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相关论文: Improving forecasting accuracy of time series data…

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Time series forecasting has attracted significant attention, leading to the de-velopment of a wide range of approaches, from traditional statistical meth-ods to advanced deep learning models. Among them, the Auto-Regressive Integrated…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-28 Thanh Son Nguyen , Van Thanh Nguyen , Dang Minh Duc Nguyen

The renewable energies prediction and particularly global radiation forecasting is a challenge studied by a growing number of research teams. This paper proposes an original technique to model the insolation time series based on combining…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2012-11-13 Cyril Voyant , Marc Muselli , Christophe Paoli , Marie Laure Nivet

Providing forecasts for ultra-long time series plays a vital role in various activities, such as investment decisions, industrial production arrangements, and farm management. This paper develops a novel distributed forecasting framework to…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-04-23 Xiaoqian Wang , Yanfei Kang , Rob J Hyndman , Feng Li

This paper presents a comprehensive framework for time series prediction using a hybrid model that combines ARIMA and LSTM. The model incorporates feature engineering techniques, including embedding and PCA, to transform raw data into a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-12 Chang Liu , Chengcheng Ma , XuanQi Zhou

Accurate prediction of financial time series is a key concern for market economy makers and investors. The article selects online store sales and Australian beer sales as representatives of non-stationary, trending, and seasonal financial…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-06-10 Wei Chen , Yuanyuan Yang , Jianyu Liu

Predicting the price that has the least error and can provide the best and highest accuracy has been one of the most challenging issues and one of the most critical concerns among capital market activists and researchers. Therefore, a model…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-05 Mohammadhossein Rashidi , Mohammad Modarres

Combining forecast from different models has shown to perform better than single forecast in most time series. To improve the quality of forecast we can go for combining forecast. We study the effect of decomposing a series into multiple…

应用统计 · 统计学 2013-03-04 Manisha Gahirwal

Prediction for high dimensional time series is a challenging task due to the curse of dimensionality problem. Classical parametric models like ARIMA or VAR require strong modeling assumptions and time stationarity and are often…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-12-16 Nikita Puchkin , Aleksandr Timofeev , Vladimir Spokoiny

Forecasting time series data is an important subject in economics, business, and finance. Traditionally, there are several techniques to effectively forecast the next lag of time series data such as univariate Autoregressive (AR),…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-03-05 Sima Siami-Namini , Akbar Siami Namin

This research systematically develops and evaluates various hybrid modeling approaches by combining traditional econometric models (ARIMA and ARFIMA models) with machine learning and deep learning techniques (SVM, XGBoost, and LSTM models)…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2025-05-27 Dominik Stempień , Robert Ślepaczuk

Enhancing the robustness and accuracy of time series forecasting models is an active area of research. Recently, Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) have found extensive applications in many practical forecasting problems. However, the…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2013-02-27 Ratnadip Adhikari , R. K. Agrawal

The increasing complexity of supply chains and the rising costs associated with defective or substandard goods (bad goods) highlight the urgent need for advanced predictive methodologies to mitigate risks and enhance operational efficiency.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-10 Bishwajit Prasad Gond

The ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average model) has extensive applications in the field of time series forecasting. However, the predictive performance of the ARIMA model is limited when dealing with data gaps or significant…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-11-21 Xitai Yu

Recent works for time-series forecasting more and more leverage the high predictive power of Deep Learning models. With this increase in model complexity, however, comes a lack in understanding of the underlying model decision process,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-17 Matthias Jakobs , Thomas Liebig

Many businesses and industries require accurate forecasts for weekly time series nowadays. However, the forecasting literature does not currently provide easy-to-use, automatic, reproducible and accurate approaches dedicated to this task.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-05 Rakshitha Godahewa , Christoph Bergmeir , Geoffrey I. Webb , Pablo Montero-Manso

The decline in interest rates and economic stabilization has heightened the importance of accurate mortality rate forecasting, particularly in insurance and pension markets. Multi-step-ahead predictions are crucial for public health,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-29 Filipe C. L. Duarte , Paulo S. G. de Mattos Neto , Paulo R. A. Firmino

Accurate forecasting of project performance metrics is crucial for successfully managing and delivering urban road reconstruction projects. Traditional methods often rely on static baseline plans and fail to consider the dynamic nature of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-02 Soheila Sadeghi

Time series forecasting is crucial in several sectors, such as meteorology, retail, healthcare, and finance. Accurately forecasting future trends and patterns is crucial for strategic planning and making well-informed decisions. In this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-19 Nitin Sagar Boyeena , Begari Susheel Kumar

A hybrid approach, incorporating concepts of nonlinear dynamics in artificial neural networks (ANN), is proposed to model time series generated by complex dynamic systems. We introduce well known features used in the study of dynamic…

comp-gas · 物理学 2008-02-03 D. R. Kulkarni , A. S. Pandya , J. C. Parikh

Time series forecasting plays an increasingly important role in modern business decisions. In today's data-rich environment, people often aim to choose the optimal forecasting model for their data. However, identifying the optimal model…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-12-17 Xixi Li , Fotios Petropoulos , Yanfei Kang
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