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The refugee crisis is perhaps the single most challenging problem for Europe today. Hundreds of thousands of people have already traveled across dangerous sea passages from Turkish shores to Greek islands, resulting in thousands of dead and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-05-11 Harris V. Georgiou

The effects of the so-called "refugee crisis" of 2015-16 continue to dominate the political agenda in Europe. Migration flows were sudden and unexpected, leaving governments unprepared and exposing significant shortcomings in the field of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-05-25 Marcello Carammia , Stefano Maria Iacus , Teddy Wilkin

The widespread utilisation of grid-integrated wind electricity necessitates accurate and reliable wind speed forecasting to ensure stable grid and quality power. Machine learning algorithm based wind speed forecasting models are getting…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2018-08-13 Valsaraj Perumpalot , G. V. Drisya , K. Satheesh Kumar

This study explores wind energy resources in different locations through the Gulf of Oman and also their future variability due climate change impacts. In this regard, EC-EARTH near surface wind outputs obtained from CORDEX-MENA simulations…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2020-02-25 Shahab Shamshirband , Amir Mosavi , Narjes Nabipour , Kwok-wing Chau

Accurate projections of wind energy potential under climate change are critical for effective long-term energy planning. While previous studies have highlighted the value of multi-model ensembles, they often fall short in capturing the full…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-06-02 Andrea Lira-Loarca , Francesco Ferrari , Andrea Mazzino

This study presents a hybrid neural network model for short-term (1-6 hours ahead) surface wind speed forecasting, combining Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) with observational data from ground weather stations. It relies on the MeteoNet…

We present a regime-switching vector-autoregressive method for very-short-term wind speed forecasting at multiple locations with regimes based on large-scale meteorological phenomena. Statistical methods short-term wind forecasting…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-05-31 Jethro Browell , Daniel R. Drew , Kostas Philippopoulos

Recently it was demonstrated how climate data can be utilized to estimate regional wind power densities. In particular it was shown that the quality of the global scale estimate compared well with regional high resolution studies and a link…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2016-10-31 Markus Gross , Vanesa Magar

The Southwestern South Atlantic (SWSA) is a key region for climate research and renewable energy assessment, yet high-resolution meteorological data are scarce. We present a multiresolution dataset spanning February 2017--November 2018,…

Global return values of marine wind speed and significant wave height are estimated from very large aggregates of archived ensemble forecasts at +240-h lead time. Long lead time ensures that the forecasts represent independent draws from…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2014-07-22 Øyvind Breivik , Ole Johan Aarnes , Saleh Abdalla , Jean-Raymond Bidlot , Peter A. E. M. Janssen

Wind is slated to become one of the most sought after source of energy in future. Both onshore as well as offshore wind farms are getting deployed rapidly over the world. This paper evaluates a neural network based time series approach to…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-02-18 Munir Ahmad Nayak , M C Deo

The renewable energies prediction and particularly global radiation forecasting is a challenge studied by a growing number of research teams. This paper proposes an original technique to model the insolation time series based on combining…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2012-11-13 Cyril Voyant , Marc Muselli , Christophe Paoli , Marie Laure Nivet

In this paper, we develop a distributionally robust model predictive control framework for the control of wind farms with the goal of power tracking and mechanical stress reduction of the individual wind turbines. We introduce an ARMA model…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-03-07 Christoph Mark , Steven Liu

Monitoring tools for anticipatory action are increasingly gaining traction to improve the efficiency and timeliness of humanitarian responses. Whilst predictive models can now forecast conflicts with high accuracy, translating these…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-05-13 Geraldine Henningsen

We introduce a novel way to extract information from turbulent datasets by applying an ARMA statistical analysis. Such analysis goes well beyond the analysis of the mean flow and of the fluctuations and links the behavior of the recorded…

Statistically simulated time series of wave parameters are required for many coastal and offshore engineering applications, often at the resolution of approximately one hour. Various studies have relied on autoregressive moving-average…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-10-31 Wiebke S. Jäger , Thomas Nagler , Claudia Czado , Robert T. McCall

In building studies dealing about energy efficiency and comfort, simulation software need relevant weather files with optimal time steps. Few tools generate extreme and mean values of simultaneous hourly data including correlation between…

计算物理 · 物理学 2014-09-29 Mathieu David , Laetitia Adelard , Francois Garde , Harry Boyer

Over recent decades, the Arctic Ocean has experienced dramatic changes due to climate change. Retreating sea ice has opened up large areas of ocean, resulting in an enhanced wave climate. Taking into account the intense seasonality and the…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2020-10-14 Isabela S. Cabral , Ian R. Young , Alessandro Toffoli

In this paper, we address the issue of short-term wind speed prediction at a given site. We show that, when one uses spatiotemporal information as provided by wind data of neighboring stations, one significantly improves the prediction…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2022-10-07 Rachel Baïle , Jean-François Muzy

In 2021 300 mm of rain, nearly half the average annual rainfall, fell near Catania (Sicily island, Italy). Such events took place in just a few hours, with dramatic consequences on the environmental, social, economic, and health systems of…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2022-12-19 Eleonora Vitanza , Giovanna Maria Dimitri , Chiara Mocenni
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