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Dynamic Line Rating (DLR) systems are crucial for renewable energy integration in transmission networks. However, traditional methods relying on sensor data face challenges due to the impracticality of installing sensors on every pole or…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-22 Henri Manninen , Markus Lippus , Georg Rute

A well-performing prediction model is vital for a recommendation system suggesting actions for energy-efficient consumer behavior. However, reliable and accurate predictions depend on informative features and a suitable model design to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-20 Alona Zharova , Antonia Scherz

The increasing frequency of extreme weather events has posed significant risks to the operation of power grids. During long-duration extreme weather events, microgrid formation (MF) is an essential solution to enhance the resilience of the…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-06-03 Ziang Liu , Sheng Cai , Qiuwei Wu , Xinwei Shen , Xuan Zhang , Nikos Hatziargyriou

Mid-term electricity load forecasting (LF) plays a critical role in power system planning and operation. To address the issue of error accumulation and transfer during the operation of existing LF models, a novel model called error…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-21 Liping Zhang , Di Wu , Xin Luo

Accurate load forecasting is critical for efficient and reliable operations of the electric power system. A large part of electricity consumption is affected by weather conditions, making weather information an important determinant of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-16 Jonathan Yang , Mingjian Tuo , Jin Lu , Xingpeng Li

Electricity is difficult to store, except at prohibitive cost, and therefore the balance between generation and load must be maintained at all times. Electricity is traditionally managed by anticipating demand and intermittent production…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-26 Julie Keisler , Margaux Bregere

We present an approach that uses a deep learning model, in particular, a MultiLayer Perceptron (MLP), for estimating the missing values of a variable in multivariate time series data. We focus on filling a long continuous gap (e.g.,…

This paper proposes a nonparametric multivariate density forecast model based on deep learning. It not only offers the whole marginal distribution of each random variable in forecasting targets, but also reveals the future correlation…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-10-28 Zichao Meng , Ye Guo , Wenjun Tang , Hongbin Sun

Many existing models struggle to predict nonlinear behavior during extreme weather conditions. This study proposes a multi-scale temporal analysis for failure prediction in energy systems using PMU data. The model integrates multi-scale…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-11-06 Anh Le , Phat K. Huynh , Om P. Yadav , Chau Le , Harun Pirim , Trung Q. Le

In this paper we discuss and address the challenges of predicting extreme atmospheric events like intense rainfall, hail, and strong winds. These events can cause significant damage and have become more frequent due to climate change.…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-10-06 Mikhail Mozikov , Ilya Makarov , Alexandr Bulkin , Daria Taniushkina , Roland Grinis , Yury Maximov

A Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP) defines a family of artificial neural networks often used in TS modeling and forecasting. Because of its "black box" aspect, many researchers refuse to use it. Moreover, the optimization (often based on the…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2014-07-09 Cyril Voyant , Wani W. Tamas , Marie Laure Nivet , Gilles Notton , Christophe Paoli , Aurélia Balu , Marc Muselli

The need for resiliency of electricity supply is increasing due to increasing frequency of natural disasters---such as hurricanes---that disrupt supply from the power grid. Rooftop solar photovoltaic (PV) panels together with batteries can…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-03-13 Ninad Gaikwad , Naren Srivaths Raman , Prabir Barooah

Long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) offers broad utility in practical settings like energy consumption and weather prediction. Accurately predicting long-term changes, however, is demanding due to the intricate temporal patterns and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-19 Boshi Gao , Qingjian Ni , Fanbo Ju , Yu Chen , Ziqi Zhao

Accurate weather forecasting holds significant importance to human activities. Currently, there are two paradigms for weather forecasting: Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) and Deep Learning-based Prediction (DLP). NWP utilizes atmospheric…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-01-10 Wenyuan Li , Zili Liu , Keyan Chen , Hao Chen , Shunlin Liang , Zhengxia Zou , Zhenwei Shi

In recent decades, the weather around the world has become more irregular and extreme, often causing large-scale extended power outages. Resilience -- the capability of withstanding, adapting to, and recovering from a large-scale disruption…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-08-06 Shixiang Zhu , Rui Yao , Yao Xie , Feng Qiu , Yueming Qiu , Xuan Wu

Climate change increases the number of extreme weather events (wind and snowstorms, heavy rains, wildfires) that compromise power system reliability and lead to multiple equipment failures. Real-time and accurate detecting of potential line…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-09-05 Aleksandra Burashnikova , Wenting Li , Massih Amini , Deepjoyti Deka , Yury Maximov

A reliable supply with electric power is vital for our society. Transmission line failures are among the biggest threats for power grid stability as they may lead to a splitting of the grid into mutual asynchronous fragments. New conceptual…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-10-18 Maurizio Titz , Franz Kaiser , Johannes Kruse , Dirk Witthaut

A novel hybrid data-driven approach is developed for forecasting power system parameters with the goal of increasing the efficiency of short-term forecasting studies for non-stationary time-series. The proposed approach is based on mode…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2014-04-10 Victor Kurbatsky , Nikita Tomin , Vadim Spiryaev , Paul Leahy , Denis Sidorov , Alexei Zhukov

Forecasting electricity demand plays a critical role in ensuring reliable and cost-efficient operation of the electricity supply. With the global transition to distributed renewable energy sources and the electrification of heating and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-31 Konstantin Hopf , Hannah Hartstang , Thorsten Staake

Multipactor is a nonlinear electron avalanche phenomenon that can severely impair the performance of high-power radio frequency (RF) devices and accelerator systems. Accurate prediction of multipactor susceptibility across different…

加速器物理 · 物理学 2025-07-25 Asif Iqbal , John Verboncoeur , Peng Zhang