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The development of a new diagnostic test ideally follows a sequence of stages which, amongst other aims, evaluate technical performance. This includes an analytical validity study, a diagnostic accuracy study and an interventional clinical…

We study a marginal empirical likelihood approach in scenarios when the number of variables grows exponentially with the sample size. The marginal empirical likelihood ratios as functions of the parameters of interest are systematically…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-11-07 Jinyuan Chang , Cheng Yong Tang , Yichao Wu

Research on cluster analysis for categorical data continues to develop, with new clustering algorithms being proposed. However, in this context, the determination of the number of clusters is rarely addressed. In this paper, we propose a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-09-29 Cláudia Silvestre , Margarida G. M. S. Cardoso , Mário A. T. Figueiredo

Conformal prediction is a statistically rigorous method for quantifying uncertainty in models by having them output sets of predictions, with larger sets indicating more uncertainty. However, prediction sets are not inherently actionable;…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-17 Jesse C. Cresswell , Bhargava Kumar , Yi Sui , Mouloud Belbahri

We suggest general methods to construct asymptotically uniformly valid confidence intervals post-model-selection. The constructions are based on principles recently proposed by Berk et al. (2013). In particular the candidate models used can…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-11-15 François Bachoc , David Preinerstorfer , Lukas Steinberger

In this paper, different strands of literature are combined in order to obtain algorithms for semi-parametric estimation of discrete choice models that include the modelling of unobserved heterogeneity by using mixing distributions for the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-12 Dietmar Bauer , Sebastian Büscher , Manuel Batram

Symmetries are known to improve the empirical performance of machine learning models, yet theoretical guarantees explaining these gains remain limited. Prior work has focused mainly on compact group symmetries and often assumes that the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-21 Armin Beck , Peter Ochs

The issue of model selection in applied research is of vital importance. Since the true model in such research is not known, which model should be used from among various potential ones is an empirical question. There might exist several…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2018-05-24 R. Scott Hacker , Abdulnasser Hatemi-J

This work studies an experimental design problem where {the values of a predictor variable, denoted by $x$}, are to be determined with the goal of estimating a function $m(x)$, which is observed with noise. A linear model is fitted to…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-05-03 David Azriel

This paper proposes a Sequential Monte Carlo approach for the Bayesian estimation of mixed causal and noncausal models. Unlike previous Bayesian estimation methods developed for these models, Sequential Monte Carlo offers extensive…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-01-08 Gianluca Cubadda , Francesco Giancaterini , Stefano Grassi

Let $\theta_0,\theta_1 \in \mathbb{R}^d$ be the population risk minimizers associated to some loss $\ell:\mathbb{R}^d\times \mathcal{Z}\to\mathbb{R}$ and two distributions $\mathbb{P}_0,\mathbb{P}_1$ on $\mathcal{Z}$. The models…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-07-13 Dmitrii M. Ostrovskii , Mohamed Ndaoud , Adel Javanmard , Meisam Razaviyayn

Empirical likelihood is a popular nonparametric statistical tool that does not require any distributional assumptions. In this paper, we explore the possibility of conducting variable selection via Bayesian empirical likelihood. We show…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-13 Yichen Cheng , Yichuan Zhao

We propose an empirical Bayes estimator based on Dirichlet process mixture model for estimating the sparse normalized mean difference, which could be directly applied to the high dimensional linear classification. In theory, we build a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-02-17 Yunbo Ouyang , Feng Liang

This paper introduces a machine for sampling approximate model-X knockoffs for arbitrary and unspecified data distributions using deep generative models. The main idea is to iteratively refine a knockoff sampling mechanism until a criterion…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-03-03 Yaniv Romano , Matteo Sesia , Emmanuel J. Candès

An empirical investigation of the interaction of sample size and discretization - in this case the entropy-based method CAIM (Class-Attribute Interdependence Maximization) - was undertaken to evaluate the impact and potential bias…

机器学习 · 统计学 2012-01-09 Casey Bennett

In this paper we propose an efficient stochastic optimization algorithm to search for Bayesian experimental designs such that the expected information gain is maximized. The gradient of the expected information gain with respect to…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-02-03 Takashi Goda , Tomohiko Hironaka , Wataru Kitade , Adam Foster

There are many atomistic simulation methods with very different costs, accuracies, transferabilities, and numbers of empirical parameters. I show how statistical model selection can compare these methods fairly, even when they are very…

化学物理 · 物理学 2025-10-07 Jonathan E. Moussa

Fitting models to data is an important part of the practice of science. Advances in machine learning have made it possible to fit more -- and more complex -- models, but have also exacerbated a problem: when multiple models fit the data…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-27 Alexandre René , André Longtin

Mechanistic mathematical models of biological systems usually contain a number of unknown parameters whose values need to be estimated from available experimental data in order for the models to be validated and used to make quantitative…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2025-06-16 Yue Liu , Philip K. Maini , Ruth E. Baker

This paper introduces methodology for performing Bayesian inference sequentially on a sequence of posteriors on spaces of different dimensions. We show how this may be achieved through the use of sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) samplers (Del…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-06-02 Richard G Everitt , Richard Culliford , Felipe Medina-Aguayo , Daniel J Wilson
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