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In groundwater contaminant remediation and risk assessment, it is important to identify parameters of the contaminant source and hydraulic conductivity field by solving an inverse problem. However, if the dimensionality of the inverse…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2015-06-17 Jiangjiang Zhang

The problem of locating an odor source in turbulent flows is central to key applications such as environmental monitoring and disaster response. We address this challenge by designing an algorithm based on Bayesian inference, which uses…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2025-04-11 Lorenzo Piro , Robin A. Heinonen , Massimo Cencini , Luca Biferale

Gaussian processes (GPs) are Bayesian nonparametric models for function approximation with principled predictive uncertainty estimates. Deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) are multilayer generalizations of GPs that can represent complex marginal…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-09-20 Qiuxian Meng , Yongyou Zhang

Estimation of spatially-varying parameters for computationally expensive forward models governed by partial differential equations is addressed. A novel multiscale Bayesian inference approach is introduced based on deep probabilistic…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-03-02 Yingzhi Xia , Nicholas Zabaras

Variational inference techniques based on inducing variables provide an elegant framework for scalable posterior estimation in Gaussian process (GP) models. Besides enabling scalability, one of their main advantages over sparse…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-02-24 Simone Rossi , Markus Heinonen , Edwin V. Bonilla , Zheyang Shen , Maurizio Filippone

In this work, we propose a novel framework for large-scale Gaussian process (GP) modeling. Contrary to the global, and local approximations proposed in the literature to address the computational bottleneck with exact GP modeling, we employ…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-12-19 Akhil Vakayil , Roshan Joseph

Motivated by environmental policy questions, we address the challenges of estimation, change point detection, and uncertainty quantification of a causal exposure-response function (CERF). Under a potential outcome framework, the CERF…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-01-27 Boyu Ren , Xiao Wu , Danielle Braun , Natesh Pillai , Francesca Dominici

Received waveforms contain rich information for both range information and environment semantics. However, its full potential is hard to exploit under multipath and non-line-of-sight conditions. This paper proposes a deep generative model…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-05-30 Yuxiao Li , Santiago Mazuelas , Yuan Shen

Fitting a theoretical model to experimental data in a Bayesian manner using Markov chain Monte Carlo typically requires one to evaluate the model thousands (or millions) of times. When the model is a slow-to-compute physics simulation,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-08-25 Steven Stetzler , Michael Grosskopf , Earl Lawrence

The accelerating pace and expanding scope of materials discovery demand optimization frameworks that efficiently navigate vast, nonlinear design spaces while judiciously allocating limited evaluation resources. We present a cost-aware,…

Deep Gaussian Processes (DGPs) compose GP layers to warp inputs, enabling improved emulation of computer models with nonstationary input-output behavior compared with ordinary GPs. In contrast to GPs, the predictive uncertainty for DGP…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-05-12 Yiming Yang , Deyu Ming , Serge Guillas

Gaussian processes (GPs) offer a flexible, uncertainty-aware framework for modeling complex signals, but scale cubically with data, assume static targets, and are brittle to outliers, limiting their applicability in large-scale problems…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-09-23 Fernando Llorente , Daniel Waxman , Sanket Jantre , Nathan M. Urban , Susan E. Minkoff

Real-time identification and quantification of greenhouse-gas emissions under transient atmospheric conditions is a critical challenge in environmental monitoring. We introduce a spatio-temporal inversion framework that embeds a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-18 Thomas Newman , Christopher Nemeth , Matthew Jones , Philip Jonathan

We present a series of new open source deep learning algorithms to accelerate Bayesian full waveform point source inversion of microseismic events. Inferring the joint posterior probability distribution of moment tensor components and…

地球物理 · 物理学 2021-08-03 A. Spurio Mancini , D. Piras , A. M. G. Ferreira , M. P. Hobson , B. Joachimi

The efficient resolution of Bayesian inverse problems remains challenging due to the high computational cost of traditional sampling methods. In this paper, we propose a novel framework that integrates Conditional Flow Matching (CFM) with a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-20 Daniil Sherki , Ivan Oseledets , Ekaterina Muravleva

A new algorithm is developed to tackle the issue of sampling non-Gaussian model parameter posterior probability distributions that arise from solutions to Bayesian inverse problems. The algorithm aims to mitigate some of the hurdles faced…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-11-19 Leen Alawieh , Jonathan Goodman , John B. Bell

Since forced oscillations are exogenous to dynamic power system models, the models by themselves cannot predict when or where a forced oscillation will occur. Locating the sources of these oscillations, therefore, is a challenging problem…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2018-10-31 Samuel Chevalier , Petr Vorobev , Konstantin Turitsyn

We present a detection problem where several spatially distributed sensors observe Poisson signals emitted from a single source of unknown position. The measurements at each sensor are modeled by independent inhomogeneous Poisson processes.…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-06-19 Christian Farinetto , Yury A. Kutoyants , Alioune Top

We present a cost-effective method for model calibration and solution of source inversion problems in atmospheric dispersion modelling. We use Gaussian process emulations of atmospheric dispersion models within a Bayesian framework for…

数值分析 · 数学 2021-06-08 Juan G. Garcia , Bamdad Hosseini , John M Stockie

Distributed Gaussian process (DGP) is a popular approach to scale GP to big data which divides the training data into some subsets, performs local inference for each partition, and aggregates the results to acquire global prediction. To…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-08 Hamed Jalali , Gjergji Kasneci