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This study provides both analysis and a refined, research-ready implementation of Tang and Kucukelbir's Variational Deep Q Network, a novel approach to maximising the efficiency of exploration in complex learning environments using…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-08-05 A. H. Bell-Thomas

Bayesian inference allows machine learning models to express uncertainty. Current machine learning models use only a single learnable parameter combination when making predictions, and as a result are highly overconfident when their…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-23 Andrew Wood , Moshik Hershcovitch , Daniel Waddington , Sarel Cohen , Peter Chin

The Laplace approximation has been one of the workhorses of Bayesian inference. It often delivers good approximations in practice despite the fact that it does not strictly take into account where the volume of posterior density lies.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-03-02 Nikolaos Gianniotis

Reconstructing the evolutionary history relating a collection of molecular sequences is the main subject of modern Bayesian phylogenetic inference. However, the commonly used Markov chain Monte Carlo methods can be inefficient due to the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-08-12 Tianyu Xie , Frederick A. Matsen , Marc A. Suchard , Cheng Zhang

Variational Bayes (VB) is a critical method in machine learning and statistics, underpinning the recent success of Bayesian deep learning. The natural gradient is an essential component of efficient VB estimation, but it is prohibitively…

量子物理 · 物理学 2022-06-22 Anna Lopatnikova , Minh-Ngoc Tran

Variational inference is an approximation framework for Bayesian inference that seeks to improve quantified uncertainty in predictions by optimizing a simplified distribution over parameters to stand in for the full posterior. Capturing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-12 Jed A. Duersch

We consider the problem of Bayesian parameter estimation for deep neural networks, which is important in problem settings where we may have little data, and/ or where we need accurate posterior predictive densities, e.g., for applications…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2015-11-10 Anoop Korattikara , Vivek Rathod , Kevin Murphy , Max Welling

We present a new approach for inference in Bayesian networks, which is mainly based on partial differentiation. According to this approach, one compiles a Bayesian network into a multivariate polynomial and then computes the partial…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-01-18 Adnan Darwiche

Variational inference is becoming more and more popular for approximating intractable posterior distributions in Bayesian statistics and machine learning. Meanwhile, a few recent works have provided theoretical justification and new…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-09-09 Badr-Eddine Chérief-Abdellatif

The goal of Bayesian deep learning is to provide uncertainty quantification via the posterior distribution. However, exact inference over the weight space is computationally intractable due to the ultra-high dimensions of the neural…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-25 Xiongwen Ke , Yanan Fan

With the significant advancement in quantum computation in the past couple of decades, the exploration of machine-learning subroutines using quantum strategies has become increasingly popular. Gaussian process regression is a widely used…

量子物理 · 物理学 2018-03-07 Siddhartha Das , George Siopsis , Christian Weedbrook

We study linear models under heavy-tailed priors from a probabilistic viewpoint. Instead of computing a single sparse most probable (MAP) solution as in standard deterministic approaches, the focus in the Bayesian compressed sensing…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2014-03-05 George Papandreou , Alan Yuille

For predictive modeling relying on Bayesian inversion, fully independent, or ``mean-field'', Gaussian distributions are often used as approximate probability density functions in variational inference since the number of variational…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-14 Wyatt Bridgman , Reese Jones , Mohammad Khalil

This paper presents an efficient variational inference framework for deriving a family of structured gaussian process regression network (SGPRN) models. The key idea is to incorporate auxiliary inducing variables in latent functions and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-19 Rui Meng , Herbie Lee , Kristofer Bouchard

Variational Bayes (VB) is rapidly becoming a popular tool for Bayesian inference in statistical modeling. However, the existing VB algorithms are restricted to cases where the likelihood is tractable, which precludes the use of VB in many…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-08-05 Minh-Ngoc Tran , David J. Nott , Robert Kohn

Bayesian variable selection regression (BVSR) is able to jointly analyze genome-wide genetic datasets, but the slow computation via Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) hampered its wide-spread usage. Here we present a novel iterative method to…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-07-31 Quan Zhou , Yongtao Guan

Latent variable time-series models are among the most heavily used tools from machine learning and applied statistics. These models have the advantage of learning latent structure both from noisy observations and from the temporal ordering…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-11-24 Evan Archer , Il Memming Park , Lars Buesing , John Cunningham , Liam Paninski

While stochastic variational inference is relatively well known for scaling inference in Bayesian probabilistic models, related methods also offer ways to circumnavigate the approximation of analytically intractable expectations. The key…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-09-08 David A. Knowles

Bayesian inference allows expressing the uncertainty of posterior belief under a probabilistic model given prior information and the likelihood of the evidence. Predominantly, the likelihood function is only implicitly established by a…

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a powerful approach to sample-efficient optimization of black-box functions. However, in settings with very few function evaluations, a successful application of BO may require transferring information from…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-10 Aryan Deshwal , Sait Cakmak , Yuhou Xia , David Eriksson