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Deterministic neural networks (NNs) are increasingly being deployed in safety critical domains, where calibrated, robust, and efficient measures of uncertainty are crucial. In this paper, we propose a novel method for training non-Bayesian…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-25 Alexander Amini , Wilko Schwarting , Ava Soleimany , Daniela Rus

Deep neural networks are often ignorant about what they do not know and overconfident when they make uninformed predictions. Some recent approaches quantify classification uncertainty directly by training the model to output high…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-09 Murat Sensoy , Lance Kaplan , Federico Cerutti , Maryam Saleki

Conformal Prediction (CP) is a popular method for uncertainty quantification with machine learning models. While conformal prediction provides probabilistic guarantees regarding the coverage of the true label, these guarantees are agnostic…

One major impediment to the wider use of deep learning for clinical decision making is the difficulty of assigning a level of confidence to model predictions. Currently, deep Bayesian neural networks and sparse Gaussian processes are the…

Conformal prediction (CP) for regression can be challenging, especially when the output distribution is heteroscedastic, multimodal, or skewed. Some of the issues can be addressed by estimating a distribution over the output, but in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-15 Etash Guha , Shlok Natarajan , Thomas Möllenhoff , Mohammad Emtiyaz Khan , Eugene Ndiaye

Noise Contrastive Estimation (NCE) is a powerful parameter estimation method for log-linear models, which avoids calculation of the partition function or its derivatives at each training step, a computationally demanding step in many cases.…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2018-09-07 Zhuang Ma , Michael Collins

Data-driven surrogate models offer quick approximations to complex numerical and experimental systems but typically lack uncertainty quantification, limiting their reliability in safety-critical applications. While Bayesian methods provide…

Noise-contrastive estimation (NCE) is a statistically consistent method for learning unnormalized probabilistic models. It has been empirically observed that the choice of the noise distribution is crucial for NCE's performance. However,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-22 Bingbin Liu , Elan Rosenfeld , Pradeep Ravikumar , Andrej Risteski

Conventional predictive Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) commonly employ deterministic weight matrices; therefore, their prediction is a point estimate. Such a deterministic nature in ANNs causes the limitations of using ANNs for medical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-07-02 Minhyeok Lee , Junhee Seok

The choice of negative examples is important in noise contrastive estimation. Recent works find that hard negatives -- highest-scoring incorrect examples under the model -- are effective in practice, but they are used without a formal…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2021-04-14 Wenzheng Zhang , Karl Stratos

Contrastive pre-training on distant supervision has shown remarkable effectiveness in improving supervised relation extraction tasks. However, the existing methods ignore the intrinsic noise of distant supervision during the pre-training…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-02-13 Zhen Wan , Fei Cheng , Qianying Liu , Zhuoyuan Mao , Haiyue Song , Sadao Kurohashi

Implicit functions such as Neural Radiance Fields (NeRFs), occupancy networks, and signed distance functions (SDFs) have become pivotal in computer vision for reconstructing detailed object shapes from sparse views. Achieving optimal…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-03-24 Anna Susmelj , Mael Macuglia , Nataša Tagasovska , Reto Sutter , Sebastiano Caprara , Jean-Philippe Thiran , Ender Konukoglu

Conformal Prediction (CP) is a distribution-free uncertainty estimation framework that constructs prediction sets guaranteed to contain the true answer with a user-specified probability. Intuitively, the size of the prediction set encodes a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-18 Alvaro H. C. Correia , Fabio Valerio Massoli , Christos Louizos , Arash Behboodi

Conformal Prediction (CP) provides a statistical framework for uncertainty quantification that constructs prediction sets with coverage guarantees. While CP yields uncontrolled prediction set sizes, Backward Conformal Prediction (BCP)…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-19 Junxian Liu , Hao Zeng , Hongxin Wei

Neural Processes (NPs) are meta-learning models that learn to map sets of observations to approximations of the corresponding posterior predictive distributions. By accommodating variable-sized, unstructured collections of observations and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-10 Peiman Mohseni , Nick Duffield

Deep neural networks have proven extremely efficient at solving a wide rangeof inverse problems, but most often the uncertainty on the solution they provideis hard to quantify. In this work, we propose a generic Bayesian framework…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-11-18 Zaccharie Ramzi , Benjamin Remy , Francois Lanusse , Jean-Luc Starck , Philippe Ciuciu

We develop a new approach to estimate the uncertainty due to missing higher orders in perturbative predictions (the perturbative "theory uncertainty"), which overcomes many inherent limitations of the currently prevalent methods based on…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2025-03-28 Frank J. Tackmann

Datasets in engineering applications are often limited and contaminated, mainly due to unavoidable measurement noise and signal distortion. Thus, using conventional data-driven approaches to build a reliable discriminative model, and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-04-14 Xihaier Luo , Ahsan Kareem

Deep neural networks excel at function approximation, yet they are typically trained from scratch for each new function. On the other hand, Bayesian methods, such as Gaussian Processes (GPs), exploit prior knowledge to quickly infer the…

Self-supervised real-world image denoising remains a fundamental challenge, arising from the antagonistic trade-off between decorrelating spatially structured noise and preserving high-frequency details. Existing blind-spot network (BSN)…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-04-02 Yiwen Shan , Haiyu Zhao , Peng Hu , Xi Peng , Yuanbiao Gou