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Calibrating a Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) model against data leads to an improvement. Determining {\it a priori} if such an improvement generalizes to flows outside the calibration data is an outstanding challenge. This work…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2023-03-07 Xinyi Huang , Naman Jain , Mahdi Abkar , Robert Kunz , Xiang Yang

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is crucial in machine learning, yet most (axiomatic) studies of uncertainty measures focus on classification, leaving a gap in regression settings with limited formal justification and evaluations. In this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-19 Christopher Bülte , Yusuf Sale , Timo Löhr , Paul Hofman , Gitta Kutyniok , Eyke Hüllermeier

First principles approaches have revolutionized our ability in using computers to predict, explore and design materials. A major advantage commonly associated with these approaches is that they are fully parameter free. However, numerically…

材料科学 · 物理学 2025-12-25 Jan Janssen , Edgar Makarov , Tilmann Hickel , Alexander V. Shapeev , Jörg Neugebauer

Incomplete covariate vectors are known to be problematic for estimation and inferences on model parameters, but their impact on prediction performance is less understood. We develop an imputation-free method that builds on a random…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-31 Matthew J. Heiner , Garritt L. Page , Fernando Andrés Quintana

We consider a flexible semiparametric quantile regression model for analyzing high dimensional heterogeneous data. This model has several appealing features: (1) By considering different conditional quantiles, we may obtain a more complete…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-01-25 Ben Sherwood , Lan Wang

We describe a computational framework linking Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) methods for continuum problems depending on random parameters with Equation-Free (EF) methods for performing continuum deterministic numerics by acting directly…

动力系统 · 数学 2007-05-23 Yu Zou , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis

Quantifying uncertainty of machine learning model predictions is essential for reliable decision-making, especially in safety-critical applications. Recently, uncertainty quantification (UQ) theory has advanced significantly, building on a…

This paper advances a variable screening approach to enhance conditional quantile forecasts using high-dimensional predictors. We have refined and augmented the quantile partial correlation (QPC)-based variable screening proposed by Ma et…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-10-22 Hongqi Chen , Ji Hyung Lee

We develop a convex framework for spatially varying coefficient quantile regression that, for each predictor, separates a location-invariant \emph{global} effect from a \emph{spatial deviation}. An adaptive group penalty selects whether a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-26 Hou Jian , Meng Tan , Tian Maozai

Statistical analysis is increasingly confronted with complex data from metric spaces. Petersen and M\"uller (2019) established a general paradigm of Fr\'echet regression with complex metric space valued responses and Euclidean predictors.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-02-10 Rui Qiu , Zhou Yu , Ruoqing Zhu

Deep learning models for semantic segmentation are prone to poor performance in real-world applications due to the highly challenging nature of the task. Model uncertainty quantification (UQ) is one way to address this issue of lack of…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-11-04 Rishabh Singh , Jose C. Principe

This study investigates whether Physically Recurrent Neural Networks (PRNNs), a recent surrogate model for heterogeneous materials, trained on a micromodel with fixed material parameters, can maintain accuracy for varying material…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2025-04-17 N. Kovács , I. B. C. M. Rocha , F. P. van der Meer , C. Furtado , P. P. Camanho

Quantile regression is an effective technique to quantify uncertainty, fit challenging underlying distributions, and often provide full probabilistic predictions through joint learnings over multiple quantile levels. A common drawback of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-24 Youngsuk Park , Danielle Maddix , François-Xavier Aubet , Kelvin Kan , Jan Gasthaus , Yuyang Wang

In inverse problems, uncertainty quantification (UQ) deals with a probabilistic description of the solution nonuniqueness and data noise sensitivity. Setting seismic imaging into a Bayesian framework allows for a principled way of studying…

地球物理 · 物理学 2020-04-16 Ali Siahkoohi , Gabrio Rizzuti , Felix J. Herrmann

This paper proposes a novel '$\nu$-support vector quantile regression' ($\nu$-SVQR) model for the quantile estimation. It can facilitate the automatic control over accuracy by creating a suitable asymmetric $\epsilon$-insensitive zone…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-10-22 Pritam Anand , Reshma Rastogi , Suresh Chandra

This paper proposes a model-free nonparametric estimator of conditional quantile of a time series regression model where the covariate vector is repeated many times for different values of the response. This type of data is abound in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-07 Soudeep Deb , Kaushik Jana

Quantile Regression (QR) can be used to estimate aleatoric uncertainty in deep neural networks and can generate prediction intervals. Quantifying uncertainty is particularly important in critical applications such as clinical diagnosis,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-15 Haleh Akrami , Omar Zamzam , Anand Joshi , Sergul Aydore , Richard Leahy

We consider the problem of modeling heterogeneous materials where micro-scale dynamics and interactions affect global behavior. In the presence of heterogeneities in material microstructure it is often impractical, if not impossible, to…

材料科学 · 物理学 2022-11-03 Yiming Fan , Marta D'Elia , Yue Yu , Habib N. Najm , Stewart Silling

Identifying an appropriate covariance function is one of the primary interests in spatial and spatio-temporal statistics because it allows researchers to analyze the dependence structure of the random process. For this purpose, spatial…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-04 Jongwook Kim , Chunfeng Huang , Nicholas Bussberg

This paper proposes a novel conditional heteroscedastic time series model by applying the framework of quantile regression processes to the ARCH(\infty) form of the GARCH model. This model can provide varying structures for conditional…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-14 Qianqian Zhu , Songhua Tan , Yao Zheng , Guodong Li