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Stochastic epidemic models describe the dynamics of an epidemic as a disease spreads through a population. Typically, only a fraction of cases are observed at a set of discrete times. The absence of complete information about the time…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-02-14 Jonathan Fintzi , Xiang Cui , Jon Wakefield , Vladimir N. Minin

As populations age, the rise of multimorbidity poses a significant healthcare challenge. However, our ability to quantitatively forecast the progression of multimorbidity remains limited. Leveraging a nationwide dataset comprising…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-07-29 Katharina Ledebur , Alexandra Kautzky-Willer , Stefan Thurner , Peter Klimek

COVID-19 has challenged health systems to learn how to learn. This paper describes the context, methods and challenges for learning to improve COVID-19 care at one academic health center. Challenges to learning include: (1) choosing a right…

Sequence analysis is being more and more widely used for the analysis of social sequences and other multivariate categorical time series data. However, it is often complex to describe, visualize, and compare large sequence data, especially…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-03-22 Satu Helske , Jouni Helske

In routine care, individuals identified a priori as high-risk are usually tested for conditions more frequently. Protected attributes, such as sex or ethnicity may also determine testing frequency. Such heterogeneous detection rates across…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-05-08 Jose Benitez-Aurioles , Ricardo Silva , Brian McMillan , Matthew Sperrin

In the healthcare industry, researchers have been developing machine learning models to automate diagnosing patients with respiratory illnesses based on their breathing patterns. However, these models do not consider the demographic biases,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-10 Rachel Pfeifer , Sudip Vhaduri , James Eric Dietz

We propose a novel Coupled Hidden Markov Model to detect epileptic seizures in multichannel electroencephalography (EEG) data. Our model defines a network of seizure propagation paths to capture both the temporal and spatial evolution of…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2018-08-13 Jeff Craley , Emily Johnson , Archana Venkataraman

Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) are powerful tools for modeling sequential data, where the underlying states evolve in a stochastic manner and are only indirectly observable. Traditional HMM approaches are well-established for linear sequences,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-06-05 Farzan Vafa , Sahand Hormoz

Foundation models trained on electronic health records show strong performance on many clinical prediction tasks but are limited by sparse and irregular documentation. Wearable devices provide dense continuous physiological signals but lack…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-21 Yuanyun Zhang , Han Zhou , Li Feng , Yilin Hong , Shi Li

The widespread adoption of electronic health records (EHRs) enables the acquisition of heterogeneous clinical data, spanning lab tests, vital signs, medications, and procedures, which offer transformative potential for artificial…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-03-17 Mingcheng Zhu , Yu Liu , Zhiyao Luo , Tingting Zhu

Studying physiology over a broad population for long periods of time is difficult primarily because collecting human physiologic data is intrusive, dangerous, and expensive. Electronic health record (EHR) data promise to support the…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2015-05-30 DJ Albers , George Hripcsak , Michael Schmidt

A stochastic epidemic model accounting for the effect of contact-tracing on the spread of an infectious disease is studied. Precisely, individuals identified as infected may contribute to detecting other infectious individuals by providing…

概率论 · 数学 2009-03-28 Stéphan Clémençon , Viet Chi Tran , Hector De Arazoza

Various and ubiquitous information systems are being used in monitoring, exchanging, and collecting information. These systems are generating massive amount of event sequence logs that may help us understand underlying phenomenon. By…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-07-13 Yihuang Kang , Vladimir Zadorozhny

The hidden Markov model (HMM) has been a workhorse of single molecule data analysis and is now commonly used as a standalone tool in time series analysis or in conjunction with other analyses methods such as tracking. Here we provide a…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2017-06-28 Ioannis Sgouralis , Steve Presse

Stratifying patients at risk for postoperative complications may facilitate timely and accurate workups and reduce the burden of adverse events on patients and the health system. Currently, a widely-used surgical risk calculator created by…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-11-30 Wen Wang , Rema Padman , Nirav Shah

Electronic Health Records (EHR) serve as a valuable source of patient information, offering insights into medical histories, treatments, and outcomes. Previous research has developed systems for detecting applicable ICD codes that should be…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-07-09 Mireia Hernandez Caralt , Clarence Boon Liang Ng , Marek Rei

Early detection of preventable diseases is important for better disease management, improved inter-ventions, and more efficient health-care resource allocation. Various machine learning approacheshave been developed to utilize information…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-08-16 Jingshu Liu , Zachariah Zhang , Narges Razavian

In this review, we successively present the methods for phenomenological modeling of the evolution of reported and unreported cases of COVID-19, both in the exponential phase of growth and then in a complete epidemic wave. After the case of…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2023-10-02 J. Demongeot , P. Magal

We study the behavior of a Time-Aware Long Short-Term Memory Autoencoder, a state-of-the-art method, in the context of learning latent representations from irregularly sampled patient data. We identify a key issue in the way such recurrent…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-02-12 Duc Thanh Anh Luong , Varun Chandola

In clinical practice and biomedical research, measurements are often collected sparsely and irregularly in time while the data acquisition is expensive and inconvenient. Examples include measurements of spine bone mineral density, cancer…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-08-05 Łukasz Kidziński , Trevor Hastie