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We consider the problem of estimating a variable number of parameters with a dynamic nature. A familiar example is finding the position of moving targets using sensor array observations. The problem is challenging in cases where either the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-04-03 Ashkan Panahi , Mats Viberg

High dimensional data has introduced challenges that are difficult to address when attempting to implement classical approaches of statistical process control. This has made it a topic of interest for research due in recent years. However,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-04-23 Mohammad Nabhan , Yajun Mei , Jianjun Shi

In many problems of data-driven modeling for dynamical systems, the governing equations are not known a priori and must be selected phenomenologically from a large set of candidate interactions and basis functions. In such situations, point…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-04-14 Shuhei Kashiwamura , Yusuke Kato , Hiroshi Kori , Masato Okada

This paper proposes a new Bayesian machine learning model that can be applied to large datasets arising in macroeconomics. Our framework sums over many simple two-component location mixtures. The transition between components is determined…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-12-05 Florian Huber

We consider a dictionary learning problem whose objective is to design a dictionary such that the signals admits a sparse or an approximate sparse representation over the learned dictionary. Such a problem finds a variety of applications…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2015-03-10 Linxiao Yang , Jun Fang , Hong Cheng , Hongbin Li

This paper investigates the high-dimensional linear regression with highly correlated covariates. In this setup, the traditional sparsity assumption on the regression coefficients often fails to hold, and consequently many model selection…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-03-26 Jianqing Fan , Bai Jiang , Qiang Sun

At present, most surface-quality prediction methods can only perform single-task prediction which results in under-utilised datasets, repetitive work and increased experimental costs. To counter this, the authors propose a Bayesian…

Multivariate Item Response Theory (MIRT) is sought-after widely by applied researchers looking for interpretable (sparse) explanations underlying response patterns in questionnaire data. There is, however, an unmet demand for such sparsity…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-10 Jiguang Li , Robert Gibbons , Veronika Rockova

Given a supervised machine learning problem where the training set has been subject to a known sampling bias, how can a model be trained to fit the original dataset? We achieve this through the Bayesian inference framework by altering the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-03-16 Max Sklar

The evaluation of a multifaceted program against extreme poverty in different developing countries gave encouraging results, but with important heterogeneity between countries. This master thesis proposes to study this heterogeneity with a…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-09-15 Louis Charlot

Time series forecasting is an important task in many fields ranging from supply chain management to weather forecasting. Recently, Transformer neural network architectures have shown promising results in forecasting on common time series…

Gaussian process regression is a popular Bayesian framework for surrogate modeling of expensive data sources. As part of a broader effort in scientific machine learning, many recent works have incorporated physical constraints or other a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-07 Laura Swiler , Mamikon Gulian , Ari Frankel , Cosmin Safta , John Jakeman

In many areas of science one aims to estimate latent sub-population mean curves based only on observations of aggregated population curves. By aggregated curves we mean linear combination of functional data that cannot be observed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2011-02-15 Ronaldo Dias , Nancy L. Garcia , Alexandra M. Schmidt

We develop a hierarchical Gaussian process model for forecasting and inference of functional time series data. Unlike existing methods, our approach is especially suited for sparsely or irregularly sampled curves and for curves sampled with…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-07-02 Daniel R. Kowal , David S. Matteson , David Ruppert

The most common approach to implementing data analysis pipelines involves obtaining point estimates from the upstream modules and then treating these as known quantities when working with the downstream ones. This approach is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-19 Erin Lipman , Abel Rodriguez

Spatial documentation is exponentially increasing given the availability of Big IoT Data, enabled by the devices miniaturization and data storage capacity. Bayesian spatial statistics is a useful statistical tool to determine the dependence…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-10-01 Francisco Louzada , Diego C. Nascimento , Osafu Augustine Egbon

Multivariate spatially-oriented data sets are prevalent in the environmental and physical sciences. Scientists seek to jointly model multiple variables, each indexed by a spatial location, to capture any underlying spatial association for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-19 Lu Zhang , Sudipto Banerjee

A learning task, understood as the problem of fitting a parametric model from supervised data, fundamentally requires the dataset to be large enough to be representative of the underlying distribution of the source. When data is limited,…

In the presence of modeling errors, the mainstream Bayesian methods seldom give a realistic account of uncertainties as they commonly underestimate the inherent variability of parameters. This problem is not due to any misconception in the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-05-19 Omid Sedehi , Costas Papadimitriou , Lambros S. Katafygiotis

Bilevel optimization, a hierarchical mathematical framework where one optimization problem is nested within another, has emerged as a powerful tool for modeling complex decision-making processes in various fields such as economics,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-25 Omer Ekmekcioglu , Nursen Aydin , Juergen Branke