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The bootstrap, introduced by Efron (1982), has become a very popular method for estimating variances and constructing confidence intervals. A key insight is that one can approximate the properties of estimators by using the empirical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-01-29 Guido Imbens , Konrad Menzel

The block bootstrap approximates sampling distributions from dependent data by resampling data blocks. A fundamental problem is establishing its consistency for the distribution of a sample mean, as a prototypical statistic. We use a…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-06-23 Johannes Tewes , Daniel J. Nordman , Dimitris N. Politis

Functional times series have become an integral part of both functional data and time series analysis. This paper deals with the functional autoregressive model of order 1 and the autoregression bootstrap for smooth functions. The…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-11-16 Johannes T. N. Krebs , Jürgen E. Franke

We show that bootstrap methods based on the positivity of probability measures provide a systematic framework for studying both synchronous and asynchronous nonequilibrium stochastic processes on infinite lattices. First, we formulate…

统计力学 · 物理学 2025-11-12 Minjae Cho

The accurate estimation of scaling exponents is central in the observational study of scale-invariant phenomena. Natural systems unavoidably provide observations over restricted intervals; consequently a stationary stochastic process (time…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2009-03-17 K. H. Kiyani , S. C. Chapman , N. W. Watkins

This paper proposes valid inference tools, based on self-normalization, in time series expected shortfall regressions and, as a corollary, also in quantile regressions. Extant methods for such time series regressions, based on a bootstrap…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-06-24 Yannick Hoga , Christian Schulz

Spectral density matrix estimation of multivariate time series is a classical problem in time series and signal processing. In modern neuroscience, spectral density based metrics are commonly used for analyzing functional connectivity among…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-12-04 Yiming Sun , Yige Li , Amy Kuceyeski , Sumanta Basu

For modeling the serial dependence in time series of counts, various approaches have been proposed in the literature. In particular, models based on a recursive, autoregressive-type structure such as the well-known integer-valued…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-16 Maxime Faymonville , Carsten Jentsch

Bootstrap procedures for local projections typically rely on assuming that the data generating process (DGP) is a finite order vector autoregression (VAR), often taken to be that implied by the local projection at horizon 1. Although…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-09-23 María Dolores Gadea , Òscar Jordà

Tests for structural breaks in time series should ideally be sensitive to breaks in the parameter of interest, while being robust to nuisance changes. Statistical analysis thus needs to allow for some form of nonstationarity under the null…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-02 Fabian Mies

Robust Bayesian inference using density power divergence (DPD) has emerged as a promising approach for handling outliers in statistical estimation. Although the DPD-based posterior offers theoretical guarantees of robustness, its practical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-11 Naruki Sonobe , Tomotaka Momozaki , Tomoyuki Nakagawa

A general approach to selective inference is considered for hypothesis testing of the null hypothesis represented as an arbitrary shaped region in the parameter space of multivariate normal model. This approach is useful for hierarchical…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-03-28 Yoshikazu Terada , Hidetoshi Shimodaira

The non-linear autoregressive (NLAR) model plays an important role in modeling and predicting time series. One-step ahead prediction is straightforward using the NLAR model, but the multi-step ahead prediction is cumbersome. For instance,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-08 Kejin Wu , Dimitris N. Politis

Estimating the mixing density of a latent mixture model is an important task in signal processing. Nonparametric maximum likelihood estimation is one popular approach to this problem. If the latent variable distribution is assumed to be…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-01 Shijie Wang , Minsuk Shin , Ray Bai

Methods based on partial least squares (PLS) regression, which has recently gained much attention in the analysis of high-dimensional genomic datasets, have been developed since the early 2000s for performing variable selection. Most of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-31 Jérémy Magnanensi , Myriam Maumy-Bertrand , Nicolas Meyer , Frédéric Bertrand

In contemporary data-driven environments, the generation and processing of multivariate time series data is an omnipresent challenge, often complicated by time delays between different time series. These delays, originating from a multitude…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-26 Jiajie Wang , Zhiyuan Jerry Lin , Wen Chen

There are some papers which describe the use of bootstrap techniques in point process statistics. The aim of the present paper is to show that the form in which bootstrap is used there is dubious. In case of variance estimation of pair…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-11-26 Martin Snethlage

While there is an increasing amount of literature about Bayesian time series analysis, only a few Bayesian nonparametric approaches to multivariate time series exist. Most methods rely on Whittle's Likelihood, involving the second order…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-11-27 Alexander Meier , Claudia Kirch , Renate Meyer

In this paper, we establish a high-dimensional CLT for the sample mean of $p$-dimensional spatial data observed over irregularly spaced sampling sites in $\mathbb{R}^d$, allowing the dimension $p$ to be much larger than the sample size $n$.…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-03-29 Daisuke Kurisu , Kengo Kato , Xiaofeng Shao

The pseudo-observation method is regularly applied to time-to-event data. However, to date such analyses have relied on not formally verified statements or ad-hoc methods regarding covariance estimation. This paper strives to close this gap…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-23 Simon Mack , Morten Overgaard , Dennis Dobler
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