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Big data and machine learning methods have become commonplace across economic milieus. One area that has not seen as much attention to these important topics yet is efficiency analysis. We show how the availability of big (wide) data can…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-05-21 Christopher Parmeter , Artem Prokhorov , Valentin Zelenyuk

In this paper, we study a fast approximate inference method based on expectation propagation for exploring the posterior probability distribution arising from the Bayesian formulation of nonlinear inverse problems. It is capable of…

数值分析 · 数学 2015-06-18 Matthias Gehre , Bangti Jin

Deep feedforward neural networks (DFNNs) are a powerful tool for functional approximation. We describe flexible versions of generalized linear and generalized linear mixed models incorporating basis functions formed by a DFNN. The…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-05-28 Minh-Ngoc Tran , Nghia Nguyen , David Nott , Robert Kohn

Distribution regression, where the goal is to predict a scalar response from a distribution-valued predictor, arises naturally in settings where observations are grouped and outcomes depend on group-level characteristics rather than on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-09 Antonio R. Linero , Soumyabrata Bose , Jared Murray

We introduce a Bayesian prior distribution, the Logit-Normal continuous analogue of the spike-and-slab (LN-CASS), which enables flexible parameter estimation and variable/model selection in a variety of settings. We demonstrate its use and…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-10-04 William Thomson , Sara Jabbari , Angela Taylor , Wiebke Arlt , David Smith

The Poisson distribution arises naturally when dealing with data involving counts, and it has found many applications in inverse problems and imaging. In this work, we develop an approximate Bayesian inference technique based on expectation…

数值分析 · 数学 2019-09-04 Chen Zhang , Simon Arridge , Bangti Jin

Latent factor models are the canonical statistical tool for exploratory analyses of low-dimensional linear structure for an observation matrix with p features across n samples. We develop a structured Bayesian group factor analysis model…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-11-12 Shiwen Zhao , Chuan Gao , Sayan Mukherjee , Barbara E Engelhardt

I propose a novel approach for nonlinear Logistic regression using a two-layer neural network (NN) model structure with hierarchical priors on the network weights. I present a hybrid of expectation propagation called Variational Expectation…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-03-06 Kehinde Olobatuyi

Current methods for learning graphical models with latent variables and a fixed structure estimate optimal values for the model parameters. Whereas this approach usually produces overfitting and suboptimal generalization performance,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2013-01-30 Hagai Attias

Parameter inference is a fundamental problem in data-driven modeling. Given observed data that is believed to be a realization of some parameterized model, the aim is to find parameter values that are able to explain the observed data. In…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2016-04-20 Carlo Albert , Simone Ulzega , Ruedi Stoop

Estimating conditional independence graphs from high-dimensional Gaussian data is challenging because methods must detect relevant edges while rigorously controlling statistical errors. We propose a Bayesian framework based on a prior…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-21 Roland B. Sogan , Tabea Rebafka , Fanny Villers

Bayesian inference is a powerful tool for parameter estimation and uncertainty quantification in dynamical systems. However, for nonlinear oscillator networks such as Kuramoto models, widely used to study synchronization phenomena in…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-03-24 Emma Hannula , Jana de Wiljes , Matthew T. Moores , Heikki Haario , Lassi Roininen

We introduce a novel Bayesian approach for both covariate selection and sparse precision matrix estimation in the context of high-dimensional Gaussian graphical models involving multiple responses. Our approach provides a sparse estimation…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-25 Anwesha Chakravarti , Naveen N. Narishetty , Feng Liang

We consider continuous-time diffusion models driven by fractional Brownian motion. Observations are assumed to possess a non-trivial likelihood given the latent path. Due to the non-Markovianity and high-dimensionality of the latent paths,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-03-25 Alexandros Beskos , Joseph Dureau , Konstantinos Kalogeropoulos

Deep neural networks (DNNs) often produce overconfident out-of-distribution predictions, motivating Bayesian uncertainty quantification. The Linearized Laplace Approximation (LLA) achieves this by linearizing the DNN and applying Laplace…

Neural networks make accurate predictions but often fail to provide reliable uncertainty estimates, especially under covariate distribution shifts between training and testing. To address this problem, we propose a Bayesian framework for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-22 Yuli Slavutsky , David M. Blei

Inference for mechanistic models is challenging because of nonlinear interactions between model parameters and a lack of identifiability. Here we focus on a specific class of mechanistic models, which we term stable differential equations.…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-12-13 Philip Maybank , Ingo Bojak , Richard G. Everitt

Increasingly larger data sets of processes in space and time ask for statistical models and methods that can cope with such data. We show that the solution of a stochastic advection-diffusion partial differential equation provides a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-02-18 Fabio Sigrist , Hans R. Künsch , Werner A. Stahel

This paper investigates the high-dimensional linear regression with highly correlated covariates. In this setup, the traditional sparsity assumption on the regression coefficients often fails to hold, and consequently many model selection…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-03-26 Jianqing Fan , Bai Jiang , Qiang Sun

We consider adaptive estimation and statistical inference for high-dimensional graph-based linear models. In our model, the coordinates of regression coefficients correspond to an underlying undirected graph. Furthermore, the given graph…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-01-30 Duzhe Wang , Po-Ling Loh