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Coronal mass ejections (CMEs) cause disturbances in the environment of the Earth when they arrive at the Earth. However, the prediction of the arrival of CMEs still remains a challenge. We have developed an interplanetary scintillation…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2019-04-17 Kazumasa Iwai , Daikou Shiota , Munetoshi Tokumaru , Kenichi Fujiki , Mitsue Den , Yûki Kubo

We present a first-principles-based coronal mass ejection (CME) model suitable for both scientific and operational purposes by combining a global magnetohydrodynamics (MHD) solar wind model with a flux rope-driven CME model. Realistic CME…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2017-01-18 M. Jin , W. B. Manchester , B. van der Holst , I. Sokolov , G. Toth , R. E. Mullinix , A. Taktakishvili , A. Chulaki , T. I. Gombosi

Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) are arguably the most violent eruptions in the Solar System. CMEs can cause severe disturbances in the interplanetary space and even affect human activities in many respects, causing damages to infrastructure…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2018-03-28 Jiajia Liu , Yudong Ye , Chenlong Shen , Yuming Wang , Robert Erdélyi

The fast coronal mass ejection (CME) from 23 July 2012 raised attention due to its extremely short transit time from Sun to 1 AU of less than 21 h. In-situ data from STEREO-A revealed the arrival of a fast forward shock with a speed of more…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2015-06-23 Manuela Temmer , Nariaki Nitta

Accurate forecasting of the arrival time and arrival speed of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) is a unsolved problem in space weather research. In this study, a comparison of the predicted arrival times and speeds for each CME based,…

Accurate forecasting of the properties of coronal mass ejections as they approach Earth is now recognized as an important strategic objective for both NOAA and NASA. The time of arrival of such events is a key parameter, one that had been…

The Sun constantly releases radiation and plasma into the heliosphere. Sporadically, the Sun launches solar eruptions such as flares and coronal mass ejections (CMEs). CMEs carry away a huge amount of mass and magnetic flux with them. An…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2023-05-02 Khalid A. Alobaid , Jason T. L. Wang

The determination of the speed of Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) is usually done by tracking brighter features (such as the CME front and core) in visible light coronagraphic images and by deriving unidimensional profiles of the CME speed as…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2019-07-31 Beili Ying , Alessandro Bemporad , Silvio Giordano , Paolo Pagano , Li Feng , Lei Lu , Hui Li , Weiqun Gan

This study quantifies how uncertainty in physically meaningful coronal mass ejection (CME) and solar-wind inputs propagates into forecast-relevant diagnostics from eruption to 1 AU. We use a semi-analytic erupting flux rope (EFR) model to…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2026-05-07 S. Stamkos , S. Patsourakos , A. Vourlidas , E. Paouris

Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) are immense eruptions of plasma and magnetic fields that are propelled outward from the Sun, sometimes with velocities greater than 2000 km/s. They are responsible for some of the most severe space weather at…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2023-11-08 Jon Linker , Tibor Torok , Cooper Downs , Ronald Caplan , Viacheslav Titov , Andres Reyes , Roberto Lionello , Pete Riley

Flux-rope-based magnetohydrodynamic modeling of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) is a promising tool for the prediction of the CME arrival time and magnetic field at Earth. In this work, we introduce a constant-turn flux rope model and use it…

空间物理 · 物理学 2022-07-20 Talwinder Singh , Tae K. Kim , Nikolai V. Pogorelov , Charles N. Arge

We investigate the Sun-Earth dynamics of a set of 38 well-observed Coronal Mass Ejections(CMEs) using data from the STEREO, SOHO missions and WIND instrument. We seek to quantify the relative contributions of Lorentz force and aerodynamic…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2019-07-31 Nishtha Sachdeva

To understand the global-scale physical processes behind coronal mass ejection (CME)-driven geomagnetic storms and predict their intensity as a space weather forecasting measure, we develop an interplanetary CME flux rope-magnetosphere…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2023-07-04 Souvik Roy , Dibyendu Nandy

The evolution and propagation of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) in interplanetary space is still not well understood. As a consequence, accurate arrival time and arrival speed forecasts are an unsolved problem in space weather research. In…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2021-11-10 J. Hinterreiter , T. Amerstorfer , M. Temmer , M. A. Reiss , A. J. Weiss , C. Möstl , L. A. Barnard , J. Pomoell , M. Bauer , U. V. Amerstorfer

The free energy that is dissipated in a magnetic reconnection process of a solar flare, generally accompanied by a coronal mass ejection (CME), has been considered as the ultimate energy source of the global energy budget of solar flares in…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2019-06-19 Markus J. Aschwanden , Nat Gopalswamy

Our knowledge of the properties of Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) in the inner heliosphere is constrained by the relative lack of plasma observations between Sun and 1 AU. In this work, we present a comprehensive catalog of 47 CMEs measured…

空间物理 · 物理学 2020-05-06 T. M. Salman , R. M. Winslow , N. Lugaz

Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) are the major drivers of Space Weather (SWx), so predicting their arrival at Earth is a major aspect of SWx forecasting. Despite increasingly complex models proposed over the past decades, the mean absolute…

空间物理 · 物理学 2025-08-18 Syed Raza , Talwinder Singh , Nikolai Pogorelov

The magnetic fields of interplanetary coronal mass ejections (ICMEs), which originate close to the Sun in the form of a flux rope, determine their geoeffectiveness. Therefore, robust flux rope-based models of CMEs are required to perform…

空间物理 · 物理学 2020-06-24 Talwinder Singh , Tae K. Kim , Nikolai V. Pogorelov , Charles N. Arge

We study three CME/ICME events (2008 June 1-6, 2009 February 13-18, 2010 April 3-5) tracked from Sun to 1 AU in remote-sensing observations of STEREO Heliospheric Imagers and in situ plasma and magnetic field measurements. We focus on the…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2015-05-30 Manuela Temmer , Tanja Rollett , Christian Möstl , Astrid M. Veronig , Bojan Vrsnak , Dusan Odstrcil

We present a study of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) which impacted one of the STEREO spacecraft between January 2008 and early 2010. We focus our study on 20 CMEs which were observed remotely by the Heliospheric Imagers (HIs) onboard the…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2012-09-12 N. Lugaz , P. Kintner , C. Moestl , L. K. Jian , C. J. Davis , C. J. Farrugia