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Recurrent neural networks are used to forecast time series in finance, climate, language, and from many other domains. Reservoir computers are a particularly easily trainable form of recurrent neural network. Recently, a "next-generation"…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-28 Sarah E. Marzen , Paul M. Riechers , James P. Crutchfield

Bayesian modelling and computational inference by Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a principled framework for large-scale uncertainty quantification, though is limited in practice by computational cost when implemented in the simplest…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-09-21 Colin Fox , Tiangang Cui , Markus Neumayer

Large language models (LLMs) sometimes fail to respond appropriately to deterministic tasks -- such as counting or forming acronyms -- because the implicit prior distribution they have learned over sequences of tokens influences their…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-04-18 Liyi Zhang , Veniamin Veselovsky , R. Thomas McCoy , Thomas L. Griffiths

Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) have recently received increasing attention for their ability to provide well-calibrated posterior uncertainties. However, model selection---even choosing the number of nodes---remains an open question.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-08-01 Soumya Ghosh , Jiayu Yao , Finale Doshi-Velez

Most of Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) algorithms in existing probabilistic programming systems suboptimally use only model priors as proposal distributions. In this work, we describe an approach for…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2016-05-17 Yura N Perov , Tuan Anh Le , Frank Wood

The study of intelligent systems explains behaviour in terms of economic rationality. This results in an optimization principle involving a function or utility, which states that the system will evolve until the configuration of maximum…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2024-06-18 Pedro Hack

Real-world decision-making problems are often marked by complex, uncertain dynamics that can shift or break under changing conditions. Traditional Model-Based Reinforcement Learning (MBRL) approaches learn predictive models of environment…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-14 Alberto Caron , Vasilios Mavroudis , Chris Hicks

Researchers have started using LLM agents in place of human subjects in behavioural and political-science experiments, often as a cheaper substitute for laboratory pools. The substitution does not hold up in strategic settings: humans and…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2026-05-27 Po Han Teo

Neuron pruning is widely used to reduce the computational cost and parameter footprint of large language models, yet it remains unclear whether neurons in task-specific models contribute uniformly to task performance. In this work, we…

Designing fair algorithmic decision systems requires balancing model performance with fairness toward affected individuals: More fairness might require sacrificing some performance and vice versa, yet the space of possible trade-offs is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-12 Mieke Wilms , Christoph Heitz

Predictive coding has emerged as an influential normative model of neural computation, with numerous extensions and applications. As such, much effort has been put into mapping PC faithfully onto the cortex, but there are issues that remain…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2023-03-07 Siavash Golkar , Tiberiu Tesileanu , Yanis Bahroun , Anirvan M. Sengupta , Dmitri B. Chklovskii

Branch-and-bound is a typical way to solve combinatorial optimization problems. This paper proposes a graph pointer network model for learning the variable selection policy in the branch-and-bound. We extract the graph features, global…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-06 Rui Wang , Zhiming Zhou , Tao Zhang , Ling Wang , Xin Xu , Xiangke Liao , Kaiwen Li

We consider reinforcement learning in parameterized Markov Decision Processes (MDPs), where the parameterization may induce correlation across transition probabilities or rewards. Consequently, observing a particular state transition might…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-04-01 Aditya Gopalan , Shie Mannor

We propose algorithms to approximate directed information graphs. Directed information graphs are probabilistic graphical models that depict causal dependencies between stochastic processes in a network. The proposed algorithms identify…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2015-06-17 Christopher J. Quinn , Ali Pinar , Negar Kiyavash

Biological information processing manifests a huge variety in its complexity and capability among different organisms, which presumably stems from the evolutionary optimization under limited computational resources. Starting from the…

生物物理 · 物理学 2025-10-21 Takehiro Tottori , Tetsuya J. Kobayashi

Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) have been used to formulate many decision-making problems in science and engineering. The objective is to synthesize the best decision (action selection) policies to maximize expected rewards (or minimize…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2015-07-07 Mahmoud El Chamie , Behcet Acikmese

Discrete-choice models are used in economics, marketing and revenue management to predict customer purchase probabilities, say as a function of prices and other features of the offered assortment. While they have been shown to be…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-08-11 Hanzhao Wang , Zhongze Cai , Xiaocheng Li , Kalyan Talluri

Excessively changing policies in many real world scenarios is difficult, unethical, or expensive. After all, doctor guidelines, tax codes, and price lists can only be reprinted so often. We may thus want to only change a policy when it is…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-10-16 Benjamin Lansdell , Sofia Triantafillou , Konrad Kording

In the Bayesian approach to sequential decision making, exact calculation of the (subjective) utility is intractable. This extends to most special cases of interest, such as reinforcement learning problems. While utility bounds are known to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2011-11-14 Christos Dimitrakakis

Transfer learning seeks to accelerate sequential decision-making by leveraging offline data from related agents. However, data from heterogeneous sources that differ in observed features, distributions, or unobserved confounders often…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-10 Xueping Gong , Wei You , Jiheng Zhang