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Discovering causal relations among observed variables in a given data set is a main topic in studies of statistics and artificial intelligence. Recently, some techniques to discover an identifiable causal structure have been explored based…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2012-02-20 Takanori Inazumi , Takashi Washio , Shohei Shimizu , Joe Suzuki , Akihiro Yamamoto , Yoshinobu Kawahara

Discovering the underlying dynamics of complex systems from data is an important practical topic. Constrained optimization algorithms are widely utilized and lead to many successes. Yet, such purely data-driven methods may bring about…

动力系统 · 数学 2023-05-17 Nan Chen , Yinling Zhang

Causal modeling provides us with powerful counterfactual reasoning and interventional mechanism to generate predictions and reason under various what-if scenarios. However, causal discovery using observation data remains a nontrivial task…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-06 Jawad Chowdhury , Rezaur Rashid , Gabriel Terejanu

Understanding causality helps to structure interventions to achieve specific goals and enables predictions under interventions. With the growing importance of learning causal relationships, causal discovery tasks have transitioned from…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-09-15 Hang Chen , Keqing Du , Xinyu Yang , Chenguang Li

Qualitative causal relationships compactly express the direction, dependency, temporal constraints, and monotonicity constraints of discrete or continuous interactions in the world. In everyday or academic language, we may express…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-02-25 Scott Friedman , Ian Magnusson , Vasanth Sarathy , Sonja Schmer-Galunder

Understanding causality is a core aspect of intelligence. The Event Causality Identification with Causal News Corpus Shared Task addresses two aspects of this challenge: Subtask 1 aims at detecting causal relationships in texts, and Subtask…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-12-12 Timo Pierre Schrader , Simon Razniewski , Lukas Lange , Annemarie Friedrich

Discovering causal relations is fundamental to reasoning and intelligence. In particular, observational causal discovery algorithms estimate the cause-effect relation between two random entities $X$ and $Y$, given $n$ samples from $P(X,Y)$.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-02-24 Mateo Rojas-Carulla , Marco Baroni , David Lopez-Paz

Causal reasoning is a crucial part of science and human intelligence. In order to discover causal relationships from data, we need structure discovery methods. We provide a review of background theory and a survey of methods for structure…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-05 Matthew J. Vowels , Necati Cihan Camgoz , Richard Bowden

Constraint-based methods and noise-based methods are two distinct families of methods proposed for uncovering causal graphs from observational data. However, both operate under strong assumptions that may be challenging to validate or could…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-05-01 Daria Bystrova , Charles K. Assaad , Julyan Arbel , Emilie Devijver , Eric Gaussier , Wilfried Thuiller

Causal discovery aims to estimate causal structures among variables based on observational data. Large Language Models (LLMs) offer a fresh perspective to tackle the causal discovery problem by reasoning on the metadata associated with…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-07-31 Yuni Susanti , Michael Färber

As systems are getting more autonomous with the development of artificial intelligence, it is important to discover the causal knowledge from observational sensory inputs. By encoding a series of cause-effect relations between events,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-01-16 Yuhao Wang , Vlado Menkovski , Hao Wang , Xin Du , Mykola Pechenizkiy

There is a brief description of the probabilistic causal graph model for representing, reasoning with, and learning causal structure using Bayesian networks. It is then argued that this model is closely related to how humans reason with and…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-02-08 Scott B. Morris , Doug Cork , Richard E. Neapolitan

Causal inference is a study of causal relationships between events and the statistical study of inferring these relationships through interventions and other statistical techniques. Causal reasoning is any line of work toward determining…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2023-04-03 Patrick Chadbourne , Nasir Eisty

This paper demonstrates how to discover the whole causal graph from the second derivative of the log-likelihood in observational non-linear additive Gaussian noise models. Leveraging scalable machine learning approaches to approximate the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-10 Francesco Montagna , Nicoletta Noceti , Lorenzo Rosasco , Kun Zhang , Francesco Locatello

The biological literature is rich with sentences that describe causal relations. Methods that automatically extract such sentences can help biologists to synthesize the literature and even discover latent relations that had not been…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2019-04-04 Justin Wood , Nicholas J. Matiasz , Alcino J. Silva , William Hsu , Alexej Abyzov , Wei Wang

Causal discovery has been widely studied, yet many existing methods rely on strong assumptions or fall into two extremes: either depending on costly interventional signals or partial ground truth as strong priors, or adopting purely data…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-24 Wenbo Xu , Yue He , Yunhai Wang , Xingxuan Zhang , Kun Kuang , Yueguo Chen , Peng Cui

Discovering causal structures with latent variables from observational data is a fundamental challenge in causal discovery. Existing methods often rely on constraint-based, iterative discrete searches, limiting their scalability to large…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-02 Parjanya Prashant , Ignavier Ng , Kun Zhang , Biwei Huang

Causal discovery methods aim to infer causal direction from observational data. Functional causal discovery approaches use structural asymmetries to identify causal directionality but rely on strong modeling assumptions and provide limited…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-14 Shreya Prakash , Fan Xia , Elena A. Erosheva

Observational studies are a key resource for causal inference but are often affected by systematic biases. Prior work has focused mainly on detecting these biases, via sensitivity analyses and comparisons with randomized controlled trials,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-03 Ilker Demirel , Zeshan Hussain , Piersilvio De Bartolomeis , David Sontag

The safe deployment of large language models (LLMs) in high-stakes fields like biomedicine, requires them to be able to reason about cause and effect. We investigate this ability by testing 13 open-source LLMs on a fundamental task:…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2026-03-13 Sydney Anuyah , Sneha Shajee-Mohan , Ankit-Singh Chauhan , Sunandan Chakraborty