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With the recent interest in net-zero sustainability for commercial buildings, integration of photovoltaic (PV) assets becomes even more important. This integration remains a challenge due to high solar variability and uncertainty in the…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2018-08-28 Chaitanya Poolla , Abraham K. Ishihara

Accurate and reliable forecasting of photovoltaic (PV) power generation is crucial for grid operations, electricity markets, and energy planning, as solar systems now contribute a significant share of the electricity supply in many…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-08-22 Martin János Mayer , Ágnes Baran , Sebastian Lerch , Nina Horat , Dazhi Yang , Sándor Baran

Due to the stochastic nature of photovoltaic (PV) power generation, there is high demand for forecasting PV output to better integrate PV generation into power grids. Systematic knowledge regarding the factors influencing forecast accuracy…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-11-04 Thi Ngoc Nguyen , Felix Müsgens

Photovoltaic (PV) power generation has emerged as one of the lead renewable energy sources. Yet, its production is characterized by high uncertainty, being dependent on weather conditions like solar irradiance and temperature. Predicting PV…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-17 Johan Mathe , Nina Miolane , Nicolas Sebastien , Jeremie Lequeux

The output of solar power generation is significantly dependent on the available solar radiation. Thus, with the proliferation of PV generation in the modern power grid, forecasting of solar irradiance is vital for proper operation of the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-09-05 Kwasi Opoku , Svetlana Lucemo , Qun Zhou Sun , Aleksandar Dimitrovski

The variable nature of the solar generation and the inherent uncertainty in solar generation forecasts are two challenging issues for utility grids, especially as the distribution grid integrated solar generation proliferates. This paper…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2017-03-02 Alireza Majzoobi , Amin Khodaei , Shay Bahramirad

Power supply from renewable resources is on a global rise where it is forecasted that renewable generation will surpass other types of generation in a foreseeable future. Increased generation from renewable resources, mainly solar and wind,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-06-28 Mohana Alanazi , Mohsen Mahoor , Amin Khodaei

Due to the increasing proportion of distributed photovoltaic (PV) production in the generation mix, the knowledge of the PV generation capacity has become a key factor. In this work, we propose to compute the PV plant maximum power starting…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2017-05-12 Enrica Scolari , Fabrizio Sossan , Mario Paolone

Renewable Energies (RES) penetration is progressing rapidly: in France, the installed capacity of photovoltaic (PV) power rose from 26MW in 2007 to 8GW in 2017 [1]. Power generated by PV plants being highly dependent on variable weather…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-10-15 Kevin Bellinguer , Robin Girard , Guillaume Bontron , Georges Kariniotakis

Using solar power in the process industry can reduce greenhouse gas emissions and make the production process more sustainable. However, the intermittent nature of solar power renders its usage challenging. Building a model to predict…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-05-17 Yu Yang , Jia Mao , Richard Nguyen , Annas Tohmeh , Hen-Geul Yeh

Reliable forecasts of the power output from variable renewable energy generators like solar photovoltaic systems are important to balancing load on real-time electricity markets and ensuring electricity supply reliability. However, solar PV…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2025-05-07 Andea Scott , Sindhu Sreedhara , Folasade Ayoola

Effective utilization of photovoltaic (PV) plants requires weather variability robust global solar radiation (GSR) forecasting models. Random weather turbulence phenomena coupled with assumptions of clear sky model as suggested by Hottel…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2017-12-12 Subhadip Dey , Sawon Pratiher , Saon Banerjee , Chanchal Kumar Mukherjee

The uncertainty of the energy generated by photovoltaic systems incurs an additional cost for a guaranteed, reliable supply of energy (i.e., energy storage). This investigation aims to decrease the additional cost by introducing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-19 Guillermo Terrén-Serrano , Manel Martínez-Ramón

Estimation of the generated power of renewable energy resources is in general important for planning operations as well as demand balance and power quality. This paper addresses the problem of the estimation of the short-term (3-hour ahead)…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-11-20 L. A. Dao , L. Ferrarini , D. La Carrubba

When cloud layers cover photovoltaic (PV) panels, the amount of power the panels produce fluctuates rapidly. Therefore, to maintain enough energy on a power grid to match demand, utilities companies rely on reserve power sources that…

In this paper we present a probabilistic analysis framework to estimate behind-the-meter photovoltaic generation in real time. We develop a forward model consisting of a spatiotemporal stochastic process that represents the photovoltaic…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-04-23 Shaohui Liu , Daniel Adrian Maldonado , Emil M. Constantinescu

Integration of intermittent renewable energy sources into electric grids in large proportions is challenging. A well-established approach aimed at addressing this difficulty involves the anticipation of the upcoming energy supply…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-06-08 Quentin Paletta , Guillaume Arbod , Joan Lasenby

The residential electrical energy scheduling of solar Photovoltaics (PV) is an important research area of the modern green buildings. On the demand side, factors such as building load, and the renewable PV energy resources are integrated…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-03-16 Sara Zainaa , Shima Sadaf , Ansaruddin Kunjuc , Mohammad Meraj , Devrim Unal , Farid Touati

This paper presents SolarBoost, a novel approach for forecasting power output in distributed photovoltaic (DPV) systems. While existing centralized photovoltaic (CPV) methods are able to precisely model output dependencies due to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-27 Linyuan Geng , Linxiao Yang , Xinyue Gu , Liang Sun

Renewable energy is essential for energy security and global warming mitigation. However, power generation from renewable energy sources is uncertain due to volatile weather conditions and complex equipment operations. To improve…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-09 Yuchen Shi , Nan Chen