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Gaussian Processes (GPs) are widely used to model dependencies in spatial statistics and machine learning. However, exact inference is computationally intractable for GP regression, with a time complexity of $O(n^3)$. The Vecchia…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-03-12 Botond Szabo , Yichen Zhu

Bayesian optimization (BO) has established itself as a leading strategy for efficiently optimizing expensive-to-evaluate functions. Existing BO methods mostly rely on Gaussian process (GP) surrogate models and are not applicable to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-29 Yongsheng Mei , Mahdi Imani , Tian Lan

Gaussian processes (GPs) are widely used in non-parametric Bayesian modeling, and play an important role in various statistical and machine learning applications. In a variety tasks of uncertainty quantification, generating random sample…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-08-02 Haoyuan Chen , Rui Tuo

In this paper, we explore the application of Gaussian Processes (GPs) for predicting mean-reverting time series with an underlying structure, using relatively unexplored functional and augmented data structures. While many conventional…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-03-05 Narayan Tondapu

We propose a principled algorithm for robust Bayesian filtering and smoothing in nonlinear stochastic dynamic systems when both the transition function and the measurement function are described by non-parametric Gaussian process (GP)…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2012-08-13 Marc Peter Deisenroth , Ryan Turner , Marco F. Huber , Uwe D. Hanebeck , Carl Edward Rasmussen

Bayesian methodologies prioritising accurate associations above sparsity in Gaussian graphical model (GGM) estimation remain relatively scarce in scientific literature. It is well accepted that the $\ell_2$ penalty enjoys a smaller…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-31 J. Smith , M. Arashi , A. Bekker

We introduce graph gamma process (GGP) linear dynamical systems to model real-valued multivariate time series. For temporal pattern discovery, the latent representation under the model is used to decompose the time series into a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-28 Rahi Kalantari , Mingyuan Zhou

Logistic Gaussian process (LGP) priors provide a flexible alternative for modelling unknown densities. The smoothness properties of the density estimates can be controlled through the prior covariance structure of the LGP, but the challenge…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-11-01 Jaakko Riihimäki , Aki Vehtari

Parameter identification and comparison of dynamical systems is a challenging task in many fields. Bayesian approaches based on Gaussian process regression over time-series data have been successfully applied to infer the parameters of a…

Variational inference techniques based on inducing variables provide an elegant framework for scalable posterior estimation in Gaussian process (GP) models. Besides enabling scalability, one of their main advantages over sparse…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-02-24 Simone Rossi , Markus Heinonen , Edwin V. Bonilla , Zheyang Shen , Maurizio Filippone

Autonomous racing creates challenging control problems, but Model Predictive Control (MPC) has made promising steps toward solving both the minimum lap-time problem and head-to-head racing. Yet, accurate models of the system are necessary…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-11-06 Tommaso Benciolini , Chen Tang , Marion Leibold , Catherine Weaver , Masayoshi Tomizuka , Wei Zhan

We introduce a scalable Gaussian process (GP) framework with deep product kernels for data-driven learning of parametrized spatio-temporal fields over fixed or parameter-dependent domains. The proposed framework learns a continuous…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-03 Srinath Dama , Prasanth B. Nair

Identifying dynamical system (DS) is a vital task in science and engineering. Traditional methods require numerous calls to the DS solver, rendering likelihood-based or least-squares inference frameworks impractical. For efficient parameter…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-09-19 Ying Zhou , Jinglai Li , Xiang Zhou , Hongqiao Wang

Fitting a theoretical model to experimental data in a Bayesian manner using Markov chain Monte Carlo typically requires one to evaluate the model thousands (or millions) of times. When the model is a slow-to-compute physics simulation,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-08-25 Steven Stetzler , Michael Grosskopf , Earl Lawrence

Gaussian processes (GPs) are distributions over functions, which provide a Bayesian nonparametric approach to regression and classification. In spite of their success, GPs have limited use in some applications, for example, in some cases a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-05-28 Alessio Benavoli , Dario Azzimonti , Dario Piga

Gaussian process state-space models (GP-SSMs) are a very flexible family of models of nonlinear dynamical systems. They comprise a Bayesian nonparametric representation of the dynamics of the system and additional (hyper-)parameters…

机器学习 · 统计学 2013-12-18 Roger Frigola , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön , Carl E. Rasmussen

Inter-domain Gaussian processes (GPs) allow for high flexibility and low computational cost when performing approximate inference in GP models. They are particularly suitable for modeling data exhibiting global structure but are limited to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-11-03 Tim G. J. Rudner , Dino Sejdinovic , Yarin Gal

Multifidelity models integrate data from multiple sources to produce a single approximator for the underlying process. Dense low-fidelity samples are used to reduce interpolation error, while sparse high-fidelity samples are used to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-02-27 Viv Bone , Chris van der Heide , Kieran Mackle , Ingo H. J. Jahn , Peter M. Dower , Chris Manzie

Gaussian processes (GPs) offer a principled probabilistic model over functions, but exact inference is restricted to the linear-Gaussian regime. We establish an explicit equivalence between GPs and a class of linear diffusion models,…

The proliferation of capable and efficient machine learning (ML) models marks one of the strongest methodological shifts in signal processing (SP) in its nearly 100-year history. ML models support the development of SP systems that…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-05-01 Daniel Waxman , Fernando Llorente , Petar M. Djurić