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A subjective expected utility policy making centre, managing complex, dynamic systems, needs to draw on the expertise of a variety of disparate panels of experts and integrate this information coherently. To achieve this, diverse supporting…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-12-21 Jim Q. Smith , Martine J. Barons , Manuele Leonelli

Time series (TS) forecasting has been an unprecedentedly popular problem in recent years, with ubiquitous applications in both scientific and business fields. Various approaches have been introduced to time series analysis, including both…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-20 Ziyou Guo , Yan Sun , Tieru Wu

Active statistical inference is a new method for inference with AI-assisted data collection. Given a budget on the number of labeled data points that can be collected and assuming access to an AI predictive model, the basic idea is to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-11-13 Puheng Li , Tijana Zrnic , Emmanuel Candès

Most machine learning models for predicting clinical outcomes are developed using historical data. Yet, even if these models are deployed in the near future, dataset shift over time may result in less than ideal performance. To capture this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-21 Christina X Ji , Ahmed M Alaa , David Sontag

This paper proposes a flexible framework for inferring large-scale time-varying and time-lagged correlation networks from multivariate or high-dimensional non-stationary time series with piecewise smooth trends. Built on a novel and unified…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-13 Lujia Bai , Weichi Wu

Artificial intelligence has advanced rapidly in biomedicine through large-scale multimodal data integration, enabling increasingly accurate prediction of clinical outcomes and patient stratification. These systems, however, remain…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2026-05-28 Andrew Feinberg , Aleksandr Sarachakov , Viktor Svekolkin , Alexander Bagaev , Ferran Prat , Michael Feinberg

Simulation studies allow us to explore the properties of statistical methods. They provide a powerful tool with a multiplicity of aims; among others: evaluating and comparing new or existing statistical methods, assessing violations of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-05-05 Alessandro Gasparini , Tim P. Morris , Michael J. Crowther

Missing outcome data is one of the principal threats to the validity of treatment effect estimates from randomized trials. The outcome distributions of participants with missing and observed data are often different, which increases the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-04-06 Iván Díaz , Mark J. van der Laan

Time series classification is a task which deals with temporal sequences, a prevalent data type common in domains such as human activity recognition, sports analytics and general sensing. In this area, interest in explainability has been…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-27 Thu Trang Nguyen , Thach Le Nguyen , Georgiana Ifrim

Modern technological advances have expanded the scope of applications requiring analysis of large-scale datastreams that comprise multiple indefinitely long time series. There is an acute need for statistical methodologies that perform…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-03 Jingshen Wang , Lilun Du , Changliang Zou , Zhenke Wu

In this study, a new and natural way of constructing a stochastic Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) model is proposed. This approach is natural in the sense that the disease transmission rate, $\beta$, is substituted with a generic,…

概率论 · 数学 2025-11-07 Berk Tan Perçin

The method of instrumental variables provides a fundamental and practical tool for causal inference in many empirical studies where unmeasured confounding between the treatments and the outcome is present. Modern data such as the genetical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-28 Ziang Niu , Yuwen Gu , Wei Li

The Robust Satisficing (RS) model is an emerging approach to robust optimization, offering streamlined procedures and robust generalization across various applications. However, the statistical theory of RS remains unexplored in the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-06-03 Zhiyi Li , Yunbei Xu , Ruohan Zhan

Not only does mobile health technology enable researchers to track changes in multiple longitudinal outcomes of interest and to record the occurrence of health-related events over time, but it also allows for the delivery of repeated…

Identifying influential nodes plays a pivotal role in understanding, controlling, and optimizing the behavior of complex systems, ranging from social to biological and technological domains. Yet most centrality-based approaches rely on…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-12-12 Yajing Hao , Longzhao Liu , Xin Wang , Zhihao Han , Ming Wei , Zhiming Zheng , Shaoting Tang

Accurate gene regulatory networks can be used to explain the emergence of different phenotypes, disease mechanisms, and other biological functions. Many methods have been proposed to infer networks from gene expression data but have been…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2018-12-11 Phan Nguyen , Rosemary Braun

We demonstrate that the algorithmic information content of a system is deeply connected to its potential dynamics, thus affording an avenue for moving systems in the information-theoretic space and controlling them in the phase space. To…

其他定量生物学 · 定量生物学 2018-04-06 Hector Zenil , Narsis A. Kiani , Francesco Marabita , Yue Deng , Szabolcs Elias , Angelika Schmidt , Gordon Ball , Jesper Tegnér

Problem definition: Mining for heterogeneous responses to an intervention is a crucial step for data-driven operations, for instance to personalize treatment or pricing. We investigate how to estimate price sensitivity from…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-08 Jean Pauphilet

Irregular multivariate time series with missing values present significant challenges for predictive modeling in domains such as healthcare. While deep learning approaches often focus on temporal interpolation or complex architectures to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-16 Dingyi Nie , Yixing Wu , C. -C. Jay Kuo

Surgical team performance arises from complex interactions between technical execution and non-technical skills, including communication and coordination dynamics. However, current surgical AI systems predominantly model visual workflow…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-05-07 Vincenzo Marco De Luca , Antonio Longa , Giovanna Varni , Andrea Passerini
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