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The Bayesian approach to data analysis provides a powerful way to handle uncertainty in all observations, model parameters, and model structure using probability theory. Probabilistic programming languages make it easier to specify and fit…

The goal of phylodynamics, an area on the intersection of phylogenetics and population genetics, is to reconstruct population size dynamics from genetic data. Recently, a series of nonparametric Bayesian methods have been proposed for such…

应用统计 · 统计学 2012-10-19 Julia A. Palacios , Vladimir N. Minin

Canonical Correlation Analysis (CCA) is a widely used statistical tool with both well established theory and favorable performance for a wide range of machine learning problems. However, computing CCA for huge datasets can be very slow…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-12-31 Yichao Lu , Dean P. Foster

Combining the outputs of multiple classifiers or experts into a single probabilistic classification is a fundamental task in machine learning with broad applications from classifier fusion to expert opinion pooling. Here we present a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-24 Susanne Trick , Constantin A. Rothkopf

Approving and assessing new drugs is complex because multiple criteria must be considered simultaneously. A common approach is benefit-risk analysis, often conducted within a Bayesian framework to account for uncertainty and combine data…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-05 Konstantinos Vamvourellis , Konstantinos Kalogeropoulos , Lawrence Phillips

The Bayesian paradigm has the potential to solve core issues of deep neural networks such as poor calibration and data inefficiency. Alas, scaling Bayesian inference to large weight spaces often requires restrictive approximations. In this…

Bayesian inference has many advantages in decision making of agents (e.g. robotics/simulative agent) over a regular data-driven black-box neural network: Data-efficiency, generalization, interpretability, and safety where these advantages…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-14 Chengmin Zhou , Ville Kyrki , Pasi Fränti , Laura Ruotsalainen

With the advent of high-performance computing, Bayesian methods are increasingly popular tools for the quantification of uncertainty throughout science and industry. Since these methods impact the making of sometimes critical decisions in…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-05-20 Houman Owhadi , Clint Scovel , Tim Sullivan

In applications of Bayesian procedures, once a class of priors has been chosen, it may be tempting to fix the prior's hyperparameters from the data, in an empirical Bayes (EB) fashion, usually by their maximum marginal likelihood estimates…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-04-14 Stefano Rizzelli , Judith Rousseau , Sonia Petrone

Large Language Model (LLM) inference systems present significant challenges in statistical performance characterization due to dynamic workload variations, diverse hardware architectures, and complex interactions between model size, batch…

Using nonparametric methods has been increasingly explored in Bayesian hierarchical modeling as a way to increase model flexibility. Although the field shows a lot of promise, inference in many models, including Hierachical Dirichlet…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-01-19 Alexander Spangher

Robust classification becomes challenging when each class consists of multiple subclasses. Examples include multi-font optical character recognition and automated protein function prediction. In correlation-based nearest-neighbor…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2016-11-18 Taehoon Lee , Taesup Moon , Seung Jean Kim , Sungroh Yoon

When using complex Bayesian models to combine information, the checking for consistency of the information being combined is good statistical practice. Here a new method is developed for detecting prior-data conflicts in Bayesian models…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-11-29 David J. Nott , Xueou Wang , Michael Evans , Berthold-Georg Englert

Motivated by big data and the vast parameter spaces in modern machine learning models, optimisation approaches to Bayesian inference have seen a surge in popularity in recent years. In this paper, we address the connection between the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-18 Lachlan Astfalck , Cassandra Bird , Daniel Williamson

Networks are a commonly used mathematical model to describe the rich set of interactions between objects of interest. Many clustering methods have been developed in order to partition such structures, among which several rely on underlying…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-05-13 P. Latouche , E. Birmelé , C. Ambroise

In record linkage (RL), or exact file matching, the goal is to identify the links between entities with information on two or more files. RL is an important activity in areas including counting the population, enhancing survey frames and…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-12-21 Michael D. Larsen

Reinforcement Learning (RL) for training Large Language Models is notoriously unstable. While recent studies attribute this to "training inference mismatch stemming" from inconsistent hybrid engines, standard remedies, such as Importance…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-03 Yaxiang Zhang , Yingru Li , Jiacai Liu , Jiawei Xu , Ziniu Li , Qian Liu , Haoyuan Li

This paper introduces Bayesian frameworks for tackling various aspects of multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) problems, leveraging a probabilistic interpretation of MCDM methods and challenges. By harnessing the flexibility of Bayesian…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-08-08 Majid Mohammadi

This study develops an original and innovative matrix representation with respect to the information flow for networked multi-agent system. To begin with, the general concepts of the edge Laplacian of digraph are proposed with its algebraic…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2015-02-25 Zhiwen Zeng , Xiangke Wang , Zhiqiang Zheng

The Neyman-Scott point process is a widely used point process model which is easily interpretable and easily extendable to include various types of inhomogeneity. The inference for such complex models is then complicated and fast methods,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-05-18 Jiří Dvořák , Radim Remeš , Ladislav Beránek , Tomáš Mrkvička