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We present a new method for causal discovery in linear structural equation models. We propose a simple ``trick'' based on statistical testing in linear models that can distinguish between ancestors and non-ancestors of any given variable.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-15 Christoph Schultheiss , Peter Bühlmann

Identifying causal relationships from observation data is difficult, in large part, due to the presence of hidden common causes. In some cases, where just the right patterns of conditional independence and dependence lie in the data---for…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2018-01-08 David Heckerman

Causal inference is difficult in the presence of unobserved confounders. We introduce the instrumented common confounding (ICC) approach to (nonparametrically) identify causal effects with instruments, which are exogenous only conditional…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-09-20 Christian Tien

Standard imitation learning can fail when the expert demonstrators have different sensory inputs than the imitating agent. This is because partial observability gives rise to hidden confounders in the causal graph. In previous work, to work…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-27 Risto Vuorio , Pim de Haan , Johann Brehmer , Hanno Ackermann , Daniel Dijkman , Taco Cohen

In this discussion we consider why it is important to estimate causal effect parameters well even they are not identified, propose a partially identified approach for causal inference in the presence of colliders, point out an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-11-01 Edward H. Kennedy , Sivaraman Balakrishnan

In generalized regression models the effect of continuous covariates is commonly assumed to be linear. This assumption, however, may be too restrictive in applications and may lead to biased effect estimates and decreased predictive…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-01 Nikolai Spuck , Matthias Schmid , Moritz Berger

Estimating causal effects in a target population with unmeasured confounders is challenging, especially when instrumental variables (IVs) are unavailable. However, IVs from auxiliary populations with similar problems can help infer causal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-06 Wei Li , Jiapeng Liu , Peng Ding , Zhi Geng

Separating high-dimensional data like images into independent latent factors, i.e independent component analysis (ICA), remains an open research problem. As we show, existing probabilistic deep generative models (DGMs), which are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-01 Alexander Camuto , Matthew Willetts , Brooks Paige , Chris Holmes , Stephen Roberts

Unobserved confounding is a fundamental obstacle to establishing valid causal conclusions from observational data. Two complementary types of approaches have been developed to address this obstacle: obtaining identification using fortuitous…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-27 Ilya Shpitser , Zach Wood-Doughty , Eric J. Tchetgen Tchetgen

Causal models with unobserved variables impose nontrivial constraints on the distributions over the observed variables. When a common cause of two variables is unobserved, it is impossible to uncover the causal relation between them without…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-12-14 Beata Zjawin , Elie Wolfe , Robert W. Spekkens

We present a new method for causal discovery in linear structural vector autoregressive models. We adapt an idea designed for independent observations to the case of time series while retaining its favorable properties, i.e., explicit error…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-03 Christoph Schultheiss , Markus Ulmer , Peter Bühlmann

Practitioners making decisions based on causal effects typically ignore structural uncertainty. We analyze when this uncertainty is consequential enough to warrant methodological solutions (Bayesian model averaging over competing causal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-01 Maurits Kaptein

Identification theory for causal effects in causal models associated with hidden variable directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) is well studied. However, the corresponding algorithms are underused due to the complexity of estimating the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-10-17 Rohit Bhattacharya , Razieh Nabi , Ilya Shpitser

The causal effect of an intervention (treatment/exposure) on an outcome can be estimated by: i) specifying knowledge about the data-generating process; ii) assessing under what assumptions a target quantity, such as for example a causal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-05 Michael Schomaker

Statistical inferences for high-dimensional regression models have been extensively studied for their wide applications ranging from genomics, neuroscience, to economics. However, in practice, there are often potential unmeasured…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-12 Jing Ouyang , Kean Ming Tan , Gongjun Xu

Causal models communicate our assumptions about causes and effects in real-world phe- nomena. Often the interest lies in the identification of the effect of an action which means deriving an expression from the observed probability…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-06-20 Santtu Tikka , Juha Karvanen

We study the problem of experimental design for accurately identifying the causal graph structure of a simple structural causal model (SCM), where the underlying graph may include both cycles and bidirected edges induced by latent…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-09-03 Haijie Xu , Chen Zhang

This paper characterizes the values of partial regression coefficients, defined as projection coefficients onto the space spanned by explanatory variables, for random variables generated by linear structural equation models using graphical…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-03-10 Masato Shimokawa

The additive genetic effect is arguably the most important quantity inferred in animal and plant breeding analyses. The term effect indicates that it represents causal information, which is different from standard statistical concepts as…

Adjusting for covariates is a well established method to estimate the total causal effect of an exposure variable on an outcome of interest. Depending on the causal structure of the mechanism under study there may be different adjustment…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-04-27 Jack Kuipers , Giusi Moffa