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相关论文: Counterfactual Mean Embeddings

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In many social, behavioral, and biomedical sciences, treatment effect estimation is a crucial step in understanding the impact of an intervention, policy, or treatment. In recent years, an increasing emphasis has been placed on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-10 Xinhai Zhang , Xingye Qiao

We regularly consider answering counterfactual questions in practice, such as "Would people with diabetes take a turn for the better had they choose another medication?". Observational studies are growing in significance in answering such…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-08-16 Guanglin Zhou , Lina Yao , Xiwei Xu , Chen Wang , Liming Zhu

Causal inference, or counterfactual prediction, is central to decision making in healthcare, policy and social sciences. To de-bias causal estimators with high-dimensional data in observational studies, recent advances suggest the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-10-20 Shuxi Zeng , Serge Assaad , Chenyang Tao , Shounak Datta , Lawrence Carin , Fan Li

Personalized decision making requires the knowledge of potential outcomes under different treatments, and confidence intervals about the potential outcomes further enrich this decision-making process and improve its reliability in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-22 Zonghao Chen , Ruocheng Guo , Jean-François Ton , Yang Liu

Mixture proportion estimation (MPE) is the problem of estimating the weight of a component distribution in a mixture, given samples from the mixture and component. This problem constitutes a key part in many "weakly supervised learning"…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-06-01 Harish G. Ramaswamy , Clayton Scott , Ambuj Tewari

We introduce a divergence measure between data distributions based on operators in reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces defined by kernels. The empirical estimator of the divergence is computed using the eigenvalues of positive definite Gram…

Counterfactual evaluation of novel treatment assignment functions (e.g., advertising algorithms and recommender systems) is one of the most crucial causal inference problems for practitioners. Traditionally, randomized controlled trials…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-12-24 Ruocheng Guo , Jundong Li , Huan Liu

We propose an (offline) multi-dimensional distributional reinforcement learning framework (KE-DRL) that leverages Hilbert space mappings to estimate the kernel mean embedding of the multi-dimensional value distribution under a proposed…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-28 Mehrdad Mohammadi , Qi Zheng , Ruoqing Zhu

Estimating average causal effect (ACE) is useful whenever we want to know the effect of an intervention on a given outcome. In the absence of a randomized experiment, many methods such as stratification and inverse propensity weighting have…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-07-11 Rathin Desai , Amit Sharma

Augmented inverse probability weighting and G-computation with canonical generalized linear models have become increasingly popular for estimating average treatment effects (ATEs) in randomized experiments. These methods leverage outcome…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-13 Muluneh Alene , Stijn Vansteelandt , Kelly Van Lancker

Counterfactual inference for continuous rather than binary treatment variables is more common in real-world causal inference tasks. While there are already some sample reweighting methods based on Marginal Structural Model for eliminating…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-15 Yonghe Zhao , Qiang Huang , Haolong Zeng , Yun Pen , Huiyan Sun

Counterfactuals, serving as one of the emerging type of model interpretations, have recently received attention from both researchers and practitioners. Counterfactual explanations formalize the exploration of ``what-if'' scenarios, and are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-17 Fan Yang , Sahan Suresh Alva , Jiahao Chen , Xia Hu

In the context of treatment effect estimation, this paper proposes a new methodology to recover the counterfactual distribution when there is a single (or a few) treated unit and possibly a high-dimensional number of potential controls…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-09-08 Ricardo Masini

We develop a novel method for counterfactual analysis based on observational data using prediction intervals for units under different exposures. Unlike methods that target heterogeneous or conditional average treatment effects of an…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-07-18 Dave Zachariah , Petre Stoica

Counterfactual explanations (CEs) are a practical tool for demonstrating why machine learning classifiers make particular decisions. For CEs to be useful, it is important that they are easy for users to interpret. Existing methods for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-17 Lisa Schut , Oscar Key , Rory McGrath , Luca Costabello , Bogdan Sacaleanu , Medb Corcoran , Yarin Gal

We present Causal Posterior Estimation (CPE), a novel method for Bayesian inference in simulator models, i.e., models where the evaluation of the likelihood function is intractable or too computationally expensive, but where one can…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-28 Simon Dirmeier , Antonietta Mira

We study counterfactual distribution learning for high-dimensional outcomes whose counterfactual law may concentrate near lower-dimensional structure. Standard isotropic smoothing treats all ambient directions equally, leading to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-26 Kwangho Kim

Due to the common content of anatomy, radiology images with their corresponding reports exhibit high similarity. Such inherent data bias can predispose automatic report generation models to learn entangled and spurious representations…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-07-22 Mingjie Li , Haokun Lin , Liang Qiu , Xiaodan Liang , Ling Chen , Abdulmotaleb Elsaddik , Xiaojun Chang

We introduce MCCE: Monte Carlo sampling of valid and realistic Counterfactual Explanations for tabular data, a novel counterfactual explanation method that generates on-manifold, actionable and valid counterfactuals by modeling the joint…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-01-26 Annabelle Redelmeier , Martin Jullum , Kjersti Aas , Anders Løland

The ability to accurately perform counterfactual inference on time series is crucial for decision-making in fields like finance, healthcare, and marketing, as it allows us to understand the impact of events or treatments on outcomes over…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-18 Tomàs Garriga , Gerard Sanz , Eduard Serrahima de Cambra , Axel Brando