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Many important problems can be modeled as a system of interconnected entities, where each entity is recording time-dependent observations or measurements. In order to spot trends, detect anomalies, and interpret the temporal dynamics of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-06-13 David Hallac , Youngsuk Park , Stephen Boyd , Jure Leskovec

The growing use of permanent monitoring systems has increased data availability, offering new opportunities for structural assessment but also posing scalability challenges, especially across large bridge networks. Managing multiple…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-24 Elisa Tomassini , Enrique García-Macías , Filippo Ubertini

Temporal networks are a fundamental and flexible way of describing the activities, relationships, and evolution of any complex system. Global terrorism is one of the biggest concerns of recent times. It is also an example of a temporal…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2020-05-29 Madelyn Dunning , Sumit Purohit

Random graphs, where the connections between nodes are considered random variables, have wide applicability in the social sciences. Exponential-family Random Graph Models (ERGM) have shown themselves to be a useful class of models for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-08-02 Ian Fellows , Mark S. Handcock

Developing models and algorithms to predict nonstationary time series is a long standing statistical problem. It is crucial for many applications, in particular for fashion or retail industries, to make optimal inventory decisions and avoid…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-09-12 Etienne David , Jean Bellot , Sylvain Le Corff

Heterogeneous temporal graphs (HTGs) are ubiquitous data structures in the real world. Recently, to enhance representation learning on HTGs, numerous attention-based neural networks have been proposed. Despite these successes, existing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-22 Yili Wang , Tairan Huang , Changlong He , Qiutong Li , Jianliang Gao

This article proposes methods to model nonstationary temporal graph processes. This corresponds to modelling the observation of edge variables (relationships between objects) indicating interactions between pairs of nodes (or objects)…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-07 Maria Suveges , Sofia C. Olhede

Contagious processes, such as spread of infectious diseases, social behaviors, or computer viruses, affect biological, social, and technological systems. Epidemic models for large populations and finite populations on networks have been…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-04-14 Renato Pagliara , Naomi E. Leonard

In this study, a temporal graph model is designed to model the behavior of collective sports teams based on the networks of player interactions. The main motivation for the model is to integrate the temporal dimension into the analysis of…

离散数学 · 计算机科学 2024-04-03 Quentin Bourgeais , Eric Sanlaville , Rodolphe Charrier , Ludovic Seifert

Sequential recommendation aims to choose the most suitable items for a user at a specific timestamp given historical behaviors. Existing methods usually model the user behavior sequence based on the transition-based methods like Markov…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2022-07-11 Zijian Li , Ruichu Cai , Fengzhu Wu , Sili Zhang , Hao Gu , Yuexing Hao , Yuguang

In a dynamic social or biological environment, the interactions between the actors can undergo large and systematic changes. In this paper we propose a model-based approach to analyze what we will refer to as the dynamic tomography of such…

机器学习 · 统计学 2010-11-09 Eric P. Xing , Wenjie Fu , Le Song

Temporal networks are essential for modeling and understanding systems whose behavior varies in time, from social interactions to biological systems. Often, however, real-world data are prohibitively expensive to collect in a large scale or…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2023-08-23 Antonio Longa , Giulia Cencetti , Sune Lehmann , Andrea Passerini , Bruno Lepri

This paper introduces a flexible time-varying network vector autoregressive model framework for large-scale time series. A latent group structure is imposed on the heterogeneous and node-specific time-varying momentum and network spillover…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-12 Degui Li , Bin Peng , Songqiao Tang , Weibiao Wu

Multivariate time-series forecasting plays a crucial role in many real-world applications. It is a challenging problem as one needs to consider both intra-series temporal correlations and inter-series correlations simultaneously. Recently,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-16 Defu Cao , Yujing Wang , Juanyong Duan , Ce Zhang , Xia Zhu , Conguri Huang , Yunhai Tong , Bixiong Xu , Jing Bai , Jie Tong , Qi Zhang

The alliance literature is bifurcated between an empirically-driven approach utilizing rigorous data, and a theoretically-motivated approach offering a rich conceptualization of alliances. Within the strength of one, lays the weakness of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-04-23 Benjamin W. Campbell

Learning the relationships between various entities from time-series data is essential in many applications. Gaussian graphical models have been studied to infer these relationships. However, existing algorithms process data in a batch at a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-04 Tong Yao , Shreyas Sundaram

We study multi-agent reinforcement learning (MARL) in a stochastic network of agents. The objective is to find localized policies that maximize the (discounted) global reward. In general, scalability is a challenge in this setting because…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-03 Yiheng Lin , Guannan Qu , Longbo Huang , Adam Wierman

Temporal dynamics, characterised by time-varying degree heterogeneity and homophily effects, are often exhibited in many real-world networks. As observed in an MIT Social Evolution study, the in-degree and out-degree of the nodes show…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-29 Yuguo Chen , Lianqiang Qu , Jinfeng Xu , Ting Yan , Yunpeng Zhou

Burstiness, the tendency of interaction events to be heterogeneously distributed in time, is critical to information diffusion in physical and social systems. However, an analytical framework capturing the effect of burstiness on generic…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-07-14 Samuel Unicomb , Gerardo Iñiguez , James P. Gleeson , Márton Karsai

Time-series is ubiquitous across applications, such as transportation, finance and healthcare. Time-series is often influenced by external factors, especially in the form of asynchronous events, making forecasting difficult. However,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-02 Longyuan Li , Jihai Zhang , Junchi Yan , Yaohui Jin , Yunhao Zhang , Yanjie Duan , Guangjian Tian