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We develop a new method for generating prediction sets that combines the flexibility of conformal methods with an estimate of the conditional distribution $P_{Y \mid X}$. Existing methods, such as conformalized quantile regression and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-10-10 Vincent Plassier , Alexander Fishkov , Mohsen Guizani , Maxim Panov , Eric Moulines

L1 -penalized regression methods such as the Lasso (Tibshirani 1996) that achieve both variable selection and shrinkage have been very popular. An extension of this method is the Fused Lasso (Tibshirani and Wang 2007), which allows for the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2010-12-01 Holger Höfling , Harald Binder , Martin Schumacher

Linear regression is a fundamental modeling tool in statistics and related fields. In this paper, we study an important variant of linear regression in which the predictor-response pairs are partially mismatched. We use an optimization…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-11-01 Rahul Mazumder , Haoyue Wang

Due to its low computational cost, Lasso is an attractive regularization method for high-dimensional statistical settings. In this paper, we consider multivariate counting processes depending on an unknown function parameter to be estimated…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-04-08 Niels Richard Hansen , Patricia Reynaud-Bouret , Vincent Rivoirard

Many estimators of the average effect of a treatment on an outcome require estimation of the propensity score, the outcome regression, or both. It is often beneficial to utilize flexible techniques such as semiparametric regression or…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-05-14 Cheng Ju , David Benkeser , Mark J. van der Laan

Conformal prediction is a simple and powerful tool that can quantify uncertainty without any distributional assumptions. Many existing methods only address the average coverage guarantee, which is not ideal compared to the stronger…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-02-21 Xing Han , Ziyang Tang , Joydeep Ghosh , Qiang Liu

This article describes a full Bayesian treatment for simultaneous fixed-effect selection and parameter estimation in high-dimensional generalized linear mixed models. The approach consists of using a Bayesian adaptive Lasso penalty for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-08-31 Dao Thanh Tung , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Tran Manh Cuong

Conformal predictive systems are sets of predictive distributions with theoretical out-of-sample calibration guarantees. The calibration guarantees are typically that the set of predictions contains a forecast distribution whose prediction…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-03 Sam Allen , Enrico Pescara , Johanna Ziegel

In an ordinary feature selection procedure, a set of important features is obtained by solving an optimization problem such as the Lasso regression problem, and we expect that the obtained features explain the data well. In this study,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-10-16 Satoshi Hara , Takanori Maehara

Regression with the lasso penalty is a popular tool for performing dimension reduction when the number of covariates is large. In many applications of the lasso, like in genomics, covariates are subject to measurement error. We study the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-01-04 Øystein Sørensen , Arnoldo Frigessi , Magne Thoresen

We propose a generalized debiased Lasso estimator based on a stability principle. When a single column of the design matrix is perturbed, the estimator admits a simple update formula that can be computed from the original solution. Under…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-04-14 Jingbo Liu

Traditional conformal prediction methods construct prediction sets such that the true label falls within the set with a user-specified coverage level. However, poorly chosen coverage levels can result in uninformative predictions, either…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-04-03 Etienne Gauthier , Francis Bach , Michael I. Jordan

The paper considers a linear regression model with multiple change-points occurring at unknown times. The LASSO technique is very interesting since it allows the parametric estimation, including the change-points, and automatic variable…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-04-19 Gabriela Ciuperca

We propose a new, computationally efficient, sparsity adaptive changepoint estimator for detecting changes in unknown subsets of a high-dimensional data sequence. Assuming the data sequence is Gaussian, we prove that the new method…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-27 Per August Jarval Moen , Ingrid Kristine Glad , Martin Tveten

The compatibility constant plays an important role in evaluating the prediction error of the lasso in high-dimensional settings. However, the computation of the compatibility constant is generally difficult because it is a complicated…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-03-30 Kei Hirose

Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator or the Lasso, introduced by Tibshirani (1996), is a popular estimation procedure in multiple linear regression when underlying design has a sparse structure, because of its property that it…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-10-31 Debraj Das , S. N. Lahiri

This paper presents a comprehensive exploration of the theoretical properties inherent in the Adaptive Lasso and the Transfer Lasso. The Adaptive Lasso, a well-established method, employs regularization divided by initial estimators and is…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-04-18 Masaaki Takada , Hironori Fujisawa

Logistic models are studied as a tool to convert output from numerical weather forecasting systems (deterministic and ensemble) into probability forecasts for binary events. A logistic model obtains by putting the logarithmic odds ratio…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2009-01-29 Jochen Bröcker

Conformal prediction is an emerging technique for uncertainty quantification that constructs prediction sets guaranteed to contain the true label with a predefined probability. Previous works often employ temperature scaling to calibrate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-24 Huajun Xi , Jianguo Huang , Kangdao Liu , Lei Feng , Hongxin Wei

In this paper, we present a novel approach for conformal prediction (CP), in which we aim to identify a set of promising prediction candidates -- in place of a single prediction. This set is guaranteed to contain a correct answer with high…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-03 Adam Fisch , Tal Schuster , Tommi Jaakkola , Regina Barzilay