of work, we introduce causal survival forests, which can be used to estimate heterogeneous treatment effects in a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-01 Yifan Cui , Michael R. Kosorok , Erik Sverdrup , Stefan Wager , Ruoqing Zhu

Causal inference has gained much popularity in recent years, with interests ranging from academic, to industrial, to educational, and all in between. Concurrently, the study and usage of neural networks has also grown profoundly (albeit at…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-05-07 Demetrios Papakostas , Andrew Herren , P. Richard Hahn , Francisco Castillo

Many scientific and engineering challenges -- ranging from personalized medicine to customized marketing recommendations -- require an understanding of treatment effect heterogeneity. In this paper, we develop a non-parametric causal forest…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-07-11 Stefan Wager , Susan Athey

Uncovering the heterogeneity of causal effects of policies and business decisions at various levels of granularity provides substantial value to decision makers. This paper develops estimation and inference procedures for multiple treatment…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-09-09 Michael Lechner , Jana Mareckova

Uncovering the heterogeneity of causal effects of policies and business decisions at various levels of granularity provides substantial value to decision makers. This paper develops new estimation and inference procedures for multiple…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2019-07-08 Michael Lechner

Decision tree learning is increasingly being used for pointwise inference. Important applications include causal heterogenous treatment effects and dynamic policy decisions, as well as conditional quantile regression and design of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-02-08 Matias D. Cattaneo , Jason M. Klusowski , Peter M. Tian

This methodological review examines the use of the causal forest method by applied researchers across 133 peer-reviewed papers. It shows that the emerging best practice relies heavily on the approach and tools created by the original…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-12-24 Patrick Rehill

Researchers often hold the belief that random forests are "the cure to the world's ills" (Bickel, 2010). But how exactly do they achieve this? Focused on the recently introduced causal forests (Athey and Imbens, 2016; Wager and Athey,…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-12-27 Yiyi Huo , Yingying Fan , Fang Han

Recent years have seen many advances in methods for causal structure learning from data. The empirical assessment of such methods, however, is much less developed. Motivated by this gap, we pose the following question: how can one assess,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-30 Marco F. Eigenmann , Sach Mukherjee , Marloes H. Maathuis

Causal inference analyses often use existing observational data, which in many cases has some clustering of individuals. In this paper we discuss propensity score weighting methods in a multilevel setting where within clusters individuals…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-12-24 Youjin Lee , Trang Q. Nguyen , Elizabeth A. Stuart

Machine learning methods for estimating treatment effect heterogeneity promise greater flexibility than existing methods that test a few pre-specified hypotheses. However, one problem these methods can have is that it can be challenging to…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-08-05 Patrick Rehill

How do we learn from biased data? Historical datasets often reflect historical prejudices; sensitive or protected attributes may affect the observed treatments and outcomes. Classification algorithms tasked with predicting outcomes…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-12-04 David Madras , Elliot Creager , Toniann Pitassi , Richard Zemel

Recursive decision trees are widely used to estimate heterogeneous causal treatment effects in experimental and observational studies. These methods are typically implemented using CART-type recursive partitioning and are often viewed as…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-03-19 Matias D. Cattaneo , Jason M. Klusowski , Ruiqi Rae Yu

Adapting machine learning algorithms to better handle the presence of clusters or batch effects within training datasets is important across a wide variety of biological applications. This article considers the effect of ensembling Random…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-04-01 Maya Ramchandran , Rajarshi Mukherjee , Giovanni Parmigiani

Identifying causal treatment (or exposure) effects in observational studies requires the data to satisfy the unconfoundedness assumption which is not testable using the observed data. With sensitivity analysis, one can determine how the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-01-31 Yang Ou , Lu Tang , Chung-Chou H. Chang

The propensity score is a common tool for estimating the causal effect of a binary treatment in observational data. In this setting, matching, subclassification, imputation, or inverse probability weighting on the propensity score can…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-01-03 Michael J Lopez , Roee Gutman

Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects is critical in domains such as personalized medicine, resource allocation, and policy evaluation. A central challenge lies in identifying subpopulations that respond differently to interventions,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-09-18 Zilong Wang , Turgay Ayer , Shihao Yang

Flexible machine learning tools are increasingly used to estimate heterogeneous treatment effects. This paper gives an accessible tutorial demonstrating the use of the causal forest algorithm, available in the R package grf. We start with a…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-12-17 Erik Sverdrup , Maria Petukhova , Stefan Wager

A key challenge in estimating causal effects from observational data is handling confounding and is commonly achieved through weighting methods that balance distribution of covariates between treatment and control groups. Weighting…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-23 Simion De , Jared D. Huling

This study proposes an end-to-end algorithm for policy learning in causal inference. We observe data consisting of covariates, treatment assignments, and outcomes, where only the outcome corresponding to the assigned treatment is observed.…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-12-30 Masahiro Kato
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