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We present a constraint-based algorithm for learning causal structures from observational time-series data, in the presence of latent confounders. We assume a discrete-time, stationary structural vector autoregressive process, with both…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-06-02 Raanan Y. Rohekar , Shami Nisimov , Yaniv Gurwicz , Gal Novik

We consider a causal inference model in which individuals interact in a social network and they may not comply with the assigned treatments. In particular, we suppose that the form of network interference is unknown to researchers. To…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-24 Tadao Hoshino , Takahide Yanagi

Causal inference quantifies cause-effect relationships by estimating counterfactual parameters from data. This entails using \emph{identification theory} to establish a link between counterfactual parameters of interest and distributions…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-04-17 Jaron J. R. Lee , Ilya Shpitser

There are several existing algorithms that under appropriate assumptions can reliably identify a subset of the underlying causal relationships from observational data. This paper introduces the first computationally feasible score-based…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2012-07-02 Subramani Mani , Peter L. Spirtes , Gregory F. Cooper

We consider a binary response which is potentially affected by a set of continuous variables. Of special interest is the causal effect on the response due to an intervention on a specific variable. The latter can be meaningfully determined…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-09-11 Federico Castelletti , Guido Consonni

In causal bandit problems, the action set consists of interventions on variables of a causal graph. Several researchers have recently studied such bandit problems and pointed out their practical applications. However, all existing works…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-11-11 Yangyi Lu , Amirhossein Meisami , Ambuj Tewari

Recently, there has been extensive research on the capabilities of biologically plausible algorithms. In this work, we show how one of such algorithms, called predictive coding, is able to perform causal inference tasks. First, we show how…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-04 Tommaso Salvatori , Luca Pinchetti , Amine M'Charrak , Beren Millidge , Thomas Lukasiewicz

We consider the problem of learning Bayesian network classifiers that maximize the marginover a set of classification variables. We find that this problem is harder for Bayesian networks than for undirected graphical models like maximum…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2012-07-09 Yuhong Guo , Dana Wilkinson , Dale Schuurmans

This work initiates a systematic investigation of testing high-dimensional structured distributions by focusing on testing Bayesian networks -- the prototypical family of directed graphical models. A Bayesian network is defined by a…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2020-01-28 Clement Canonne , Ilias Diakonikolas , Daniel Kane , Alistair Stewart

Understanding causal relationships between variables is fundamental across scientific disciplines. Most causal discovery algorithms rely on two key assumptions: (i) all variables are observed, and (ii) the underlying causal graph is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-26 Muralikrishnna G. Sethuraman , Faramarz Fekri

We study experiment design for unique identification of the causal graph of a simple SCM, where the graph may contain cycles. The presence of cycles in the structure introduces major challenges for experiment design as, unlike acyclic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-15 Ehsan Mokhtarian , Saber Salehkaleybar , AmirEmad Ghassami , Negar Kiyavash

Causal Bayesian networks (CBN) are popular graphical probabilistic models that encode causal relations among variables. Learning their graphical structure from observational data has received a lot of attention in the literature. When there…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-22 Christophe Gonzales , Amir-Hosein Valizadeh

Causal learning from data has received much attention recently. Bayesian networks can be used to capture causal relationships. There, one recovers a weighted directed acyclic graph in which random variables are represented by vertices, and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-06 Pavel Rytir , Ales Wodecki , Georgios Korpas , Jakub Marecek

If $X,Y,Z$ denote sets of random variables, two different data sources may contain samples from $P_{X,Y}$ and $P_{Y,Z}$, respectively. We argue that causal discovery can help inferring properties of the `unobserved joint distributions'…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-05-12 Dominik Janzing , Philipp M. Faller , Leena Chennuru Vankadara

Graphical causal models led to the development of complete non-parametric identification theory in arbitrary structured systems, and general approaches to efficient inference. Nevertheless, graphical approaches to causal inference have not…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-02 AmirEmad Ghassami , Ilya Shpitser

Dynamic Bayesian networks have been well explored in the literature as discrete-time models: however, their continuous-time extensions have seen comparatively little attention. In this paper, we propose the first constraint-based algorithm…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-06-04 Alessandro Bregoli , Marco Scutari , Fabio Stella

Observed associations in a database may be due in whole or part to variations in unrecorded (latent) variables. Identifying such variables and their causal relationships with one another is a principal goal in many scientific and practical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2012-12-12 Ricardo Silva , Richard Scheines , Clark Glymour , Peter L. Spirtes

A Bayesian Network is a directed acyclic graph (DAG) on a set of $n$ random variables (the vertices); a Bayesian Network Distribution (BND) is a probability distribution on the random variables that is Markovian on the graph. A finite…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-01 Spencer L. Gordon , Bijan Mazaheri , Yuval Rabani , Leonard J. Schulman

Causal networks are useful in a wide variety of applications, from medical diagnosis to root-cause analysis in manufacturing. In practice, however, causal networks are often incomplete with missing causal relations. This paper presents a…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-07-15 Utkarshani Jaimini , Cory Henson , Amit P. Sheth

Bayesian network structure learning is the notoriously difficult problem of discovering a Bayesian network that optimally represents a given set of training data. In this paper we study the computational worst-case complexity of exact…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2014-02-05 Sebastian Ordyniak , Stefan Szeider