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We present a novel approach to perform ground-based estimation and prediction of the surface solar irradiance with the view to predicting photovoltaic energy production. We propose the use of mini-batch k-means clustering to extract…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2018-12-27 Mehdi Zakroum , Mounir Ghogho , Mustapha Faqir , Mohamed Aymane Ahajjam

With recent advances in the field of machine learning, the use of deep neural networks for time series forecasting has become more prevalent. The quasi-periodic nature of the solar cycle makes it a good candidate for applying time series…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2020-05-27 B. Benson , W. D. Pan , A. Prasad , G. A. Gary , Q. Hu

Accurate ultra-short-term forecasting of photovoltaic (PV) ramp events is essential for maintaining grid stability in solar-integrated power systems, particularly under rapidly changing cloud conditions. This paper presents a generative…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-05-06 Siyuan Wang , Fengqi You

Accurate forecasting of solar power generation with fine temporal and spatial resolution is vital for the operation of the power grid. However, state-of-the-art approaches that combine machine learning with numerical weather predictions…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-09 Jelena Simeunović , Baptiste Schubnel , Pierre-Jean Alet , Rafael E. Carrillo

Accurate mechanisms for forecasting solar irradiance and insolation provide important information for the planning of renewable energy and agriculture projects as well as for environmental and socio-economical studies. This research…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-15 Laura S. Hoyos-Gómez , Jose F. Ruiz-Muñoz , Belizza J. Ruiz-Mendoza

The increasing installation of Photovoltaics (PV) cells leads to more generation of renewable energy sources (RES), but results in increased uncertainties of energy scheduling. Predicting PV power generation is important for energy…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-15 Hui Song , Zheng Miao , Ali Babalhavaeji , Saman Mehrnia , Mahdi Jalili , Xinghuo Yu

The use of solar photovoltaics (PV) energy provides additional resources to the electric power grid. The downside of this integration is that the solar power supply is unreliable and highly dependent on the weather condition. The…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-10-20 S. Sarp , M. Kuzlu , U. Cali , O. Elma , O. Guler

Short-term forecasting of solar photovoltaic energy (PV) production is important for powerplant management. Ideally these forecasts are equipped with error bars, so that downstream decisions can account for uncertainty. To produce…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-31 Sean Nassimiha , Peter Dudfield , Jack Kelly , Marc Peter Deisenroth , So Takao

Generation and load balance is required in the economic scheduling of generating units in the smart grid. Variable energy generations, particularly from wind and solar energy resources, are witnessing a rapid boost, and, it is anticipated…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-04-07 Mohamed Abuella , Badrul Chowdhury

Accurate 24-hour solar irradiance forecasting is essential for the safe and economic operation of solar photovoltaic systems. Traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP) models represent the state-of-the-art in forecasting performance…

The rising integration of variable renewable energy sources (RES), like solar and wind power, introduces considerable uncertainty in grid operations and energy management. Effective forecasting models are essential for grid operators to…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-08-02 Jesus Silva-Rodriguez , Elias Raffoul , Xingpeng Li

Solar energy is a clean and renewable energy. Photovoltaic (PV) power is an important way to utilize solar energy. Accurate PV power forecast is crucial to the large-scale application of PV power and the stability of electricity grid. This…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-06 Mingliang Bai , Xinyu Zhao , Zhenhua Long , Jinfu Liu , Daren Yu

The integration of renewable resources has increased in power generation as a means to reduce the fossil fuel usage and mitigate its adverse effects on the environment. However, renewables like solar energy are stochastic in nature due to…

Despite the advances in the field of solar energy, improvements of solar forecasting techniques, addressing the intermittent electricity production, remain essential for securing its future integration into a wider energy supply. A…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-05-25 Quentin Paletta , Joan Lasenby

The non-stationarity characteristic of the solar power renders traditional point forecasting methods to be less useful due to large prediction errors. This results in increased uncertainties in the grid operation, thereby negatively…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-09-15 Sakshi Mishra , Praveen Palanisamy

Accurate forecasting of future solar irradiance is essential for the effective control of solar thermal power plants. Although various kriging-based methods have been proposed to address the prediction problem, these methods typically do…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2026-03-27 Haruki Kawase , Taiga Sugawara , A. Daniel Carnerero

As the use of solar power increases, having accurate and timely forecasts will be essential for smooth grid operators. There are many proposed methods for forecasting solar irradiance / solar power production. However, many of these methods…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-11 Timothy Cargan , Dario Landa-Silva , Isaac Triguero

Sky-image-based solar forecasting using deep learning has been recognized as a promising approach in reducing the uncertainty in solar power generation. However, one of the biggest challenges is the lack of massive and diversified sky image…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-12-02 Yuhao Nie , Xiatong Li , Quentin Paletta , Max Aragon , Andea Scott , Adam Brandt

This paper addresses the pressing need for an accurate solar energy prediction model, which is crucial for efficient grid integration. We explore the influence of the Air Quality Index and weather features on solar energy generation,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-07 Arjun Shah , Varun Viswanath , Kashish Gandhi , Nilesh Madhukar Patil

Long-term sensor network deployments demand careful power management. While managing power requires understanding the amount of energy harvestable from the local environment, current solar prediction methods rely only on recent local…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2014-10-28 Elizabeth Basha , Raja Jurdak , Daniela Rus