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相关论文: Counterfactual Mean Embeddings

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We consider the problem of estimating the counterfactual joint distribution of multiple quantities of interests (e.g., outcomes) in a multivariate causal model extended from the classical difference-in-difference design. Existing methods…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-11-03 Thong Pham , Shohei Shimizu , Hideitsu Hino , Tam Le

With the widespread application of causal inference, it is increasingly important to have tools which can test for the presence of causal effects in a diverse array of circumstances. In this vein we focus on the problem of testing for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-11-08 Jake Fawkes , Robert Hu , Robin J. Evans , Dino Sejdinovic

The kernel mean embedding of probability distributions is commonly used in machine learning as an injective mapping from distributions to functions in an infinite dimensional Hilbert space. It allows us, for example, to define a distance…

量子物理 · 物理学 2019-12-24 Jonas M. Kübler , Krikamol Muandet , Bernhard Schölkopf

Predicting counterfactual outcomes in longitudinal data, where sequential treatment decisions heavily depend on evolving patient states, is critical yet notoriously challenging due to complex time-dependent confounding and inadequate…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-04-15 Farbod Alinezhad , Jianfei Cao , Gary J. Young , Brady Post

This paper proposes a consensus-based distributed nonlinear filter with kernel mean embedding (KME). This fills with gap of posterior density approximation with KME for distributed nonlinear dynamic systems. To approximate the posterior…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-12-05 Liping Guo , Jimin Wang , Yanlong Zhao , Ji-Feng Zhang

We address the consistency of a kernel ridge regression estimate of the conditional mean embedding (CME), which is an embedding of the conditional distribution of $Y$ given $X$ into a target reproducing kernel Hilbert space $\mathcal{H}_Y$.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-12-13 Zhu Li , Dimitri Meunier , Mattes Mollenhauer , Arthur Gretton

Embedding probability distributions into reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces (RKHS) has enabled powerful nonparametric methods such as the maximum mean discrepancy (MMD), a statistical distance with strong theoretical and computational…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-05-28 Masha Naslidnyk , Siu Lun Chau , François-Xavier Briol , Krikamol Muandet

Comparing conditional distributions is a fundamental challenge in statistics and machine learning, with applications across a wide range of domains. While proposed methods for measuring discrepancies using kernel embeddings of distributions…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-05 Peter Moskvichev , Siu Lun Chau , Dino Sejdinovic

Kernel conditional mean embeddings (CMEs) offer a powerful framework for representing conditional distribution, but they often face scalability and expressiveness challenges. In this work, we propose a new method that effectively combines…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-03-19 Eiki Shimizu , Kenji Fukumizu , Dino Sejdinovic

Kernel mean embeddings are a popular tool that consists in representing probability measures by their infinite-dimensional mean embeddings in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space. When the kernel is characteristic, mean embeddings can be used…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-29 Boris Muzellec , Francis Bach , Alessandro Rudi

Uplift modeling estimates the causal effect of an intervention as the difference between potential outcomes under treatment and control, whereas counterfactual identification aims to recover the joint distribution of these potential…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-10 Théo Verhelst , Gianluca Bontempi

Balanced representation learning methods have been applied successfully to counterfactual inference from observational data. However, approaches that account for survival outcomes are relatively limited. Survival data are frequently…

Counterfactual explanations (CE) are the de facto method for providing insights into black-box decision-making models by identifying alternative inputs that lead to different outcomes. However, existing CE approaches, including group and…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-03-13 Lei You , Lele Cao , Mattias Nilsson , Bo Zhao , Lei Lei

Consider a setting with multiple units (e.g., individuals, cohorts, geographic locations) and outcomes (e.g., treatments, times, items), where the goal is to learn a multivariate distribution for each unit-outcome entry, such as the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-10-21 Kyuseong Choi , Jacob Feitelberg , Caleb Chin , Anish Agarwal , Raaz Dwivedi

We consider after-study statistical inference for sequentially designed experiments wherein multiple units are assigned treatments for multiple time points using treatment policies that adapt over time. Our goal is to provide inference…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-06-10 Raaz Dwivedi , Katherine Tian , Sabina Tomkins , Predrag Klasnja , Susan Murphy , Devavrat Shah

We propose to analyse the conditional distributional treatment effect (CoDiTE), which, in contrast to the more common conditional average treatment effect (CATE), is designed to encode a treatment's distributional aspects beyond the mean.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-06-11 Junhyung Park , Uri Shalit , Bernhard Schölkopf , Krikamol Muandet

Counterfactual inference considers a hypothetical intervention in a parallel world that shares some evidence with the factual world. If the evidence specifies a conditional distribution on a manifold, counterfactuals may be analytically…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-07-03 Juha Karvanen , Santtu Tikka , Matti Vihola

Counterfactual Explanations (CEs) are an important tool in Algorithmic Recourse for addressing two questions: 1. What are the crucial factors that led to an automated prediction/decision? 2. How can these factors be changed to achieve a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-23 Xuan Zhao , Klaus Broelemann , Gjergji Kasneci

Although deep learning models have driven state-of-the-art performance on a wide array of tasks, they are prone to spurious correlations that should not be learned as predictive clues. To mitigate this problem, we propose a causality-based…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-27 Xinyi Wang , Wenhu Chen , Michael Saxon , William Yang Wang

Estimating counterfactual outcomes over time has the potential to unlock personalized healthcare by assisting decision-makers to answer ''what-iF'' questions. Existing causal inference approaches typically consider regular, discrete-time…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-17 Nabeel Seedat , Fergus Imrie , Alexis Bellot , Zhaozhi Qian , Mihaela van der Schaar