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Time series forecasting models have diverse real world applications (e.g., from electricity metrics to software workload). Latest foundational models trained for time series forecasting show strengths (e.g., for long sequences and in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-03 Keun Soo Yim

Assessing reliably the confidence of a deep neural network and predicting its failures is of primary importance for the practical deployment of these models. In this paper, we propose a new target criterion for model confidence,…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2019-10-29 Charles Corbière , Nicolas Thome , Avner Bar-Hen , Matthieu Cord , Patrick Pérez

While cloud-native microservice architectures have revolutionized software development, their inherent operational complexity makes failure Root Cause Analysis (RCA) a critical yet challenging task. Numerous data-driven RCA models have been…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2025-12-24 Aoyang Fang , Songhan Zhang , Yifan Yang , Haotong Wu , Junjielong Xu , Xuyang Wang , Rui Wang , Manyi Wang , Qisheng Lu , Pinjia He

Link failures in supply networks can have catastrophic consequences that can lead to a complete collapse of the network. Strategies to prevent failure spreading are thus heavily sought after. Here, we make use of a spanning tree formulation…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-06-09 Franz Kaiser , Dirk Witthaut

Social network analytics methods are being used in the telecommunication industry to predict customer churn with great success. In particular it has been shown that relational learners adapted to this specific problem enhance the…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2020-03-20 María Óskarsdóttir , Cristián Bravo , Wouter Verbeke , Carlos Sarraute , Bart Baesens , Jan Vanthienen

We analyze call center data on properties such as agent heterogeneity, customer patience and breaks. Then we compare simulation models that are different in the ways these properties are modeled. We classify them according to the extend in…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-03-01 Ger Koole , Siqiao Li , Sihan Ding

Driven in part by the COVID-19 pandemic, the pace of online purchases for at-home delivery has accelerated significantly. However, responding to this development has been challenging given the lack of public data. The existing data may be…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-07 Majid Mirzanezhad , Richard Twumasi-Boakye , Andrea Broaddus , Tayo Fabusuyi

The penultimate goal for developing machine learning models in supply chain management is to make optimal interventions. However, most machine learning models identify correlations in data rather than inferring causation, making it…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-31 Mateusz Wyrembek , George Baryannis , Alexandra Brintrup

Matching demand with supply in crowdsourcing logistics platforms must contend with uncertain worker participation. Motivated by this challenge, we study a two-stage "recommend-to-match" problem under stochastic supplier rejections, where…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-04-01 Haoyue Liu , Sheng Liu , Mingyao Qi

In this work and the supporting Parts II [2] and III [3], we provide a rather detailed analysis of the stability and performance of asynchronous strategies for solving distributed optimization and adaptation problems over networks. We…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2014-12-17 Xiaochuan Zhao , Ali H. Sayed

This paper presents a novel approach to root cause attribution of delivery risks within supply chains by integrating causal discovery with reinforcement learning. As supply chains become increasingly complex, traditional methods of root…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-06-12 Minheng Xiao

Recent control trends are increasingly relying on communication networks and wireless channels to close the loop for Internet-of-Things applications. Traditionally these approaches are model-based, i.e., assuming a network or channel model…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-11-11 Konstantinos Gatsis , George J. Pappas

We present the first empirical study on customer churn prediction in the scholarly publishing industry. The study examines our proposed method for prediction on a customer subscription data over a period of 6.5 years, which was provided by…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-21 Michael Roberts , J. Ignacio Deza , Hisham Ihshaish , Yanhui Zhu

This article introduces methods for constructing prediction bounds or intervals for the number of future failures from heterogeneous reliability field data. We focus on within-sample prediction where early data from a failure-time process…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-04-13 Colin Lewis-Beck , Qinglong Tian , William Q. Meeker

The rise of big data analytics has automated the decision-making of companies and increased supply chain agility. In this paper, we study the supply chain contract design problem faced by a data-driven supplier who needs to respond to the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-10 Xuejun Zhao , Ruihao Zhu , William B. Haskell

Kubernetes is a free, open-source container orchestration system for deploying and managing Docker containers that host microservices. Kubernetes cluster logs help in determining the reason for the failure. However, as systems become more…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2023-06-14 Pawan Kumar Sarika , Deepika Badampudi , Sai Prashanth Josyula , Muhammad Usman

Sales pipeline analysis is fundamental to proactive management of an enterprize's sales pipeline and critical for business success. In particular, win propensity prediction, which involves quantitatively estimating the likelihood that…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2015-02-24 Junchi Yan , Min Gong , Changhua Sun , Jin Huang , Stephen M. Chu

In recent years, the frequent occurrence of disruptions has had a negative impact on global supply chains. To stay competitive, enterprises strive to remain agile through the implementation of efficient and effective decision-making…

多智能体系统 · 计算机科学 2025-07-28 Mingjie Bi , Dawn M. Tilbury , Siqian Shen , Kira Barton

Multiplex networks allow us to study a variety of complex systems where nodes connect to each other in multiple ways, for example friend, family, and co-worker relations in social networks. Link prediction is the branch of network analysis…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2020-08-20 Michele Coscia , Michael Szell

User connectivity patterns in network applications are known to be heterogeneous, and to follow periodic (daily and weekly) patterns. In many cases, the regularity and the correlation of those patterns is problematic: for network…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2016-11-18 Matteo Dell'Amico , Maurizio Filippone , Pietro Michiardi , Yves Roudier