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In this paper we provide a new efficient algorithm for approximately computing the profile maximum likelihood (PML) distribution, a prominent quantity in symmetric property estimation. We provide an algorithm which matches the previous best…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2020-11-06 Nima Anari , Moses Charikar , Kirankumar Shiragur , Aaron Sidford

Inverse problems defined on the sphere arise in many fields, including seismology and cosmology where problems are defined on the globe and the cosmic sphere. These are generally high-dimensional and computationally very complex and, as a…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2023-01-05 Augustin Marignier , Jason D. McEwen , Ana M. G. Ferreira , Thomas D. Kitching

Microplastics (MPs) are ubiquitous in all ecosystems, affecting wildlife and, ultimately, human health. The complexity of natural samples plus the unspecificity of their treatments to isolate polymers renders the characterization of…

仪器与探测器 · 物理学 2025-04-01 Adrian Lopez-Rosales , Jose Andrade , Borja Ferreiro , Soledad Muniategui

Sampling from multivariate normal distributions, subjected to a variety of restrictions, is a problem that is recurrent in statistics and computing. In the present work, we demonstrate a general framework to efficiently sample a…

In variational inference, the benefits of Bayesian models rely on accurately capturing the true posterior distribution. We propose using neural samplers that specify implicit distributions, which are well-suited for approximating complex…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-10 Anshuk Uppal , Kristoffer Stensbo-Smidt , Wouter Boomsma , Jes Frellsen

This work presents a tractable approach to multi-object posterior computation under a generic measurement likelihood function. While filtering is a popular solution, valuable historical information is discarded. Posterior inference, which…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-04-15 Ba Tuong Vo , Ba-Ngu Vo

A key tool to carry out inference on the unknown copula when modeling a continuous multivariate distribution is a nonparametric estimator known as the empirical copula. One popular way of approximating its sampling distribution consists of…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-02-01 Ivan Kojadinovic , Kristina Stemikovskaya

In this paper we provide a general framework for estimating symmetric properties of distributions from i.i.d. samples. For a broad class of symmetric properties we identify the easy region where empirical estimation works and the difficult…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2020-03-03 Moses Charikar , Kirankumar Shiragur , Aaron Sidford

In this paper we consider a variety of procedures for numerical statistical inference in the family of univariate and multivariate stable distributions. In connection with univariate distributions (i) we provide approximations by finite…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-09-04 Efthymios G. Tsionas

Robust Bayesian inference using density power divergence (DPD) has emerged as a promising approach for handling outliers in statistical estimation. Although the DPD-based posterior offers theoretical guarantees of robustness, its practical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-11 Naruki Sonobe , Tomotaka Momozaki , Tomoyuki Nakagawa

A new unequal probability sampling method is proposed. This method is sequential. The decision to select or not each unit is made based on the order in which the units appear. A variant of this method allows selecting a sample from a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-17 Bardia Panahbehagh , Raphaël Jauslin , Yves Tillé

An efficient simulation-based methodology is proposed for the rolling window estimation of state space models, called particle rolling Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) with double block sampling. In our method, which is based on Sequential…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-09-17 Naoki Awaya , Yasuhiro Omori

Diffusion models are a remarkably effective way of learning and sampling from a distribution $p(x)$. In posterior sampling, one is also given a measurement model $p(y \mid x)$ and a measurement $y$, and would like to sample from $p(x \mid…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-11 Shivam Gupta , Ajil Jalal , Aditya Parulekar , Eric Price , Zhiyang Xun

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods asymptotically sample from complex probability distributions. The pseudo-marginal MCMC framework only requires an unbiased estimator of the unnormalized probability distribution function to construct…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-05-25 Iain Murray , Matthew M. Graham

In computational mechanics, multiple models are often present to describe a physical system. While Bayesian model selection is a helpful tool to compare these models using measurement data, it requires the computationally expensive…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-04-14 Subhayan De , Reza Farzad , Patrick T. Brewick , Erik A. Johnson , Steven F. Wojtkiewicz

This paper considers properties of an optimization based sampler for targeting the posterior distribution when the likelihood is intractable and auxiliary statistics are used to summarize information in the data. Our reverse sampler…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-12-02 Jean-Jacques Forneron , Serena Ng

Bayesian inference with Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is challenging when the likelihood function is irregular and expensive to compute. We explore several sampling algorithms that make use of subset evaluations to reduce computational…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-05-16 Conor Rosato , Harvinder Lehal , Simon Maskell , Lee Devlin , Malcolm Strens

Temporal point processes offer a powerful framework for sampling from discrete distributions, yet they remain underutilized in existing literature. We show how to construct, for any target multivariate count distribution with…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-05-19 Cameron A. Stewart , Maneesh Sahani

The problem of adaptive sampling for estimating probability mass functions (pmf) uniformly well is considered. Performance of the sampling strategy is measured in terms of the worst-case mean squared error. A Bayesian variant of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-12-09 Dhruva Kartik , Neeraj Sood , Urbashi Mitra , Tara Javidi

We demonstrate how the Gaussian process regression approach can be used to efficiently reconstruct free energy surfaces from umbrella sampling simulations. By making a prior assumption of smoothness and taking account of the sampling noise…

统计力学 · 物理学 2014-07-25 Thomas Stecher , Noam Bernstein , Gábor Csányi