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Magmatism and volcanism transfer carbon from the solid Earth into the climate system. This transfer may be modulated by the glacial/interglacial cycling of water between oceans and continental ice sheets, which alters the surface loading of…

地球物理 · 物理学 2019-09-30 Nestor G. Cerpa , David W. Rees Jones , Richard F. Katz

The geological record shows links between glacial cycles and volcanic productivity, both subaerially and at mid-ocean ridges. Sea-level-driven pressure changes could also affect chemical properties of mid-ocean ridge volcanism. We consider…

地球物理 · 物理学 2015-09-08 Jonathan M. A. Burley , Richard F. Katz

The glacial cycles are attributed to the climatic response of the orbital changes in the irradiance to the Earth. These changes in the forcing are to small to explain the observed climate variations as simple linear responses. Non-linear…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2009-02-11 Peter D. Ditlevsen

Cenozoic temperature, sea level and CO2 co-variations provide insights into climate sensitivity to external forcings and sea level sensitivity to climate change. Climate sensitivity depends on the initial climate state, but potentially can…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2014-03-05 James Hansen , Makiko Sato , Gary Russell , Pushker Kharecha

An intriguing problem in climate science is the existence of Earth's glacial cycles. We show that it is possible to generate these periodic changes in climate by means of the Earth's carbon cycle as the main determinant factor. The carbon…

The Mid-Pleistocene Transition, the shift from 41 kyr to 100 kyr glacial-interglacial cycles that occurred roughly 1 Myr ago, is often considered as a change in internal climate dynamics. Here we revisit the model of Quaternary climate…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2019-01-14 Courtney Quinn , Jan Sieber , Anna S. von der Heydt , Timothy M. Lenton

We present a phase-space model that simulates Pleistocene ice volume changes based on Earth's orbital parameters. Terminations in the model are triggered by a combination of ice volume and orbital forcing and agree well with age estimates…

地球与行星天体物理 · 物理学 2015-03-19 John Z. Imbrie , Annabel Imbrie-Moore , Lorraine E. Lisiecki

Understanding the interactions between ice sheets and global climate forcings over geological timescales is essential for projecting their future. Previous studies have highlighted the role of ice dynamics and climate interactions in…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-03-31 Pijush Patra , Ludovico T. Giorgini , J. S. Wettlaufer

A review of the recent refereed literature fails to confirm quantitatively that carbon dioxide (CO2) radiative forcing was the prime mover in the changes in temperature, ice-sheet volume, and related climatic variables in the glacial and…

地球物理 · 物理学 2007-07-10 Willie Soon

We analyze and model the stochastic behavior of paleoclimate time series and assess the implications for the coupling of climate variables during the Pleistocene glacial cycles. We examine 800 kyr of carbon dioxide, methane, nitrous oxide,…

软凝聚态物质 · 物理学 2024-02-16 N. D. B. Keyes , L. T. Giorgini , J. S. Wettlaufer

Orbital forcing plays a key role in pacing the glacial-interglacial cycles. However, the mechanistic linkages between the orbital parameters - eccentricity, obliquity, and precession - and global ice volume remain unclear. Here, we…

地球物理 · 物理学 2023-12-05 Liam Wheen , Oscar Benjamin , Thomas Gernon , Cameron Hall , Jerry Wright

The climate record preserved in polar glaciers, mountain glaciers, and widespread cave deposits shows repeated occurrence of abrupt global transitions between cold/dry stadial and warm/wet interstadial states during glacial periods. These…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2009-07-03 Brian F. Farrell , Dorian S. Abbot

The long-term temperature response to a given change in CO2 forcing, or Earth-system sensitivity (ESS), is a key parameter quantifying our understanding about the relationship between changes in Earth's radiative forcing and the resulting…

地球物理 · 物理学 2021-03-02 Tony E. Wong , Ying Cui , Dana L. Royer , Klaus Keller

Glacial-interglacial cycles are large variations in continental ice mass and greenhouse gases, which have dominated climate variability over the Quaternary. The dominant periodicity of the cycles is $\sim $40 kyr before the so-called middle…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2015-06-16 Takahito Mitsui , Michel Crucifix , Kazuyuki Aihara

Glacial cycles redistribute water between oceans and continents causing pressure changes in the upper mantle, with consequences for melting of Earth's interior. Using Plio-Pleistocene sea-level variations as a forcing function, theoretical…

Global Climate Models are key tools for predicting the future response of the climate system to a variety of natural and anthropogenic forcings. Here we show how to use statistical mechanics to construct operators able to flexibly predict…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2020-11-16 Valerio Lembo , Valerio Lucarini , Francesco Ragone

Recent Atmosphere-Ocean Coupled General Circulation Model (AOGCM) simulations of the twentieth century climate, which account for anthropogenic and natural forcings, make it possible to study the origin of long-term temperature correlations…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2015-06-26 Dmitry Vyushin , Igor Zhidkov , Shlomo Havlin , Armin Bunde , Stephen Brenner

The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is a tipping element of the climate system. The current estimate of the global warming threshold for the onset of an AMOC collapse is +4.0C (uncertainty range 1.4-8C). However, such a…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-04-30 René M. van Westen , Reyk Börner , Henk A. Dijkstra

Ocean planets are volatile rich planets, not present in our Solar System, which are thought to be dominated by deep, global oceans. This results in the formation of high-pressure water ice, separating the planetary crust from the liquid…

地球与行星天体物理 · 物理学 2015-07-14 D. Kitzmann , Y. Alibert , M. Godolt , J. L. Grenfell , K. Heng , A. B. C. Patzer , H. Rauer , B. Stracke , P. von Paris

Severity of warming predicted by climate models depends on their Transient Climate Response (TCR). Inter-model spread of TCR has persisted at ~100% of its mean for decades. Existing observational constraints of TCR are based on observed…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-12-25 King-Fai Li , Ka-Kit Tung
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