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相关论文: Bayesian Logistic Regression for Small Areas with …

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Hierarchical data with multiple observations per group is ubiquitous in empirical sciences and is often analyzed using mixed-effects regression. In such models, Bayesian inference gives an estimate of uncertainty but is analytically…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-05 Alex Kipnis , Marcel Binz , Eric Schulz

Learning a Bayesian network (BN) from data can be useful for decision-making or discovering causal relationships. However, traditional methods often fail in modern applications, which exhibit a larger number of observed variables than data…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-06-26 Raj Agrawal , Tamara Broderick , Caroline Uhler

With the rise in popularity of digital Atlases to communicate spatial variation, there is an increasing need for robust small-area estimates. However, current small-area estimation methods suffer from various modeling problems when data are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-12-06 James Hogg , Jessica Cameron , Susanna Cramb , Peter Baade , Kerrie Mengersen

Due to the escalating growth of big data sets in recent years, new Bayesian Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) parallel computing methods have been developed. These methods partition large data sets by observations into subsets. However, for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-01-21 Zheng Wei , Erin M. Conlon

Small area population estimates are useful for decision making in the private and public sectors. However, in small areas (i.e., those that are difficult to reach and with small population sizes) computing demographic quantities is…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-05-15 Jairo Fúquene , Andryu Mendoza , Cesar Cristancho , Mariana Ospina

This paper presents a new Bayesian collaborative sparse regression method for linear unmixing of hyperspectral images. Our contribution is twofold; first, we propose a new Bayesian model for structured sparse regression in which the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-07-19 Yoann Altmann , Marcelo Pereyra , Jose Bioucas-Dias

This paper studies a Bayesian estimation procedure for single-hidden-layer neural networks using $\ell_{1}$ controlled weights. We study the structure of the posterior density and provide a representation that makes it amenable to rapid…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-03-20 Curtis McDonald , Andrew R. Barron

Bayesian multinomial logistic regression provides a principled, interpretable approach to multiclass classification, but posterior sampling becomes increasingly expensive as the model dimension grows. Prior work has studied scalability in…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-02-27 Jared D. Fisher , Kyle R. McEvoy

A Monte Carlo algorithm is said to be adaptive if it automatically calibrates its current proposal distribution using past simulations. The choice of the parametric family that defines the set of proposal distributions is critical for good…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-11-11 Christian Schäfer , Nicolas Chopin

For situations that may benefit from information sharing among datasets, e.g., population-based SHM of similar structures, the hierarchical Bayesian approach provides a useful modelling structure. Hierarchical Bayesian models learn…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-04 T. A. Dardeno , K. Worden , N. Dervilis , R. S. Mills , L. A. Bull

Increasingly complex datasets pose a number of challenges for Bayesian inference. Conventional posterior sampling based on Markov chain Monte Carlo can be too computationally intensive, is serial in nature and mixes poorly between posterior…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-08-27 Edwin Fong , Simon Lyddon , Chris Holmes

Computing the marginal likelihood or evidence is one of the core challenges in Bayesian analysis. While there are many established methods for estimating this quantity, they predominantly rely on using a large number of posterior samples…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-02-26 Eric Chuu , Debdeep Pati , Anirban Bhattacharya

Data transformations are essential for broad applicability of parametric regression models. However, for Bayesian analysis, joint inference of the transformation and model parameters typically involves restrictive parametric transformations…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-29 Daniel R. Kowal , Bohan Wu

Big Data often presents as massive non-probability samples. Not only is the selection mechanism often unknown, but larger data volume amplifies the relative contribution of selection bias to total error. Existing bias adjustment approaches…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-29 Ali Rafei , Carol A. C. Flannagan , Brady T. West , Michael R. Elliott

In this article, we study the binary classification problem with supervised data, in the case where the covariate-to-probability-of-success map is possibly spatially inhomogeneous. We devise nonparametric Bayesian procedures with…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-09-10 Matteo Giordano

Bayesian computation crucially relies on Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms. In the case of massive data sets, running the Metropolis-Hastings sampler to draw from the posterior distribution becomes prohibitive due to the large…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-12-07 Roberto Casarin , Radu V. Craiu , Fabrizio Leisen

The transition density of a stochastic, logistic population growth model with multiplicative intrinsic noise is analytically intractable. Inferring model parameter values by fitting such stochastic differential equation (SDE) models to data…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-08-17 Jonathan Heydari , Conor Lawless , David A. Lydall , Darren J. Wilkinson

Collected data, which is used for analysis or prediction tasks, often have a hierarchical structure, for example, data from various people performing the same task. Modeling the data's structure can improve the reliability of the derived…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-11-12 Dennis Becker

This paper introduces a Bayesian framework that combines Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling, dimensionality reduction, and neural density estimation to efficiently handle inverse problems that (i) must be solved multiple times, and…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2026-02-24 Giacomo Bottacini , Matteo Torzoni , Andrea Manzoni

In this paper, we present a method for computing the marginal likelihood, also known as the model likelihood or Bayesian evidence, from Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC), or other sampled posterior distributions. In order to do this, one…