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相关论文: Boosting Black Box Variational Inference

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Variational inference (VI) is a widely used framework in Bayesian estimation. For most of the non-Gaussian statistical models, it is infeasible to find an analytically tractable solution to estimate the posterior distributions of the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-01-31 Zhanyu Ma , Jalil Taghia , Jun Guo

Semi-implicit variational inference (SIVI) is introduced to expand the commonly used analytic variational distribution family, by mixing the variational parameter with a flexible distribution. This mixing distribution can assume any density…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-05-30 Mingzhang Yin , Mingyuan Zhou

We develop variational Laplace for Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) which exploits a local approximation of the curvature of the likelihood to estimate the ELBO without the need for stochastic sampling of the neural-network weights. The…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-07-21 Ali Unlu , Laurence Aitchison

We develop variational Laplace for Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) which exploits a local approximation of the curvature of the likelihood to estimate the ELBO without the need for stochastic sampling of the neural-network weights. The…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-08-11 Ali Unlu , Laurence Aitchison

We advocate an optimization-centric view on and introduce a novel generalization of Bayesian inference. Our inspiration is the representation of Bayes' rule as infinite-dimensional optimization problem (Csiszar, 1975; Donsker and Varadhan;…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-12-13 Jeremias Knoblauch , Jack Jewson , Theodoros Damoulas

Modern variational inference (VI) uses stochastic gradients to avoid intractable expectations, enabling large-scale probabilistic inference in complex models. VI posits a family of approximating distributions q and then finds the member of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-02-24 Christian A. Naesseth , Fredrik Lindsten , David Blei

Bayesian methods are particularly effective for addressing inverse problems due to their ability to manage uncertainties inherent in the inference process. However, employing these methods with costly forward models poses significant…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2025-10-30 G. Robalo Rei , C. P. Schmidt , J. Nitzler , M. Dinkel , W. A. Wall

Reinforcement Learning with Verifiable Rewards (RLVR) is commonly based on group sampling to estimate advantages and stabilize policy updates. In practice, computational limits often rule out very large groups, so training proceeds with…

Variational inference has become one of the most widely used methods in latent variable modeling. In its basic form, variational inference employs a fully factorized variational distribution and minimizes its KL divergence to the posterior.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-01-29 Robert Bamler , Cheng Zhang , Manfred Opper , Stephan Mandt

Modern neural network architectures have achieved remarkable accuracies but remain highly dependent on their training data, often lacking interpretability in their learned mappings. While effective on large datasets, they tend to overfit on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-19 Pavia Bera , Sanjukta Bhanja

In Bayesian optimization (BO) for expensive black-box optimization tasks, acquisition function (AF) guides sequential sampling and plays a pivotal role for efficient convergence to better optima. Prevailing AFs usually rely on artificial…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-04 Zijing Liu , Xiyao Qu , Xuejun Liu , Hongqiang Lyu

Mixture variational distributions in black box variational inference (BBVI) have demonstrated impressive results in challenging density estimation tasks. However, currently scaling the number of mixture components can lead to a linear…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-12 Alexandra Hotti , Oskar Kviman , Ricky Molén , Víctor Elvira , Jens Lagergren

Time-Varying Bayesian Optimization (TVBO) is the go-to framework for optimizing a time-varying, expensive, noisy black-box function $f$. However, most of the asymptotic guarantees offered by TVBO algorithms rely on the assumption that…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-10-21 Anthony Bardou , Patrick Thiran

Boosting is a generic learning method for classification and regression. Yet, as the number of base hypotheses becomes larger, boosting can lead to a deterioration of test performance. Overfitting is an important and ubiquitous phenomenon,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-10-12 Chu Wang , Yingfei Wang , Weinan E , Robert Schapire

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a powerful framework for optimizing black-box, expensive-to-evaluate functions. Over the past decade, many algorithms have been proposed to integrate cheaper, lower-fidelity approximations of the objective…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-27 Petrus Mikkola , Julien Martinelli , Louis Filstroff , Samuel Kaski

We introduce a flexible empirical Bayes approach for fitting Bayesian generalized linear models. Specifically, we adopt a novel mean-field variational inference (VI) method and the prior is estimated within the VI algorithm, making the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-01-30 Dongyue Xie , Wanrong Zhu , Matthew Stephens

Variational Bayesian inference is an important machine-learning tool that finds application from statistics to robotics. The goal is to find an approximate probability density function (PDF) from a chosen family that is in some sense…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-09-27 Timothy D. Barfoot , Gabriele M. T. D'Eleuterio

Recent research has seen several advances relevant to black-box VI, but the current state of automatic posterior inference is unclear. One such advance is the use of normalizing flows to define flexible posterior densities for deep latent…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-27 Abhinav Agrawal , Daniel Sheldon , Justin Domke

We consider the problem of estimating complex statistical latent variable models using variational Bayes methods. These methods are used when exact posterior inference is either infeasible or computationally expensive, and they approximate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-28 David Gunawan , David Nott , Robert Kohn

Variational inference is an umbrella term for algorithms which cast Bayesian inference as optimization. Classically, variational inference uses the Kullback-Leibler divergence to define the optimization. Though this divergence has been…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-03-16 Rajesh Ranganath , Jaan Altosaar , Dustin Tran , David M. Blei