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This paper aims to identify three electrical systems: a series RLC circuit, a motor/generator coupled system, and the Duffing-Ueda oscillator. In order to obtain the system's models was used the error reduction ratio and the Akaike…

Numerical simulations of physical systems exhibit discrepancies arising from unmodeled physics and idealizations, as well as numerical approximation errors stemming from discretization and solver tolerances. This article reviews techniques…

计算物理 · 物理学 2026-01-23 Danny Smyl

Handling missing data is a central challenge in data-driven analysis. Modern imputation methods not only aim for accurate reconstruction but also differ in how they represent and quantify uncertainty. Yet, the reliability and calibration of…

数据库 · 计算机科学 2025-11-27 Zarin Tahia Hossain , Mostafa Milani

This paper presents a probabilistic model validation methodology for nonlinear systems in time-domain. The proposed formulation is simple, intuitive, and accounts both deterministic and stochastic nonlinear systems with parametric and…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2014-02-04 Abhishek Halder , Raktim Bhattacharya

Model monitoring is a critical component of the machine learning lifecycle, safeguarding against undetected drops in the model's performance after deployment. Traditionally, performance monitoring has required access to ground truth labels,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-10 Juhani Kivimäki , Jakub Białek , Wojtek Kuberski , Jukka K. Nurminen

Uncertainty is unavoidable in modeling dynamical systems and it may be represented mathematically by differential inclusions. In the past, we proposed an algorithm to compute validated solutions of differential inclusions; here we provide…

Indentation test is used with growing popularity for the characterization of various materials on different scales. Developed methods are combining the test with computer simulation and inverse analyses to assess material parameters…

计算物理 · 物理学 2015-07-14 Vladimir Buljak , Shwetank Pandey

This paper studies the numerical computation of integrals, representing estimates or predictions, over the output $f(x)$ of a computational model with respect to a distribution $p(\mathrm{d}x)$ over uncertain inputs $x$ to the model. For…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-12-13 Chris. J. Oates , Steven Niederer , Angela Lee , François-Xavier Briol , Mark Girolami

Existing procedures for model validation have been deemed inadequate for many engineering systems. The reason of this inadequacy is due to the high degree of complexity of the mechanisms that govern these systems. It is proposed in this…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2007-05-23 A. Guergachi

Uncertainty estimation is an essential and heavily-studied component for the reliable application of semantic segmentation methods. While various studies exist claiming methodological advances on the one hand, and successful application on…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-05-06 Kim-Celine Kahl , Carsten T. Lüth , Maximilian Zenk , Klaus Maier-Hein , Paul F. Jaeger

The parametrisation method for invariant manifolds is a powerful technique for deriving reduced-order models in the context of nonlinear vibrating systems, allowing accurate computations of nonlinear normal modes. Thanks to arbitrary order…

Quantification of the impact of uncertainty in material properties as well as the input ground motion on structural responses is an important step in implementing a performance-based earthquake engineering (PBEE) framework. Among various…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2020-08-12 Mohammad Amin Hariri-Ardebili , Farhad Pourkamali-Anaraki , Siamak Sattar

Calibrating model parameters to measured data by minimizing loss functions is an important step in obtaining realistic predictions from model-based approaches, e.g., for process optimization. This is applicable to both knowledge-driven and…

Computer simulations have proven a valuable tool for understanding complex phenomena across the sciences. However, the utility of simulators for modelling and forecasting purposes is often restricted by low data quality, as well as…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-10-14 Daniel Ward , Patrick Cannon , Mark Beaumont , Matteo Fasiolo , Sebastian M Schmon

Accurate camera calibration is a precondition for many computer vision applications. Calibration errors, such as wrong model assumptions or imprecise parameter estimation, can deteriorate a system's overall performance, making the reliable…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-07-29 Annika Hagemann , Moritz Knorr , Holger Janssen , Christoph Stiller

Linear principal component analysis (PCA) can be extended to a nonlinear PCA by using artificial neural networks. But the benefit of curved components requires a careful control of the model complexity. Moreover, standard techniques for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2012-04-04 Matthias Scholz

We present multimodal neural posterior estimation (MultiNPE), a method to integrate heterogeneous data from different sources in simulation-based inference with neural networks. Inspired by advances in deep fusion, it allows researchers to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-05 Marvin Schmitt , Leona Odole , Stefan T. Radev , Paul-Christian Bürkner

Rigorous statistical methods, including parameter estimation with accompanying uncertainties, underpin the validity of scientific discovery, especially in the natural sciences. With increasingly complex data models such as deep learning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-18 Aurora Grefsrud , Nello Blaser , Trygve Buanes

Dynamic factor models are often estimated by point-estimation methods, disregarding parameter uncertainty. We propose a method accounting for parameter uncertainty by means of posterior approximation, using variational inference. Our…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-14 Erik Spånberg

In this paper we aim to apply an adaptation of the recently developed technique of sparse identification of nonlinear dynamical systems on a Duffing experimental setup with cubic feedback of the output. The Duffing oscillator described by…

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