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Many datasets are in the form of tables of binned data. Performing regression on these data usually involves either reading off bin heights, ignoring data from neighbouring bins or interpolating between bins thus over or underestimating the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-05-21 Michael Thomas Smith , Mauricio A Alvarez , Neil D Lawrence

Many problems arising in applications result in the need to probe a probability distribution for functions. Examples include Bayesian nonparametric statistics and conditioned diffusion processes. Standard MCMC algorithms typically become…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-03-20 S. L. Cotter , G. O. Roberts , A. M. Stuart , D. White

In this work, we employ the Bayesian inference framework to solve the problem of estimating the solution and particularly, its derivatives, which satisfy a known differential equation, from the given noisy and scarce observations of the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-10-09 Hongqiao Wang , Xiang Zhou

Nonparametric Bayesian approaches based on Gaussian processes have recently become popular in the empirical learning community. They encompass many classical methods of statistics, like Radial Basis Functions or various splines, and are…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2007-05-23 J. C. Lemm

Gaussian processes (GPs) are versatile tools that have been successfully employed to solve nonlinear estimation problems in machine learning, but that are rarely used in signal processing. In this tutorial, we present GPs for regression as…

Gaussian processes are a powerful class of non-linear models, but have limited applicability for larger datasets due to their high computational complexity. In such cases, approximate methods are required, for example, the recently…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-24 Soham Mukherjee , Manfred Claassen , Paul-Christian Bürkner

Complex computer codes are often too time expensive to be directly used to perform uncertainty propagation studies, global sensitivity analysis or to solve optimization problems. A well known and widely used method to circumvent this…

应用统计 · 统计学 2008-04-06 Amandine Marrel , Bertrand Iooss , Francois Van Dorpe , Elena Volkova

Some scenarios require the computation of a predictive distribution of a new value evaluated on an objective function conditioned on previous observations. We are interested on using a model that makes valid assumptions on the objective…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-21 Lucia Asencio-Martín , Eduardo C. Garrido-Merchán

Gaussian process regression (GPR) is a fundamental model used in machine learning. Owing to its accurate prediction with uncertainty and versatility in handling various data structures via kernels, GPR has been successfully used in various…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-16 Yuya Yoshikawa , Tomoharu Iwata

Accurate demand forecasting is one of the key aspects for successfully managing restaurants and staff canteens. In particular, properly predicting future sales of menu items allows a precise ordering of food stock. From an environmental…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-07-14 Konstantin Posch , Christian Truden , Philipp Hungerländer , Jürgen Pilz

Gaussian processes (GPs) are nonparametric Bayesian models that have been applied to regression and classification problems. One of the approaches to alleviate their cubic training cost is the use of local GP experts trained on subsets of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-02-16 Samuel Cohen , Rendani Mbuvha , Tshilidzi Marwala , Marc Peter Deisenroth

Accurate assessment of systematic uncertainties is an increasingly vital task in physics studies, where large, high-dimensional datasets, like those collected at the Large Hadron Collider, hold the key to new discoveries. Common approaches…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-02 Alexis Romero , Kyle Cranmer , Daniel Whiteson

Big spatio-temporal datasets, available through both open and administrative data sources, offer significant potential for social science research. The magnitude of the data allows for increased resolution and analysis at individual level.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-11-27 Anastasia Ushakova , Slava J. Mikhaylov

Complex-valued signals are used in the modeling of many systems in engineering and science, hence being of fundamental interest. Often, random complex-valued signals are considered to be proper. A proper complex random variable or process…

We introduce fully scalable Gaussian processes, an implementation scheme that tackles the problem of treating a high number of training instances together with high dimensional input data. Our key idea is a representation trick over the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-07-16 Aristeidis Panos , Petros Dellaportas , Michalis K. Titsias

Scalable Gaussian process (GP) inference is essential for sequential decision-making tasks, yet improving GP scalability remains a challenging problem with many open avenues of research. This paper focuses on iterative GPs, where iterative…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-21 Alan Yufei Dong , Jihao Andreas Lin , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato

Large-scale Gaussian process inference has long faced practical challenges due to time and space complexity that is superlinear in dataset size. While sparse variational Gaussian process models are capable of learning from large-scale data,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-01-23 Ching-An Cheng , Byron Boots

In modern science, computer models are often used to understand complex phenomena, and a thriving statistical community has grown around analyzing them. This review aims to bring a spotlight to the growing prevalence of stochastic computer…

Gaussian processes (GPs) provide a probabilistic nonparametric representation of functions in regression, classification, and other problems. Unfortunately, exact learning with GPs is intractable for large datasets. A variety of approximate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2010-02-23 Yuan Qi , Ahmed H. Abdel-Gawad , Thomas P. Minka

We propose a practical and scalable Gaussian process model for large-scale nonlinear probabilistic regression. Our mixture-of-experts model is conceptually simple and hierarchically recombines computations for an overall approximation of a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-12-10 Jun Wei Ng , Marc Peter Deisenroth