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We propose an improved estimator for the multi-task averaging problem, whose goal is the joint estimation of the means of multiple distributions using separate, independent data sets. The naive approach is to take the empirical mean of each…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-11-16 Hannah Marienwald , Jean-Baptiste Fermanian , Gilles Blanchard

Ideally, a meta-analysis will summarize data from several unbiased studies. Here we consider the less than ideal situation in which contributing studies may be compromised by measurement error. Measurement error affects every study design,…

Modern neural networks have found to be miscalibrated in terms of confidence calibration, i.e., their predicted confidence scores do not reflect the observed accuracy or precision. Recent work has introduced methods for post-hoc confidence…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-09-22 Fabian Küppers , Jan Kronenberger , Jonas Schneider , Anselm Haselhoff

The effectiveness of active learning largely depends on the sampling efficiency of the acquisition function. Expected Loss Reduction (ELR) focuses on a Bayesian estimate of the reduction in classification error, and more general costs fit…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-19 Wei Tan , Lan Du , Wray Buntine

Conformal inference provides a rigorous statistical framework for uncertainty quantification in machine learning, enabling well-calibrated prediction sets with precise coverage guarantees for any classification model. However, its reliance…

Empirical Bayes is a versatile approach to `learn from a lot' in two ways: first, from a large number of variables and second, from a potentially large amount of prior information, e.g. stored in public repositories. We review applications…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-03-19 Mark A. van de Wiel , Dennis E. te Beest , Magnus Münch

This paper proposes a Bayesian method for estimating the parameters of a normal distribution when only limited summary statistics (sample mean, minimum, maximum, and sample size) are available. To estimate the parameters of a normal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-21 Tomoki Matsumoto

Consistent experiment data are crucial to adjust parameters of physics models and to determine best estimates of observables. However, often experiment data are not consistent due to unrecognized systematic errors. Standard methods of…

核理论 · 物理学 2018-03-05 Georg Schnabel

Electrocardiography (ECG) signals are frequently degraded by noise, limiting their clinical reliability in both conventional and wearable settings. Existing methods for addressing ECG noise, relying on artifact classification or denoising,…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-07-23 Tae-Seong Han , Jae-Wook Heo , Hakseung Kim , Cheol-Hui Lee , Hyub Huh , Eue-Keun Choi , Hye Jin Kim , Dong-Joo Kim

The Bayesian Cram\'er-Rao bound (CRB) provides a lower bound on the mean square error of any Bayesian estimator under mild regularity conditions. It can be used to benchmark the performance of statistical estimators, and provides a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-09-09 Evan Scope Crafts , Xianyang Zhang , Bo Zhao

Randomized benchmarking (RB) protocols are standard tools for characterizing quantum devices. Prior analyses of RB protocols have not provided a complete method for analyzing realistic data, resulting in a variety of ad-hoc methods. The…

量子物理 · 物理学 2018-02-02 Ian Hincks , Joel J. Wallman , Chris Ferrie , Chris Granade , David G. Cory

We develop an empirical Bayes (EB) G-modeling framework for short-panel linear models with nonparametric prior for the random intercepts, slopes, dynamics, and non-spherical error variances. We establish identification and consistency of…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-02-13 Myunghyun Song , Sokbae Lee , Serena Ng

We study methods for simultaneous analysis of many noisy experiments in the presence of rich covariate information. The goal of the analyst is to optimally estimate the true effect underlying each experiment. Both the noisy experimental…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-01-14 Nikolaos Ignatiadis , Stefan Wager

In this work, with combined belief propagation (BP), mean field (MF) and expectation propagation (EP), an iterative receiver is designed for joint phase noise (PN) estimation, equalization and decoding in a coded communication system. The…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2016-09-07 Wei Wang , Zhongyong Wang , Chuanzong Zhang , Qinghua Guo , Peng Sun , Xingye Wang

Regularized system identification has become a significant complement to more classical system identification. It has been numerically shown that kernel-based regularized estimators often perform better than the maximum likelihood estimator…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-03-18 Yue Ju , Bo Wahlberg , Håkan Hjalmarsson

The estimation of functional networks through functional covariance and graphical models have recently attracted increasing attention in settings with high dimensional functional data, where the number of functional variables p is…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-09-05 Qin Fang , Qing Jiang , Xinghao Qiao

We consider the common setting where one observes probability estimates for a large number of events, such as default risks for numerous bonds. Unfortunately, even with unbiased estimates, selecting events corresponding to the most extreme…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-14 Gareth M. James , Peter Radchenko , Bradley Rava

By explaining how humans would solve a given task, human rationales can provide strong learning signal for neural language models (LMs). Explanation regularization (ER) aims to improve LM generalization by pushing the LM's machine…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-03-01 Brihi Joshi , Aaron Chan , Ziyi Liu , Shaoliang Nie , Maziar Sanjabi , Hamed Firooz , Xiang Ren

Polarization data will soon provide the best avenue for measurements of the CMB lensing potential, although it is potentially sensitive to several instrumental effects including beam asymmetry, polarization angle uncertainties, sky…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2019-06-10 Toshiya Namikawa , Ryuichi Takahashi

Objective: Sparse Bayesian learning provides an effective scheme to solve the high-dimensional problem in brain signal decoding. However, traditional assumptions regarding data distributions such as Gaussian and binomial are potentially…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-08-19 Yuanhao Li , Badong Chen , Wenjun Bai , Yasuharu Koike , Okito Yamashita