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相关论文: Short-term Load Forecasting with Deep Residual Net…

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This paper presents a method for time series forecasting with deep learning and its assessment on two datasets. The method starts with data preparation, followed by model training and evaluation. The final step is a visual inspection.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-24 Gissel Velarde

Load forecasting is a crucial topic in energy management systems (EMS) due to its vital role in optimizing energy scheduling and enabling more flexible and intelligent power grid systems. As a result, these systems allow power utility…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-16 Firas Bayram , Phil Aupke , Bestoun S. Ahmed , Andreas Kassler , Andreas Theocharis , Jonas Forsman

Short term load forecasts will play a key role in the implementation of smart electricity grids. They are required to optimise a wide range of potential network solutions on the low voltage (LV) grid, including integrating low carbon…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-10-17 Stephen Haben , Georgios Giasemidis , Florian Ziel , Siddharth Arora

Accurate load forecasting is critical for reliable and efficient planning and operation of electric power grids. In this paper, we propose a unifying deep learning framework for load forecasting, which includes time-varying feature…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-10 Jing Xiong , Yu Zhang

We propose and investigate new complementary methodologies for estimating predictive variance networks in regression neural networks. We derive a locally aware mini-batching scheme that result in sparse robust gradients, and show how to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-11-05 Nicki S. Detlefsen , Martin Jørgensen , Søren Hauberg

This paper presents a framework for processing EV charging load data in order to forecast future load predictions using a Recurrent Neural Network, specifically an LSTM. The framework processes a large set of raw data from multiple…

Power system resilience is vital to modern society, as outages caused by extreme weather can severely disrupt communities. Existing statistical and simulation-based methods for resilience quantification are either retrospective or rely on…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-03-10 Xuesong Wang , Caisheng Wang

Accurate load forecasting plays a vital role in numerous sectors, but accurately capturing the complex dynamics of dynamic power systems remains a challenge for traditional statistical models. For these reasons, time-series models (ARIMA)…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2024-02-06 Anuvab Sen , Arul Rhik Mazumder , Udayon Sen

The application of wind power interval prediction for power systems attempts to give more comprehensive support to dispatchers and operators of the grid. Lower upper bound estimation (LUBE) method is widely applied in interval prediction.…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-11-20 Chaoshun Li , Geng Tang , Xiaoming Xue , Xinbiao Chen , Ruoheng Wang , Chu Zhang

The transition to a fully renewable energy grid requires better forecasting of demand at the low-voltage level to increase efficiency and ensure reliable control. However, high fluctuations and increasing electrification cause huge forecast…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-16 Marcel Arpogaus , Marcus Voss , Beate Sick , Mark Nigge-Uricher , Oliver Dürr

In this paper, in an attempt to improve power grid resilience, a machine learning model is proposed to predictively estimate the component states in response to extreme events. The proposed model is based on a multi-dimensional Support…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2018-02-19 Rozhin Eskandarpour , Amin Khodaei , Ali Arab

This paper proposes a nonparametric multivariate density forecast model based on deep learning. It not only offers the whole marginal distribution of each random variable in forecasting targets, but also reveals the future correlation…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-10-28 Zichao Meng , Ye Guo , Wenjun Tang , Hongbin Sun

Mid-term electricity load forecasting (LF) plays a critical role in power system planning and operation. To address the issue of error accumulation and transfer during the operation of existing LF models, a novel model called error…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-21 Liping Zhang , Di Wu , Xin Luo

Deep learning techniques have shown promise in many domain applications. This paper proposes a novel deep reservoir computing framework, termed deep recurrent stochastic configuration network (DeepRSCN) for modelling nonlinear dynamic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-29 Gang Dang , Dianhui Wang

The increasing penetration level of energy generation from renewable sources is demanding for more accurate and reliable forecasting tools to support classic power grid operations (e.g., unit commitment, electricity market clearing or…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-07-17 Michela Moschella , Mauro Tucci , Emanuele Crisostomi , Alessandro Betti

Distribution feeder long-term load forecast (LTLF) is a critical task many electric utility companies perform on an annual basis. The goal of this task is to forecast the annual load of distribution feeders. The previous top-down and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-07-02 Ming Dong , L. S. Grumbach

It is well known that building analytical performance models in practice is difficult because it requires a considerable degree of proficiency in the underlying mathematics. In this paper, we propose a machine-learning approach to derive…

性能 · 计算机科学 2020-02-26 Giulio Garbi , Emilio Incerto , Mirco Tribastone

Long-term load forecasting plays a vital role for utilities and planners in terms of grid development and expansion planning. An overestimate of long-term electricity load will result in substantial wasted investment in the construction of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-11-28 Swasti R. Khuntia , José L. Rueda , Mart A. M. M. van der Meijden

Against the backdrop of increasingly severe global environmental changes, accurately predicting and meeting renewable energy demands has become a key challenge for sustainable business development. Traditional energy demand forecasting…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-22 Te Li , Mengze Zhang , Yan Zhou

Load forecasting is one of the most important and studied topics in modern power systems. Most of the existing researches on day-ahead load forecasting try to build a good model to improve the forecasting accuracy. The forecasted load is…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-08-18 Jiayu Han , Lei Yan , Zuyi Li