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In Reinforcement Learning (RL), agents aim at maximizing cumulative rewards in a given environment. During the learning process, RL agents face the dilemma of exploitation and exploration: leveraging existing knowledge to acquire rewards or…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-24 Chenfan Weng , Zhongguo Li

Existing methods for estimating uncertainty in deep learning tend to require multiple forward passes, making them unsuitable for applications where computational resources are limited. To solve this, we perform probabilistic reasoning over…

Neural networks predictions are unreliable when the input sample is out of the training distribution or corrupted by noise. Being able to detect such failures automatically is fundamental to integrate deep learning algorithms into robotics.…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-02-18 Antonio Loquercio , Mattia Segù , Davide Scaramuzza

Ensembling a neural network is a widely recognized approach to enhance model performance, estimate uncertainty, and improve robustness in deep supervised learning. However, deep ensembles often come with high computational costs and memory…

Modeling uncertainty in deep neural networks, despite recent important advances, is still an open problem. Bayesian neural networks are a powerful solution, where the prior over network weights is a design choice, often a normal…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-10-29 Raanan Y. Rohekar , Yaniv Gurwicz , Shami Nisimov , Gal Novik

We consider the problem of uncertainty estimation in the context of (non-Bayesian) deep neural classification. In this context, all known methods are based on extracting uncertainty signals from a trained network optimized to solve the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-04-25 Yonatan Geifman , Guy Uziel , Ran El-Yaniv

In machine learning, an agent needs to estimate uncertainty to efficiently explore and adapt and to make effective decisions. A common approach to uncertainty estimation maintains an ensemble of models. In recent years, several approaches…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-09 Vikranth Dwaracherla , Zheng Wen , Ian Osband , Xiuyuan Lu , Seyed Mohammad Asghari , Benjamin Van Roy

Deep learning has emerged as a promising paradigm to give access to highly accurate predictions of molecular and materials properties. A common short-coming shared by current approaches, however, is that neural networks only give point…

计算物理 · 物理学 2023-05-10 Albert Zhu , Simon Batzner , Albert Musaelian , Boris Kozinsky

We present a novel approach for training deep neural networks in a Bayesian way. Classical, i.e. non-Bayesian, deep learning has two major drawbacks both originating from the fact that network parameters are considered to be deterministic.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-03-11 Konstantin Posch , Jan Steinbrener , Jürgen Pilz

We present a simple and effective approach for posterior uncertainty quantification in deep operator networks (DeepONets); an emerging paradigm for supervised learning in function spaces. We adopt a frequentist approach based on randomized…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-08-17 Yibo Yang , Georgios Kissas , Paris Perdikaris

Deep neural networks have seen enormous success in various real-world applications. Beyond their predictions as point estimates, increasing attention has been focused on quantifying the uncertainty of their predictions. In this review, we…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-06 Chengyu Dong

Popular approaches for quantifying predictive uncertainty in deep neural networks often involve distributions over weights or multiple models, for instance via Markov Chain sampling, ensembling, or Monte Carlo dropout. These techniques…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-08 Dennis Ulmer , Christian Hardmeier , Jes Frellsen

Robust optimization has been established as a leading methodology to approach decision problems under uncertainty. To derive a robust optimization model, a central ingredient is to identify a suitable model for uncertainty, which is called…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-09-10 Marc Goerigk , Jannis Kurtz

Uncertainty calibration is crucial for various machine learning applications, yet it remains challenging. Many models exhibit hallucinations - confident yet inaccurate responses - due to miscalibrated confidence. Here, we show that the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-28 Jeonghwan Cheon , Se-Bum Paik

Deep neural networks are powerful tools to detect hidden patterns in data and leverage them to make predictions, but they are not designed to understand uncertainty and estimate reliable probabilities. In particular, they tend to be…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-11-10 Bat-Sheva Einbinder , Yaniv Romano , Matteo Sesia , Yanfei Zhou

Contrastive approaches to representation learning have recently shown great promise. In contrast to generative approaches, these contrastive models learn a deterministic encoder with no notion of uncertainty or confidence. In this paper, we…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-06 Mike Wu , Noah Goodman

Deep reinforcement learning has achieved many impressive results in recent years. However, tasks with sparse rewards or long horizons continue to pose significant challenges. To tackle these important problems, we propose a general…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2017-04-12 Carlos Florensa , Yan Duan , Pieter Abbeel

Reinforcement learning systems require good representations to work well. For decades practical success in reinforcement learning was limited to small domains. Deep reinforcement learning systems, on the other hand, are scalable, not…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-03-18 Sina Ghiassian , Banafsheh Rafiee , Yat Long Lo , Adam White

This paper proposes a paradigm of uncertainty injection for training deep learning model to solve robust optimization problems. The majority of existing studies on deep learning focus on the model learning capability, while assuming the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-28 Wei Cui , Wei Yu

Deterministic neural networks (NNs) are increasingly being deployed in safety critical domains, where calibrated, robust, and efficient measures of uncertainty are crucial. In this paper, we propose a novel method for training non-Bayesian…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-25 Alexander Amini , Wilko Schwarting , Ava Soleimany , Daniela Rus
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