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Randomized experiments are the gold standard for evaluating the effects of changes to real-world systems. Data in these tests may be difficult to collect and outcomes may have high variance, resulting in potentially large measurement error.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-06-27 Benjamin Letham , Brian Karrer , Guilherme Ottoni , Eytan Bakshy

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is a method for Bayesian inference when the likelihood is unavailable but simulating from the model is possible. However, many ABC algorithms require a large number of simulations, which can be costly.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-10-15 Marko Järvenpää , Michael U. Gutmann , Arijus Pleska , Aki Vehtari , Pekka Marttinen

Recently, multi-fidelity Bayesian optimization (MFBO) has been successfully applied to many engineering design optimization problems, where the cost of high-fidelity simulations and experiments can be prohibitive. However, challenges remain…

Model-based sequential approaches to discrete "black-box" optimization, including Bayesian optimization techniques, often access the same points multiple times for a given objective function in interest, resulting in many steps to find the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-29 Keisuke Morita , Yoshihiko Nishikawa , Masayuki Ohzeki

A body of work has been done to automate machine learning algorithm to highlight the importance of model choice. Automating the process of choosing the best forecasting model and its corresponding parameters can result to improve a wide…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-09-02 Nadhir Hassen , Irina Rish

We propose a practical Bayesian optimization method using Gaussian process regression, of which the marginal likelihood is maximized where the number of model selection steps is guided by a pre-defined threshold. Since Bayesian optimization…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-10-19 Jungtaek Kim , Seungjin Choi

Bayesian optimization has emerged as a prominent methodology for optimizing expensive black-box functions by leveraging Gaussian process surrogates, which focus on capturing the global characteristics of the objective function. However, in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-03 Qiyu Wei , Haowei Wang , Richard Allmendinger , Mauricio A. Álvarez

The reparameterization trick is widely used in variational inference as it yields more accurate estimates of the gradient of the variational objective than alternative approaches such as the score function method. Although there is…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-12-31 Ming Xu , Matias Quiroz , Robert Kohn , Scott A. Sisson

Bayesian optimisation (BO) has been widely used to solve problems with expensive function evaluations. In multi-objective optimisation problems, BO aims to find a set of approximated Pareto optimal solutions. There are typically two ways to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-08-16 Tinkle Chugh

Bayesian optimisation is a popular, surrogate model-based approach for optimising expensive black-box functions. Given a surrogate model, the next location to expensively evaluate is chosen via maximisation of a cheap-to-query acquisition…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-03-31 George De Ath , Richard M. Everson , Jonathan E. Fieldsend , Alma A. M. Rahat

Bayesian optimization is an advanced tool to perform ecient global optimization It consists on enriching iteratively surrogate Kriging models of the objective and the constraints both supposed to be computationally expensive of the targeted…

Doubly intractable distributions arise in many settings, for example in Markov models for point processes and exponential random graph models for networks. Bayesian inference for these models is challenging because they involve intractable…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-04-03 Jaewoo Park , Murali Haran

Bayesian optimization offers a flexible framework to optimize an objective function that is expensive to be evaluated. A Bayesian optimizer iteratively queries the function values on its carefully selected points. Subsequently, it makes a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-06-25 Yang Li , Yaqiang Yao

This work studies how an AI-controlled dog-fighting agent with tunable decision-making parameters can learn to optimize performance against an intelligent adversary, as measured by a stochastic objective function evaluated on simulated…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-08-01 Brett W. Israelsen , Nisar Ahmed , Kenneth Center , Roderick Green , Winston Bennett

Expected Improvement (EI) is arguably the most popular acquisition function in Bayesian optimization and has found countless successful applications, but its performance is often exceeded by that of more recent methods. Notably, EI and its…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-08 Sebastian Ament , Samuel Daulton , David Eriksson , Maximilian Balandat , Eytan Bakshy

Bayesian optimization is a coherent, ubiquitous approach to decision-making under uncertainty, with applications including multi-arm bandits, active learning, and black-box optimization. Bayesian optimization selects decisions (i.e.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-13 Samuel Stanton , Wesley Maddox , Andrew Gordon Wilson

Gaussian process regression is a well-established Bayesian machine learning method. We propose a new approach to Gaussian process regression using quantum kernels based on parameterized quantum circuits. By employing a hardware-efficient…

量子物理 · 物理学 2024-02-06 Frederic Rapp , Marco Roth

Gaussian processes are the model of choice in Bayesian optimization and active learning. Yet, they are highly dependent on cleverly chosen hyperparameters to reach their full potential, and little effort is devoted to finding good…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-16 Carl Hvarfner , Erik Hellsten , Frank Hutter , Luigi Nardi

We propose practical extensions to Bayesian optimization for solving dynamic problems. We model dynamic objective functions using spatiotemporal Gaussian process priors which capture all the instances of the functions over time. Our…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-03-12 Favour M. Nyikosa , Michael A. Osborne , Stephen J. Roberts

First Order Bayesian Optimization (FOBO) is a sample efficient sequential approach to find the global maxima of an expensive-to-evaluate black-box objective function by suitably querying for the function and its gradient evaluations. Such…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-21 Utkarsh Prakash , Aryan Chollera , Kushagra Khatwani , Prabuchandran K. J. , Tejas Bodas