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相关论文: Back to square one: probabilistic trajectory forec…

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Spatial-temporal forecasting plays an important role in many real-world applications, such as traffic forecasting, air pollutant forecasting, crowd-flow forecasting, and so on. State-of-the-art spatial-temporal forecasting models take…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-22 Xinyu Su , Jianzhong Qi , Egemen Tanin , Yanchuan Chang , Majid Sarvi

The paper presents a spatio-temporal wind speed forecasting algorithm using Deep Learning (DL)and in particular, Recurrent Neural Networks(RNNs). Motivated by recent advances in renewable energy integration and smart grids, we apply our…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-07-27 Amir Ghaderi , Borhan M. Sanandaji , Faezeh Ghaderi

Predicting the motion of a driver's vehicle is crucial for advanced driving systems, enabling detection of potential risks towards shared control between the driver and automation systems. In this paper, we propose a variational neural…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2019-03-07 Xin Huang , Stephen McGill , Brian C. Williams , Luke Fletcher , Guy Rosman

The ability to model and predict ego-vehicle's surrounding traffic is crucial for autonomous pilots and intelligent driver-assistance systems. Acceleration prediction is important as one of the major components of traffic prediction. This…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-05-11 Jianyu Su , Peter A. Beling , Rui Guo , Kyungtae Han

We consider the problem of minimizing a convex function that is evolving according to unknown and possibly stochastic dynamics, which may depend jointly on time and on the decision variable itself. Such problems abound in the machine…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-05-30 Joshua Cutler , Dmitriy Drusvyatskiy , Zaid Harchaoui

The ability to predict multiple possible future positions of the ego-vehicle given the surrounding context while also estimating their probabilities is key to safe autonomous driving. Most of the current state-of-the-art Deep Learning…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-10-05 Thomas Kurbiel , Akash Sachdeva , Kun Zhao , Markus Buehren

Capturing multimodal natures is essential for stochastic pedestrian trajectory prediction, to infer a finite set of future trajectories. The inferred trajectories are based on observation paths and the latent vectors of potential decisions…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-05-17 Inhwan Bae , Jin-Hwi Park , Hae-Gon Jeon

Here, we propose a general method for probabilistic time series forecasting. We combine an autoregressive recurrent neural network to model temporal dynamics with Implicit Quantile Networks to learn a large class of distributions over a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-09 Adèle Gouttes , Kashif Rasul , Mateusz Koren , Johannes Stephan , Tofigh Naghibi

Probabilistic forecasting provides a principled framework for uncertainty quantification in dynamical systems by representing predictions as probability distributions rather than deterministic trajectories. However, existing forecasting…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-27 Tianlin Yang , Hailiang Du , Louis Aslett

Accurate traffic prediction is essential for optimizing transportation systems, enhancing resource allocation, and improving overall urban administration. Spatio-temporal graph neural networks (GNNs) have achieved state-of-the-art…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-12 Qianru Zhang , Xinyi Gao , Alexander Zhou , Reynold Cheng , Siu-Ming Yiu , Hongzhi Yin

Trajectory prediction has always been a challenging problem for autonomous driving, since it needs to infer the latent intention from the behaviors and interactions from traffic participants. This problem is intrinsically hard, because each…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-05-07 Hao He , Hengchen Dai , Naiyan Wang

We address the problem of forecasting pedestrian and vehicle trajectories in unknown environments, conditioned on their past motion and scene structure. Trajectory forecasting is a challenging problem due to the large variation in scene…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-04-30 Nachiket Deo , Mohan M. Trivedi

Traffic flow forecasting is of great significance for improving the efficiency of transportation systems and preventing emergencies. Due to the highly non-linearity and intricate evolutionary patterns of short-term and long-term traffic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-12-01 Xu Chen , Yuanxing Zhang , Lun Du , Zheng Fang , Yi Ren , Kaigui Bian , Kunqing Xie

Traffic forecasting has attracted widespread attention recently. In reality, traffic data usually contains missing values due to sensor or communication errors. The Spatio-temporal feature in traffic data brings more challenges for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-14 Jingwei Zuo , Karine Zeitouni , Yehia Taher , Sandra Garcia-Rodriguez

Autonomous systems in the road transportation network require intelligent mechanisms that cope with uncertainty to foresee the future. In this paper, we propose a multi-stage probabilistic approach for trajectory forecasting: trajectory…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-28 Tiago Rodrigues de Almeida , Oscar Martinez Mozos

Trajectory prediction is an important task that involves modeling the indeterminate nature of traffic actors to forecast future trajectories given the observed trajectory sequences. However, current methods confine themselves to presumed…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2023-12-18 Pranav Singh Chib , Pravendra Singh

In this work, we tackle two widespread challenges in real applications for time-series forecasting that have been largely understudied: distribution shifts and missing data. We propose SpectraNet, a novel multivariate time-series…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-26 Cristian Challu , Peihong Jiang , Ying Nian Wu , Laurent Callot

We introduce probabilistic neural networks that describe unsupervised synchronous learning on an atomic Hardy space and space of bounded real analytic functions, respectively. For a stationary ergodic vector process, we prove that the…

概率论 · 数学 2020-04-23 Kyung Soo Rim , U Jin Choi

Accurate forecasting of spatiotemporal data remains challenging due to complex spatial dependencies and temporal dynamics. The inherent uncertainty and variability in such data often render deterministic models insufficient, prompting a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-05 Mingze Gong , Lei Chen , Jia Li

Human behavior has the nature of indeterminacy, which requires the pedestrian trajectory prediction system to model the multi-modality of future motion states. Unlike existing stochastic trajectory prediction methods which usually use a…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-03-28 Tianpei Gu , Guangyi Chen , Junlong Li , Chunze Lin , Yongming Rao , Jie Zhou , Jiwen Lu