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Sampling from the posterior is a key technical problem in Bayesian statistics. Rigorous guarantees are difficult to obtain for Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms of common use. In this paper, we study an alternative class of algorithms…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-08-26 Andrea Montanari , Yuchen Wu

In Hamiltonian Monte Carlo sampling, the shape of the potential and the choice of the momentum distribution jointly give rise to the Hamiltonian dynamics of the sampler. An efficient sampler propagates quickly in all regions of the…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2026-01-28 Javier Silva Lafaurie , Lorne Whiteway , Elena Sellentin , Kutay Nazli , Andrew H. Jaffe , Alan F. Heavens , Arthur Loureiro

We propose an efficient algorithm for approximate computation of the profile maximum likelihood (PML), a variant of maximum likelihood maximizing the probability of observing a sufficient statistic rather than the empirical sample. The PML…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-12-21 Dmitri S. Pavlichin , Jiantao Jiao , Tsachy Weissman

The problem of sampling constrained continuous distributions has frequently appeared in many machine/statistical learning models. Many Monte Carlo Markov Chain (MCMC) sampling methods have been adapted to handle different types of…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-02-21 Shiwei Lan , Lulu Kang

The pseudo-marginal (PM) approach is increasingly used for Bayesian inference in statistical models, where the likelihood is intractable but can be estimated unbiasedly. %Examples include random effect models, state-space models and data…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-09-12 M. -N. Tran , R. Kohn , M. Quiroz , M. Villani

Subsampling is a general statistical method developed in the 1990s aimed at estimating the sampling distribution of a statistic $\hat \theta _n$ in order to conduct nonparametric inference such as the construction of confidence intervals…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-12-14 Dimitris N. Politis

Sampling-based inference techniques are central to modern cosmological data analysis; these methods, however, scale poorly with dimensionality and typically require approximate or intractable likelihoods. In this paper we describe how…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2022-11-09 Alex Cole , Benjamin Kurt Miller , Samuel J. Witte , Maxwell X. Cai , Meiert W. Grootes , Francesco Nattino , Christoph Weniger

The maximum likelihood estimation is computationally demanding for large datasets, particularly when the likelihood function includes integrals. Subsampling can reduce the computational burden, but it often results in efficiency loss.This…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-27 Miaomiao Su , Qihua Wang , Ruoyu Wang

The design of a metric between probability distributions is a longstanding problem motivated by numerous applications in Machine Learning. Focusing on continuous probability distributions on the Euclidean space $\mathbb{R}^d$, we introduce…

Existing state-of-the-art crowd counting algorithms rely excessively on location-level annotations, which are burdensome to acquire. When only count-level (weak) supervisory signals are available, it is arduous and error-prone to regress…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-03-17 Mingjie Wang , Jun Zhou , Hao Cai , Minglun Gong

We consider the problem of sampling from a posterior distribution arising in Bayesian inverse problems in science, engineering, and imaging. Our method belongs to the family of independence Metropolis-Hastings (IMH) sampling algorithms,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-19 Youguang Chen , George Biros

Bayesian methods are appealing in their flexibility in modeling complex data and ability in capturing uncertainty in parameters. However, when Bayes' rule does not result in tractable closed-form, most approximate inference algorithms lack…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-05-09 Bo Dai , Niao He , Hanjun Dai , Le Song

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is an efficient and effective means of sampling posterior distributions on Euclidean space, which has been extended to manifolds with boundary. However, some applications require an extension to more general…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2017-06-26 Vu Dinh , Arman Bilge , Cheng Zhang , Frederick A. Matsen

"Particle methods" are sequential Monte Carlo algorithms, typically involving importance sampling, that are used to estimate and sample from joint and marginal densities from a collection of a, presumably increasing, number of random…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-07-17 J. N. Corcoran , D. Jennings

We introduce an innovative method for incremental nonparametric probabilistic inference in high-dimensional state spaces. Our approach leverages \slices from high-dimensional surfaces to efficiently approximate posterior distributions of…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-05-28 Moshe Shienman , Ohad Levy-Or , Michael Kaess , Vadim Indelman

This paper addresses the problem of sampling from binary distributions with constraints. In particular, it proposes an MCMC method to draw samples from a distribution of the set of all states at a specified distance from some reference…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-03-19 Firas Hamze , Nando de Freitas

In many domains, we are interested in analyzing the structure of the underlying distribution, e.g., whether one variable is a direct parent of the other. Bayesian model-selection attempts to find the MAP model and use its structure to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2013-01-18 Nir Friedman , Daphne Koller

We present new MCMC algorithms for computing the posterior distributions and expectations of the unknown variables in undirected graphical models with regular structure. For demonstration purposes, we focus on Markov Random Fields (MRFs).…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-07-19 Firas Hamze , Nando de Freitas

Our article deals with Bayesian inference for a general state space model with the simulated likelihood computed by the particle filter. We show empirically that the partially or fully adapted particle filters can be much more efficient…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2010-06-11 Michael Pitt , Ralph Silva , Paolo Giordani , Robert Kohn

For massive data, the family of subsampling algorithms is popular to downsize the data volume and reduce computational burden. Existing studies focus on approximating the ordinary least squares estimate in linear regression, where…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-06-27 HaiYing Wang , Rong Zhu , Ping Ma