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Likelihood profiling is an efficient and powerful frequentist approach for parameter estimation, uncertainty quantification and practical identifiablity analysis. Unfortunately, these methods cannot be easily applied for stochastic models…

In this paper, I propose a method for correcting sample selection bias when the outcome of interest is categorical, such as occupational choice, health status, or field of study. Classical approaches to sample selection rely on strong…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-11-11 Onil Boussim

We propose an adaptive sequential framework for testing two simple hypotheses that analytically ensures finite exposure to the less effective treatment. Our proposed procedure employs a likelihood ratio-driven adaptive allocation rule,…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-11-26 Sampurna Kundu , Jayant Jha , Subir Kumar Bhandari

The correct use and interpretation of models depends on several steps, two of which being the calibration by parameter estimation and the analysis of uncertainty. In the biological literature, these steps are seldom discussed together, but…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2015-08-17 André Chalom , Paulo Inácio de Knegt López de Prado

Although the log-likelihood is widely used in model selection, the log-likelihood ratio has had few applications in this area. We develop a log-likelihood ratio based method for selecting regression models by focusing on the set of models…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-28 Min Tsao

Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves are used ubiquitously to evaluate covariates, markers, or features as potential predictors in binary problems. We distinguish raw ROC diagnostics and ROC curves, elucidate the special role of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-09-14 Tilmann Gneiting , Peter Vogel

This paper is about how we study statistical methods. As an example, it uses the random regressions model, in which the intercept and slope of cluster-specific regression lines are modeled as a bivariate random effect. Maximizing this…

其他统计学 · 统计学 2019-05-22 James S. Hodges

Nonresponse is common in surveys. When the response probability of a survey variable $Y$ depends on $Y$ through an observed auxiliary categorical variable $Z$ (i.e., the response probability of $Y$ is conditionally independent of $Y$ given…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2009-03-04 Fang Fang , Quan Hong , Jun Shao

The performance of many machine learning techniques depends on the choice of an appropriate similarity or distance measure on the input space. Similarity learning (or metric learning) aims at building such a measure from training data so…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-01-25 Robin Vogel , Aurélien Bellet , Stéphan Clémençon

We consider the problem of determining feasible systems from a finite set of simulated alternatives with respect to probability constraints, where the observations from stochastic simulations are Bernoulli distributed. Most statistically…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-05-27 Taehoon Kim , Sigrun Andradottir , Seong-Hee Kim , Yuwei Zhou

In epidemiological studies, the capture-recapture (CRC) method is a powerful tool that can be used to estimate the number of diseased cases or potentially disease prevalence based on data from overlapping surveillance systems. Estimators…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-06-21 Yuzi Zhang , Lin Ge , Lance A. Waller , Robert H. Lyles

Clinical trials offer a fundamental opportunity to discover new treatments and advance the medical knowledge. However, the uncertainty of the outcome of a trial can lead to unforeseen costs and setbacks. In this study, we propose a new…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2022-04-04 Georgios Katsimpras , Georgios Paliouras

In computational mechanics, multiple models are often present to describe a physical system. While Bayesian model selection is a helpful tool to compare these models using measurement data, it requires the computationally expensive…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-04-14 Subhayan De , Reza Farzad , Patrick T. Brewick , Erik A. Johnson , Steven F. Wojtkiewicz

We propose a method for summarizing the strength of association between a set of variables and a multivariate outcome. Classical summary measures are appropriate when linear relationships exist between covariates and outcomes, while our…

We consider the problem of deciding on sampling strategy, in particular sampling design. We propose a risk measure, whose minimizing value guides the choice. The method makes use of a superpopulation model and takes into account uncertainty…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-06 Edgar Bueno , Dan Hedlin

We consider linear structural equation models that are associated with mixed graphs. The structural equations in these models only involve observed variables, but their idiosyncratic error terms are allowed to be correlated and…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-10-10 Y. Samuel Wang , Mathias Drton

The ROC curve is widely used to assess the quality of prediction/classification/ranking algorithms, and its properties have been extensively studied. The precision-recall (PR) curve has become the de facto replacement for the ROC curve in…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-10-23 Jacqueline M. Hughes-Oliver

Many problems that appear in biomedical decision making, such as diagnosing disease and predicting response to treatment, can be expressed as binary classification problems. The costs of false positives and false negatives vary across…

Motivation: Gene selection has become a common task in most gene expression studies. The objective of such research is often to identify the smallest possible set of genes that can still achieve good predictive performance. The problem of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-11-25 Stéphane Guerrier , Nabil Mili , Roberto Molinari , Samuel Orso , Marco Avella-Medina , Yanyuan Ma

The identification of biomarkers with high predictive accuracy is a crucial task in medical research, as it can aid clinicians in making early decisions, thereby reducing morbidity and mortality in high-risk populations. Time-dependent…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-22 María Xosé Rodríguez-Álvarez , Vanda Inácio