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Causal discovery and causal effect estimation are two fundamental tasks in causal inference. While many methods have been developed for each task individually, statistical challenges arise when applying these methods jointly: estimating…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-21 Paula Gradu , Tijana Zrnic , Yixin Wang , Michael I. Jordan

In prior work we have introduced an asymptotic threshold of sufficient randomness for causal inference from observational data. In this paper we extend that prior work in three main ways. First, we show how to empirically estimate a lower…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-07 Brian Knaeble , Braxton Osting , Placede Tshiaba

This paper describes a Bayesian method for combining an arbitrary mixture of observational and experimental data in order to learn causal Bayesian networks. Observational data are passively observed. Experimental data, such as that produced…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-01-30 Gregory F. Cooper , Changwon Yoo

In causal inference, sensitivity models assess how unmeasured confounders could alter causal analyses, but the sensitivity parameter -- which quantifies the degree of unmeasured confounding -- is often difficult to interpret. For this…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-04 Alec McClean , Zach Branson , Edward H. Kennedy

Many of the causal discovery methods rely on the faithfulness assumption to guarantee asymptotic correctness. However, the assumption can be approximately violated in many ways, leading to sub-optimal solutions. Although there is a line of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-19 Ignavier Ng , Yujia Zheng , Jiji Zhang , Kun Zhang

Confounding bias, missing data, and selection bias are three common obstacles to valid causal inference in the data sciences. Covariate adjustment is the most pervasive technique for recovering casual effects from confounding bias. In this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-09-17 Mojdeh Saadati , Jin Tian

We are interested in learning causal relationships between pairs of random variables, purely from observational data. To effectively address this task, the state-of-the-art relies on strong assumptions regarding the mechanisms mapping…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-09-16 David Lopez-Paz , Krikamol Muandet , Benjamin Recht

This paper tackles the challenge of detecting unreliable behavior in regression algorithms, which may arise from intrinsic variability (e.g., aleatoric uncertainty) or modeling errors (e.g., model uncertainty). First, we formally introduce…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-12 Andres Altieri , Marco Romanelli , Georg Pichler , Florence Alberge , Pablo Piantanida

This paper studies the problem of estimating a covariance matrix from correlated sub-Gaussian samples. We consider using the correlated sample covariance matrix estimator to approximate the true covariance matrix. We establish…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2019-10-17 Xu Zhang , Wei Cui , Yulong Liu

This paper proposes a novel framework for causal discovery with asymmetric error control, called Neyman-Pearson causal discovery. Despite the importance of applications where different types of edge errors may have different importance,…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-07-30 Joni Shaska , Urbashi Mitra

To draw scientifically meaningful conclusions and build reliable models of quantitative phenomena, cause and effect must be taken into consideration (either implicitly or explicitly). This is particularly challenging when the measurements…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-12-11 Max A. Little , Reham Badawy

Confounding is a significant obstacle to unbiased estimation of causal effects from observational data. For settings with high-dimensional covariates -- such as text data, genomics, or the behavioral social sciences -- researchers have…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-02-01 Katherine A. Keith , Sergey Feldman , David Jurgens , Jonathan Bragg , Rohit Bhattacharya

Utilizing covariate information has been a powerful approach to improve the efficiency and accuracy for causal inference, which support massive amount of randomized experiments run on data-driven enterprises. However, state-of-art…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-06 Yuhang Wu , Jinghai He , Zeyu Zheng

Identifying covariates that modify treatment effects is a central problem in causal inference. Yet existing data-adaptive procedures do not provide finite-sample control over the expected number of false discoveries, risking spurious…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-12 Falco J. Bargagli-Stoffi , Omar Melikechi

Causal discovery, the task of automatically constructing a causal model from data, is of major significance across the sciences. Evaluating the performance of causal discovery algorithms should ideally involve comparing the inferred models…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-08-26 Maxime Peyrard , Robert West

Causal effect estimation has been studied by many researchers when only observational data is available. Sound and complete algorithms have been developed for pointwise estimation of identifiable causal queries. For non-identifiable causal…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-06-26 Ziwei Jiang , Lai Wei , Murat Kocaoglu

Causal discovery from observational data is an important tool in many branches of science. Under certain assumptions it allows scientists to explain phenomena, predict, and make decisions. In the large sample limit, sound and complete…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-07-13 Shami Nisimov , Yaniv Gurwicz , Raanan Y. Rohekar , Gal Novik

Unmeasured confounding is a major challenge for identifying causal relationships from non-experimental data. Here, we propose a method that can accommodate unmeasured discrete confounding. Extending recent identifiability results in deep…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-13 Patrick Burauel , Frederick Eberhardt , Michel Besserve

In this paper we study covariance estimation with missing data. We consider missing data mechanisms that can be independent of the data, or have a time varying dependency. Additionally, observed variables may have arbitrary (non uniform)…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-06-17 Eduardo Pavez , Antonio Ortega

Neural causal discovery methods have recently improved in terms of scalability and computational efficiency. However, our systematic evaluation highlights significant room for improvement in their accuracy when uncovering causal structures.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-25 Mateusz Olko , Mateusz Gajewski , Joanna Wojciechowska , Mikołaj Morzy , Piotr Sankowski , Piotr Miłoś